 brian
brian
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Amen to that!
Staying cold through to the end of November by the looks of it too.
That is all. 
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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| Quote: |
| Anybody fancy a thread for pointless speculation and guesswork about the upcoming weather |
Oh yes, always up for that. Sounds good so far! 
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Tops - loved this banter last year - whatever happened to carled - i seem to remember some massive barny occuring 
Have noticed that there appears to be a chance of a big dump for France next tuesday/wednesday - still quite far off - but fingers crossed!
About time France had some of Austria's fun!
Ta
Matt
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Hundred up - wahey!
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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Mattmulkeen, quality not quantity 
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Cham forecast is promising as well...
CHAMONIX VALLEY AND MONT-BLANC AREA WEATHER FORECAST
ISSUED AT 08:50 TUESDAY NOVEMBER 13 2007
VALID FROM : TUESDAY NOVEMBER 13 -- UNTIL : SUNDAY NOVEMBER 18 2007
GENERAL SYNOPSIS
High 1030 hpa, west of Ireland with ridge 1025 hpa towards Southwestern France, weakening. Low 1007 hpa, Iceland. Linked disturbance will reach Northern Alps in the end of afternoon.
TODAY - TUESDAY NOVEMBER 13 2007
Hazy sunshine in the morning - Cloudy in the afternoon
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud - sunshine) : partly cloudy to cloudy in the morning - high clouds - cloudy to mostly cloudy in the afternoon - period of sunshine close to 30%.
PRECIPITATIONS : snowfall beginning in the evening - rain-snow limit towards 800 m.
WIND - ground level : calm.
- mid mountain : N -> SW light.
- high mountain : NW moderate to strong.
TEMPERATURE : min -2°C - maxi +2°C.
ISOTHERM 0°C : 1000 m.
ISOTHERM -10°C : 3000 m.
OVERNIGHT
Overcast - snowy
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud) : mostly cloudy to overcast.
PRECIPITATIONS : snowfall - rain-snow limit towards 500 m - expected snowfall towards 1500 m : 10-15 cm..
WIND - aloft : NW moderate to strong.
TEMPERATURE : -3°C.
TOMORROW - WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 14
Snowy and cold
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud - sunshine) : mostly cloudy to overcast - period of sunshine close to 0%.
PRECIPITATIONS : snowfall in the morning - afternoon showers - rain-snow limit towards 500 m - expected snowfall towards 1500 m : 10-15 cm..
WIND - aloft : NW moderate to strong.
TEMPERATURE : min -4°C - max -2°C.
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I predict 40 cm of snow for Glencoe in scotland on the-hmm lets see-17th of December! Hows that for speculation?
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Mattmulkeen, I'm alive, well and lurking in wait for the start of the season proper... keep the tin helmets ready...
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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| Quote: |
keep the tin helmets ready
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DING DING - ROUND ONE 
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Anybody fancy giving me some blindly optimistic forecasts for upcoming snow in Andorra?
taking a chance on 14th Dec flight for a cheeky weekend, when should i think about binning it?
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You know it makes sense.
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wrongsideof30-now! Haha only joking, alot can happen in a month, its slowly getting colder and the snow will fall this week, in all fairness only around 4 cm-give it time!
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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p.s temp in soldeu today 14degrees celcius!
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Poster: A snowHead
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Grand Valira website today, snow forecast tomorrow and the next day
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Please, please keep this thread alive!
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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So anyone care to guess if all this snow is a false dawn, will it get wiped out by a warm spell, or is this going to be a fantastic season....
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GFS forecasts French Alps to be colder than average for the next four or five days, then beyond that it gets into the realm of Fantasy Island. I don't see the snow from the last 24 hours disappearing within the next 24 hours, and I'm keeping my fingers crossed that we don't see a warm spike in the second half of the month.
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brian
brian
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Today's GFS runs have moved everything west, quite a long way west in fact which is very un-GFS like, quite often features get shifted east run to run. Anyway, the result looks pretty horrible for the alps, setting up a big foehn wind most of next week.
All a bit bizarre, I'm interested to see how much support this has in the ensemble and from the other models. The UK met stuck firmly to its guns last night (and the fax charts stay pretty close to it so they seem reasonably confident they've got it right) and ECM was pretty ok as well.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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<positive>
Surely a warm up, melt, then re-freeze would be ideal for setting down a good base?
<positive>
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brian
brian
Guest
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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brian
brian
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Mattmulkeen, warm wind from the south, any moisture gets squeezed out of the air on its way up the southern side of the mountains and the air is consequently even warmer when it blows down the other side. It's a horrible big snow-stripping hairdryer .... boo !
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Mattmulkeen, Worse thn a skiers worse nitemare, think of hour waits at the lifts, lifts breaking down and multiply that a thousand times...... then u have arrived. 
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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brian, from the "alternative" Chamonix forecasters suggesting very cold till Sunday, Monday with possible foehn preceding another disturbance. They are saying that their forecast confidence is very low...
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brian
brian
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David Murdoch, not as low as mine 
I wouldn't put any store at all in anything beyond Saturday at the moment.
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brian
brian
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The UK met's midday run is out, it hasn't followed the gfs* and sticks with a reasonably promising scenario for early next week. ECM should be out soon.
* GFS 12z operational was a markedly mild outlier as well, see green line below way above the rest.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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| Quote: |
The UK met's midday run is out, it hasn't followed the gfs*
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Thank GoD - Snow stripping hair dryers - what the hell
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Poster: A snowHead
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brian, What models do snow forecast.com follow, as you said earlier freezing levels at almost 3000m according to their prediction.
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brian
brian
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harrymac, snow-forecast, metcheck and TWO all use GFS.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Oh damn - -there goes my dreaming of a perfect winter! Still, even if right, plenty of time to change!
Last edited by Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see? on Thu 15-11-07 0:43; edited 1 time in total
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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| afcbtim wrote: |
| Oh damn - -there goes my dreamomg of a perfect winter! Still, even if right, plenty of time to change! |
I think it's probably a bit premature to be writing off the winter as we're still actually in the autumn
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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Chamonix Meteo this morning:
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (from Sunday) UNTIL TUESDAY NOVEMBER 20 2007
Sunday : sunny - getting milder. Monday and Tuesday : disturbance approaching from the west - possible fœhn wind condition - outlook is uncertain.
Forecast reliability : fairly good until Saturday, poor thereafter.
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brian
brian
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GFS 06z rolling now and looking much more believable, hopefully it's got yesterday's lsd induced runs out of its system. Does look like some kind of warmer spell next week but nothing to be overly worried about.
So to summarise, very cold right across the alps in the next couple of days with any remaining snow showers dying out, warming up to something like average for the time of year (and it is still autumn as rob points out) through the weekend. Still major uncertainty heading into next week.
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brian, metcheck suggesting rain for Thursday...what do you reckon?
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Mattmulkeen, oops. I imagine it's been snowing instead? It is darn chilly out here, north wind - the Bise
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FAQ
