 Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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A northern Stau bringing Some big numbers around here for the next 6 days. Hopefully we can ditch the touring gear for a while!
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Back end of 06z GFS showing cold weather building across Europe towards end of month. Models still going back and forth on this for the moment.
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Pretty cold end to January for the UK playing out in 18z.
Also the Alps, but particularly Scandinavia.
ECM similar though not as extreme.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Looking good
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Looks like it passes the light and fluffy test!
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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@Weathercam, yes we had the storm on the other side. Around 25cm in Bourg. I'll be up in resort later with kids ski club so hopefully a bit more up there.
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Best enjoy the snow this week as next week not looking so good
UKMO and others show the Atlantic is too active and drawing the northerly into a SW flow over western alps.
Will need big improvements to avoid a washout.
GFS 00z run isn’t bad though.
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Poster: A snowHead
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@nozawaonsen, that GFS mean is encouraging, but it seems out on it's own a little bit at the moment. Often leads at that timeframe though, so not saying it's wrong.
What is wrong (hopefully) is this ECM run at day 10.....clean greenland high, yet a SW flow into france. Temps aren't disastrous, but also far from ideal.
Maybe south UK in with a better chance though if any 'channel runners' pop up
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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PNW got hammered with over 10cm-15cm of rain and high winds. Basically lost 20cm of base at the resorts. Most were shut down with 100 mph winds that hit on Tuesday. Freezing level was above 2200 meters. Lots of power outages in the Seattle area, with mudslides and downed trees.
Jackson Hole got some left overs of the storm with high winds and the Tram closed down in the early afternoon on Wednesday. Parts of Colorado also got hit with 100 mph winds on Wednesday too.
Looks like warm weather for the next few days, and possibly next week colder weather coming but mainly dry. SW Colorado and New Mexico could possibly see a storm come through on Monday/Tuesday.
Out into FI, maybe something stirring for the end of the 3rd week of January. But next week, at least for the West Coast looks to be uneventful.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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The rest of Jan looking bumpy, disrupted, some amazing pressure charts across all the models
Bit more snow tomorrow, then a few days calm before the vortex
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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@BobinCH, that’s the base sorted now it looks like to going be a good season . you’ve just got to be patient . @ @polo,
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| Rob Mackley wrote: |
| @BobinCH, that’s the base sorted now it looks like to going be a good season . you’ve just got to be patient . @ @polo, |
Very happy to be proved drastically wrong on that one 
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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The nature of the mean is that it averages out all the ensemble runs. That does not mean that the outcome will be the average of all the runs. It’s more likely that it will start to cluster around distinct events as the individual runs start to once they come into a more reliable time frame. That said it does look like quite an unsettled spell out in FI and likely mild at times. But then again it’s FI. So.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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@nozawaonsen, yep to clarify I’m not suggesting that the FL will be 2200m (mean) in the NW on 27 Jan. I’m more interested in movements in the mean in FI, in this case unfortunately warmer.
Other models have been hinting at this evolution so it’s noteworthy of course when they all become more closely aligned. Even if it’s 10 days away, it’s as valid a signal as a similar cold one would be
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Some promising signals for the West Coast and Intermountain West for later this week. Has been a case of high pressure and Jet stream continuing to stay up North of the USA/Canada border the past week.
There is some fresh snow that fell in the interior BC and Northern Montana on Sunday evening.
Some fresh snow for Northern New Mexico (Taos) and into SW CO will fall Monday/Tuesday. Not a huge event but a refresh of the sloped.
The runnels up to 9,000 feet were disheartening to see this weekend at my home mountain of Bachelor. Some natural slide activity at a few Cascade ski areas due to inversion and warm air has left the snow pack in a sketchy situation.
Late week snow for Tahoe and into Utah and CO is showing up on the ECM
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Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Ensembles still looking very “frothy” as in @BobinCH’s chart above. As systems cross over the temperatures look like fluctuating considerably though still early to be able to pick out with much confidence how that will translate to the snow line coinciding with the heaviest precipitation. Going to be quite windy at times too. In general the milder and more violent (and also heavier precipitation) weather looks like being to the west.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Fœhn blowing like crazy outside right now at lake level (wrecking all that great snow  ). Let’s hope that forecast for fresh holds!
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| BobinCH wrote: |
| Fœhn blowing like crazy outside right now at lake level (wrecking all that great snow ). Let’s hope that forecast for fresh holds! |
Trust me when I say this, but I know the feeling. We might see some snow here in Central Oregon down to about 300 meters. Forecast could call for snow in Seattle on Sunday with freezing level right about Sea Level or maybe a few hundred meters above.
It will be interesting to see how it plays out as the Cascades had rain up to 2,300+ meters. So, the slopes are covered in a sheen of thin ice on top of the snow. Lots of natural slides on East and South facing slopes from a bit of a warming trend that came through.
Temps have been falling, and there's a trough of low pressure coming in to the Sierras and Tahoe on Thursday/Friday. Some of that weather will just scrape Central Oregon. We might get lucky on Sunday with a bit more snow, and then Monday/Tuesday should see storms coming back in with the HP being pushed Eastward and out of the West Coast to allow low pressure troughs to come back in.
Those storms will work there way through to Utah and Colorado as well. They might break up a bit as they head East. Still watching the GFS and ECM runs to get a better sense of direction and strength. The good news is there's cold air in place, so that should help.
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Meanwhile if you are watching rivers rise in parts of the British Isles, this is likely precipitation in next three days...
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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A massive no-show of the snow that was forecast for here so far, clutching at straws is that there's still 20cm on the forecast for later today.
Last evening I encountered black-ice the likes of which I've never experienced, I had my .98km to walk the dogs back from friends and I opted for the road as I was legal with my attestation rather than walk down the piste, and it was around +1.5 and light rain rather than snow which you could get at those temps, and the road was just sheet ice and a gradient of circa 5% so I had to walk in the snow at the side of the road, and even on the flat it was treacherous!
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| Quote: |
it was around +1.5 and light rain rather than snow
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Here, at 1344 mts; It was raining all night, quite heavily at some point. From what I see from my window atm, snow line is at 2000 mts. 
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