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GFS Charts show huge swing in the WRONG direction
 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead

Removed Embarassed


Last edited by Poster: A snowHead on Sun 10-12-06 20:10; edited 2 times in total
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person

lisach, Looks good if it happens. As you say still in FI so anything can happen - need to keep the fingers crossed.


snowHead
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?

Wow what a difference 24hrs makes to these crazy GFS charts. This couldn't be more different or depressing to the charts from yeterday.

12° on Chrismas day? Sad

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn36017.png
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Quote:

This couldn't be more different or depressing to the charts from yeterday.

let's hope the next 24 hours brings as big a swing. It's too far off to start being pleased (like yesterday) or displeased (like today) about what the charts show for Christmas. All I want is my two front teeth.
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 brian
brian
Guest
lisach, if you expect GFS to accurately forecast 2 weeks out then forget it, it's just not on.

The ensemble spread for Xmas Day is about 15 degrees at the moment and each is an equally likely outcome. The ensemble average (for Xmas) is just below the long term average, an FL for the French alps at about 1500m.

I wouldn't have any confidence in the charts after the 15th December at the moment. Further out than that it will swing this way and that for a while yet, keep calm wink
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 You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.

thanks brian, the nerves are on edge though
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 brian
brian
Guest
lisach, I'm hoping someone's hidden any nearby sharp objects long enough for you to get a look at the 18z. Pretty different by T+120, vastly different by T+168, on a completely different planet in FI (much better btw, but that's meaningless at this stage). wink

Looks like it will take a while to settle down ....
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!

Most forecasts I have seen today make pretty depressing reading. It is looking like a Green Christmas for many stations below about 1600m. Still plenty of time to change, though.
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