 Poster: A snowHead
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Is temp top set of wiggles and likelyhood of precipitation the bottom set?
snow-guess and metguess are chopping and changing the amounts and when they're due. Anyone got a better idea of when the dump's gonna kick off, how much is due and when it will end? Because they seem to be purely guessing.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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As I understand it, we are all guessing to a degree, and most using the same wigglies, correct me if I am wrong!
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brian
brian
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Kaiser, wash your mouth out !  
snow_bum, yes.
snow-forecast and metcheck feed the raw GFS data in, so they will change whenever they run an update. Remember GFS is a global medium range forecasting tool so hardly ideally suited to the task, but then again it's output is free.
If you want a better (freely available) short term model, then (ime) the best bet is the NMM. All the data available here:
http://www.meteoblue.ch
So, according to it, for the lower Valais (no self interest here you understand  ), we're looking at the snow arriving by dawn tomorrow, producing easily 50cm+ (could be quite a lot +) and not dying out until well into Sunday ... and then probably being followed by more on Sunday night/Monday.
Woo and indeed, hoo !
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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brian, Apologies, for guess read "gazing directly into the near future"
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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brian,
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Woo and indeed, hoo !
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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| snow_bum wrote: |
Is temp top set of wiggles and likelyhood of precipitation the bottom set?
snow-guess and metguess are chopping and changing the amounts and when they're due. Anyone got a better idea of when the dump's gonna kick off, how much is due and when it will end? Because they seem to be purely guessing. |
No? Really? Those famous site chopping and changing? What the dickens could be causing all that then?
Check my long-ish post near the bottom of page 2 if you wish to know more...
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[Irrelevant aside] Trouble is, I want to marry both brian and carled, and I'm informed that that's against the law. [/Irrelevant aside]
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.................not in Dubai
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brian
brian
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Ah, but it doesn't snow in Dubai. That's it, the wedding's off, you'll just have to make do with carled.
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brian, nah, it's both or neither. Boo hoo. 
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Woo and indeed, hoo
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When brian is "moderately encouraged" I start wetting myself. What am I supposed to do when he goes woo and indeed hoo?
Hurtle. You're well out of it. It would only have lasted until the first disappointingly dry and/or warm January.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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And the award for most filthily suggestive sentence of the day goes to...
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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And the weather coming in from the north means north-facing slopes (i.e. ski slopes) will get the full effect.
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Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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red 27, but not all ski slopes are north facing? The one we live on in winter is south facing, but being on the northern edge of the Alps the whole area should do well. As it often does. I'm never too sure what the French mean by the "Préalpes" but I think we're in it.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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pam w, not all, but most are though surely kiddo? Both sides of the mountain will get snow of course, but the Meteo-Swizz report I read seemed to say that north facing slopes would get drifting up to 2m as it's gonna be windy too.
Crans Montana is the only place I can think of where it's mostly S facing - doubtless there are 100's of others though
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pam w, presumably the same as German "Voralpen" which is foothills. I would have thought you were in the full alps
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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Kaiser,
Its snowing here at 0m and its lying on the grass and medical physics' roof
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Excellent, anyone off to Aberdeen for their skiing holiday?!!
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brian
brian
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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brian
brian
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brian
brian
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| me, on Wednesday 12th wrote: |
Signs are fairly promising for a really cold arctic blast around the 20th/21st, watch this space. |
Strike 2. 
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brian, you're good... 
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You know it makes sense.
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brian,
From Wed 12th,
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brian, You were right on the snow so Quote:
High pressure looks to be taking control over the weekend and most of next week, so sunny days and frosty nights.
means I am relying on you for fine weather in Tignes next Tues/Weds/Thurs - I've promised MrsS it will nice!
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Well Tuesday was snowing, and truly atrocious visibilty, but Wednesday and Thursday were brilliant - definitely a B+ on that one
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Looks like the snow has stayed over to the east - Switzerland & Austria getting a battering but very little for France? Meteo Chamonix has severely downgraded it's forecast accumulations - typical pre-season chain-yanking.... 
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Poster: A snowHead
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30+ cm over here at 2000m
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brian
brian
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red 27, watching back the radar returns from last night (put 00:00) in the first box:
http://www.landi.ch/deu/0804_niederschlagsradar.asp
Looks like Chamonix should've caught quite a bit 
... and Edit to add: Sunday evening and night looks like a decent fall with Northern France in the sweet spot ...
Last edited by brian on Sat 22-11-08 12:09; edited 1 time in total
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brian
brian
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RobinS, I should've posted an update, by the time I thought about it, I reckoned you'd be on your way. That's the trouble with the weather, it's as changeable as .... well, the weather I suppose. 
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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| brian wrote: |
| Sunday evening and night looks like a decent fall with Northern France in the sweet spot ... |
You're a good man!
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| Quote: |
typical pre-season chain-yanking....
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No, typical way that precipitation forecasting is fraught with difficulty...
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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brian, just been looking at the webcams in Les Houches at 1,900m....nothing much to report, no significant change from 24hrs ago....but cold enough to get those new snow cannons going....the latest Cham weather forecast has killed the euphoria!
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brian, you're really going to have to learn how to make it snow when the sun's still shining, you know. This is just not good enough.
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The Les Saisies webcams show a marked improvement over the last 24 hours, so I'm happy. Now if we can just stop it getting warm again this side of Christmas...
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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brian,
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RobinS, I should've posted an update, by the time I thought about it, I reckoned you'd be on your way. That's the trouble with the weather, it's as changeable as .... well, the weather I suppose.
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I was pretty pleased with it overall  was a relief to see the sun on Wednesday morning though! Tuesday was the worst visibilty I have ever known, light snowfall, dense cloud, and goggles were icing over on the outside every 30 seconds - presumably the humidity was very high, with temperature low enough for moisture freeze on contact with anything. ski poles, hair, goggles, the lot!
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FAQ
(and we are talking about predicted snowfall here btw)
i'm excited and i'm nowhere near it, or likely to be at this rate
