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Nightmare Exchange Rates.....Advice Please?

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Calling all snowHead city slickers or snowHead foreign exchange whizzes!!

Anyone any thoughts on whether the £ has much further to go down against the € and the $? Will it ever go up again or am I doomed to cry into my £5 a pint beer in Tignes?

Wondering whether to buy some currency now (for assorted Europe trips and Utah debut) as daily window shopping seems to confirm that the £ is in total freefall.

Help!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Can't help with the future, but it's not so long ago that I bought US $ at £1.34, so the current FX rate doesn't seem quite nightmarish to me, despite the sudden rise of the $/fall of the £.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Given that we are the only western economy forecast to go into full blown recession I guess the pound will find its own natural level. Remember we've seen parity with the dollar in the past. I think the Euro could weaken though given that the PIGS are scr**ed.
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mountainaddict, Darling is preapring the economy skillfully and subtlely for entry into the Euro at a 1:1 level in June 2010
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Cheers so far!!

I do recall the £ at a much lower level vs the $ but was speaking relatively - that is in comparison to the halcion era of the 1.90-odd rate which was prevalent for quite some time (ie until I booked to go to the US!!..... Confused )
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Quote:

Darling is preapring the economy skillfully and subtlely for entry into the Euro at a 1:1 level in June 2010


<chortle>
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
A solution to bad exchange rates. Ski Scotland! snowHead
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
mountainaddict, I get paid in ££ and $$ with €€ and CHF liabilities. Consider yourself lucky.
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Winterhighland wrote:
A solution to bad exchange rates. Ski Scotland! snowHead


Classic!!! NehNeh
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David Murdoch wrote:
mountainaddict, I get paid in ££ and $$ with €€ and CHF liabilities. Consider yourself lucky.


I feel your pain, I get paid in CHF, pay in EUR and have tax liabilities in Switzerland, France, UK and the USA! Encule 4 fois par le fisc, ca fait mal!
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i have been convinced 1.25 ish was the base to get long of sterling.. things were looking rosy at the start of august.. alas darling has put a spanner in the works... everytime it looks like sterling could recover something has popped up to spoil the party. either a buliding society going bust or a chancellor going wibble.. rate meeting today as well.. they need to cut perversly the sooner they get the rate cutting that will come out of the way the sooner stg will recover much like the dollar is starting to
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
CANV CANVINGTON, I am afraid that the Darling/Brown combo seem rather far away from having a sensible handle on the economy.
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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
I think we (Uk) will pull out of it (reccession) pretty quickly, just like the US has (3 months ago the OECD were forcasting a deep recession for the US, last Q they grew 3.3%!), the Europeans however have much greater structural problems, less flexible working practices, and higher structural unemployment. As a result Eurozone growth has come to a halt while inflation has risen forcing the ECB to keep rates high (by European standards), those rates will start to come down in the 4th quarter and the Euro with them. My prediction is the pound will be at £ to Eur 1.35-39 and £ to $ 1.63-68 by Jun 2009. So buy dollars with pounds now but wait out on the Euro's.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
davidof wrote:
Encule 4 fois par le fisc, ca fait mal!


Laughing Laughing
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
That's one way round the profanity filter!
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
mountainaddict, I agree with JimSearle, buy your dollars now, and if you plan to go back the next winter, and can afford to, I would buy next years as well. Euros -wait as long as you can.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
GBP hit a new low against the EUR yesterday I believe. The 'wait as long as you can' approach is a gamble on it climbing back up again. I must say I'm half tempted to buy a load now, rather than wait for it to go any lower...
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
JimSearle,

good call and I like the argument.

The company I work for has already ridden..to some extent..the huge fuel hikes and the profits are looking on track.not great, but in profit...so whilst not a blip, I think we aren't spiralling downhill quite so fast.

The best thing Brown and Darling can do is keep out of it and shut the f** up....as all they seem to do is make things worse
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Winterhighland wrote:
A solution to bad exchange rates. Ski Scotland! snowHead


And whilst your there, visit a friend in hospital, go and get your prescriptions and enquire about Uni for the kids. All for free, well not really you've already paid for it with your tax. Embarassed
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rob@rar wrote:
Can't help with the future, but it's not so long ago that I bought US $ at £1.34, so the current FX rate doesn't seem quite nightmarish to me, despite the sudden rise of the $/fall of the £.


Surely you mean your £ bought $1.34
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Kel, Embarassed yes, I did. Thanks for the correction.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Do a 50% hedge.

Buy roughly half of what you need now.

And the other half when you go to Tignes.

If the Pound falls further, then atleast you will have made some savings.

Britain has become the sick man of Europe. The Pound is likely to lose more value in the near-term.
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 brian
brian
Guest
Kel, you could read this or alternatively you could restrict your ignorant drivel to threads about bindings. rolling eyes
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Quote:

Kel, you could read this or alternatively you could restrict your ignorant drivel to threads about bindings.


Now now girls!!

Kel's remark (and Brian's McResponse) reminds me of the time (many years ago and long before Braveheart) when I asked a Scottish colleague "Have you ever heard of somebody called William Wallace?".....(Well I certainly hadn't as he hadn't warranted a mention during 1970s O Level history studies...)

Cue explosion and lengthy, yet interesting, history lesson concerning the Scots being downtrodden by centuries of Sassenach oppesssion. I'm not surprised that Mel Gibson wouldn't stand for it....
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Quote:

Encule 4 fois par le fisc, ca fait mal!

mais pour etre tant ciblé, tu dois avoir pas mal de fric, non?
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pam w, not necessarily, it's being taxed several times on one lot of income that can feel really painful. On the other hand, I'm still carrying forward a nice capital gains loss on a French transaction - every cloud...
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 brian
brian
Guest
mountainaddict, actually I'm not that big on the sassenach oppression line, at least not in the last 250 years or so (and imo the Highlanders were just as much victims of use and abuse by Jacobitism as they were of oppression by the Hanoverians).

However, this constant English bleating about how well off everyone else is at their expense really gets on my thruppenies. Scots gave you the enlightenment, played a disproportionate role in empire building (but have mostly transferred the guilt to you wink ) and have been net contributors to the UK exchequer for decades. You offer us the bribe/security blanket of Barnett to keep us on side and then whinge like feck about its consequences. You offer devolution as a sop to nationalism and then stick your unwelcome noses in to every decision about how we spend our own budget (which has increased precisely 0% since the establishment of the Scottish parliament btw).

Anyway (1), with such a geographically spread population, it's inevitable that per capita spending will be higher here.

Anyway (2), the Barnett formula takes no account of large scale infrastructure (whose economy gets the benefit of channel tunnel rail links, olympic games etc. etc.?) or defence spending (disproportionately down south, who'd have thought it?)

O/t rant over (you'll be glad to hear), and yes, we only have ourselves to blame. Sad ... and will probably bottle it in 2010 Sad Sad I'm away for a good greet.


btw, if you thought that was bad, don't get me started on Braveheart. Evil or Very Mad
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
brian, I watched Braveheart the other day..despite my btter judgement..and thought it a load of tosh... I kept on referring to Wiki to see what was what..


Whats wrong with it from a Scottish POV..?
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 brian
brian
Guest
JT, tosh is putting it mildly to say the least. Rather than sit here until Xmas (2010) listing errors, I googled for an illustration:

http://medievalscotland.org/scotbiblio/bravehearterrors.shtml

If you remember the Comic Strip's version of the Miners' Strike, then Braveheart is the equivalent for the Wars of Independence. rolling eyes
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Brilliant thread drift here... came in search of exchange rates and ended up reading about the inaccuracies of Braveheart! I enjoyed it as a film to be honest... but i didn't watch it as a documentary... apparently Mel Gibson hadn't even been born then!
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Whitegold wrote:
Do a 50% hedge.

Buy roughly half of what you need now.

And the other half when you go to Tignes.

If the Pound falls further, then atleast you will have made some savings.

Britain has become the sick man of Europe. The Pound is likely to lose more value in the near-term.


Quote:
Hello is that the Alpaka? I'd like to pay for half of my beers for my next skiing holiday now please, and I'll pay the rest when I get out there. You do run a beer futures market don't you?
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
brian wrote:
Kel, you could read this or alternatively you could restrict your ignorant drivel to threads about bindings. rolling eyes


Brian I will meet you inside York City Walls at Midnight with my Longbow, be warned I'm a good shot. wink
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
the exchange rate seems to have improved slightly? snowHead
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brian, well I wouldnt mind Salmond as my leader...on the other hand....Andy Murray.. Smile
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
pam w, yes, it does, back to above 1.23 I think.
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Which part of Scotland was Braveheart from? Toofy Grin
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Boredsurfing, he wasn't from Scotland... he was from a dystopic future Australia...
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
ski-finder,
Quote:

Boredsurfing, he wasn't from Scotland... he was from a dystopic future Australia...


Actually he was born in the Peekskill New York in the "Good old US of A" and moved to Aussi when he was 12 years old.
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mountainaddict,
Quote:

Cue explosion and lengthy, yet interesting, history lesson concerning the Scots being downtrodden by centuries of Sassenach oppression. I'm not surprised that Mel Gibson wouldn't stand for it....


Surely Sassenach was originally a name given by the Highlanders to the Lowland Scots and not the English?
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JP, you learn something new everyday... especially on snowHead
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