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Return of the Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
especially as the slopes will be so much quieter. snowHead
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
pam w, your right there, hopefully less tracks off piste as well
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Yay! 6 days and counting... Very Happy Very Happy
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Going to La Thuile on Saturday. Carled/Brian, am I allowed to feel royally optimistic about the predicted snowfalls from this Weds onwards? Little Angel
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
cathy wrote:
stewart , the wigglies show computer model forecasting of a whole area, regardless of local variations, altitude etc. So they're good for seeing trends, not for showing 'Tignes will have 6 cm tomorrow' Very Happy


Aaah i see now. If it snows it was forecast, if it does not snow it was just a general trend wink
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stewart woodward wrote:
Aaah i see now. If it snows it was forecast, if it does not snow it was just a general trend wink


You got it!! Laughing Laughing I have a trend of snow coming up for the end of this week/beg of next - I hope it becomes a forecast wink Toofy Grin
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
I'm not liking the latest GFS wigglies Sad 11th march onwards a massive spike in temps,Freezing levels up to 2700m. Shocked the other models dont seem to concur so lets hope its just a blip and will dissapear on the next runs.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
hedley, but there's nothing like a nice warm day after some fresh new snow! Sitting in a deckchair, surrounded by mounds of the stuff. snowHead
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pam w, I quite agree lets look on the positive side.Pistes will still be fantastic,Off Piste Freeze/Thaw and cruddy. Sad It will disapear on the next runs i'm sure.
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hedley wrote:
I'm not liking the latest GFS wigglies Sad 11th march onwards a massive spike in temps,Freezing levels up to 2700m. Shocked the other models dont seem to concur so lets hope its just a blip and will dissapear on the next runs.


You often get a mad outlier like that one.....the worry is if the other runs start to follow it and agree.....
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Yep its calmed down a bit on the 06z..There is a 20degree difference Shocked between high and low temps ,so no runs agree at present.
Lets see what the 12z brings to the party.
Im off to Verbier on the 14th so am glued to all the weather sites at the mo.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
why is there such a difference between the green - operational - run and the control run: indeed the operational run seems almost an outlier on the current charts Puzzled
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
hedley wrote:
Yep its calmed down a bit on the 06z..There is a 20degree difference Shocked between high and low temps ,so no runs agree at present.
Lets see what the 12z brings to the party.


For the Ski Welt http://91.121.93.17/pics/MS_1247_ens.png the 12z isn't looking bad, apart from the operational being off on it's own little fantasy trip (as Carled put it last week) for a couple of days.

But still not much agreement beyond the 15th (not that there usually is that far out).

One thing I have never been ure of - I know that the prediction is for a particular pressure level rather than an exact altitude, but roughly what height does that level correspond to?
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
alex_heney, the 850 Hpa shows temps at around the 1500/1600m mark AFAIAW.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Well the GFS is holding strong on the warm theme by mid next week on the 18z
check the temps in SW France Shocked

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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
norris, Austria, most of Switzerland and the Dolomites definitely looking better than France or Western Italy there. Andorra not looking remotely good.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Temps still all over the place on the 18z for Geneva.
http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/MT8_Genf_ens.png
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
10cm of freshies in Murren this morning. Still snowing. Skiable still to Lauterbrunnen at 2k feet.
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Chamonix meteo forecasting quite a lot of snow today and tomorrow, on top of what's fallen overnight. They're generally about right.
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sod off snow.. i want it sunny and warm from next weds please
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CANV CANVINGTON, I think you'll get your wish on warm, and maybe sunny too.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
oh npam w, dont say that...we are of to st gervais on Sat 14, i need it to stay cool seeing that it's low. Maybe it will be a short high temp'blip. Seeks re assurance....hahaha
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
andyjc, I wouldn't worry. The 14th is over a week away. Nobody knows what the weather will be doing. And if it does turn out to be pretty warm, it's after a long spell of cold and snow, and the conditions should be fine for your week.
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pam w wrote:
CANV CANVINGTON, I think you'll get your wish on warm, and maybe sunny too.


I wouldn't be so sure, some runs are looking that way, others are showing 10 degrees cooler, so still too far away to say.
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Can't believe my luck. Fresh snow still falling in Courmayeur today. I arrive on Sunday when it's due to clear up and become sunny. Finally somebody up there likes me... Very Happy
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
pam w, thanks for that...I feel better again now! if not,there is always Les Contamines.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
I will be skiing in St Martin de Bellville on 23 April 2012 will there be snow ?
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Smokin Joe, certainly below 1005m
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
What's going on with GFS? Wigglies on acid for a couple of days, then no update since the 06Z chart. I want new wigglies, and proper cold ones at that. Mad
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Smokin Joe wrote:
I will be skiing in St Martin de Bellville on 23 April 2012 will there be snow ?


Is that the venue for EoSB?? wink
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
i'm just about wetting myself Shocked Shocked Embarassed Embarassed arrive in ste foy on saturday for what looks to be possibly some of the best conditions I've had in 18 years. Never seem to have chosen the right week before, looks like we have this year wooooo

Been snowing constantly in Ste foy since weds night, still going by the looks of the webcams Laughing Laughing

Wigglies have settled down a bit, as predicted, colder than was forecast, skies will be clearing up nicely on saturday, little dumpete on wednesday, just really couldn't ask for anymore, thank you weather gods. Toofy Grin

Hope everyone going out next week has a fab time.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
norris, WTF is happeing to that forecast now? -32 over parts of Austria is just silly, even if it is in the middle of the night.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
neilkav, just be really, really careful if you venture off piste. Avalanche danger is generally high (e.g. Saas Fee access roads are closed because of it), although I can't comment on specifics. As the said on the radio this a.m., "don't make your best ever run your last".
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under a new name,

Thanks, will do, week will be mainly spent with my 5 year old snowploughing, so not much chance of venturing off too far wink
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
alex_heney, next week is setting up to be perfect - Below average temps and a few small top ups of powder during the week Laughing Laughing
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norris, top forecast..just in time for the 14th..when we hope the snow wil have had time to settle...
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
JT, Or get tracked out wink
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
norris, not in super secret valley A!!! Cool
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
Arno, are you off again on the 14th? give me a clue to said Valley A... Puzzled
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ok, Val d'A
and it's not that super-secret really
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