Poster: A snowHead
|
... if you're heading for the French Alps.....
Don't look at the projected snowline for the downpours expected this coming Thursday and Friday............
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
PG, Thanks
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
boredsurfin, Umbrellas packed? Wellies packed?
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
Mouth, do you think he might need a canoe?
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
Strewth... And according to GFS charts it's getting warmer still before it gets any colder again... Current charts show a massive warm lump over the Alps next Tue/Wed... If freezing levels are 3000m+ with charts for this Thursday then they'll be 4000m+ for next Tue/Wed. It'll be 20C+ at around 1500m according to current runs... not the best conditions for keeping snow in a tip-top condition, it must be said...
Not until next Friday/Saturday (7th/8th) does it show temps dropping again... here's hoping that the temp drops bring some fresh snow too...
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sounds grim. Can someone please supply a link to the forecasts mentioned?
|
|
|
|
|
|
As I'm out there from the 7th,keeping everything crossed that it comes good.Just checked the Valmorel site;snow has shrunk a little at the base,but is showing an increase of around 30cm at the top from a couple of days ago Current status....heavy snow :?Cant tell what's happening from the webcams,whiteout??
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
Should be OK - it usually snows on my birthday, which is the 7th
|
|
|
|
|
|
xyzpaul, www.wetterzentrale.de, click on "GFS-ENS 12Z" near the top of the page, then on "GFS" top left of the page, then "850hPa Temperatur" from the middle top of the page and click through the times ahead... further into the future it goes, less accurate it is. "Niederschlag" will give you precipitation as well.
|
|
|
|
|
brian
brian
Guest
|
xyzpaul, PG gets the subscription only forecasts from meteofrance.com
Raw output from various weather models is available at:
www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten
The latest GFS operational goes for 15 degrees above the seasonal average next Wednesday !! However, the ensemble spread was 25 degrees so I think it's fair to say it's struggling to get to grips with the data.
|
|
|
|
|
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
|
xyzpaul, it's a paid service, link not possible.
snowskisnow, it is absolutely chucking it down, has been all day. Anything above 1600m is getting a substantial dump, if a bit wet at resort level. Temps dropping a little, snowline expected to be around 1300m Wednesday. Unless the forecast has changed dramatically though since I checked early this morning, Thurs and Friday we're in for some very wet weather very high up.
|
|
|
|
|
|
This is a bit of a "don't think of rabbits" thread!
|
|
|
|
|
You know it makes sense.
|
Just looked at the forecast through to next Tuesday, and it seems that t.§*¤¤}_|########
|
|
|
|
|
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
|
didn't they forecast something similiar for today about a week ago?, ie freezing level over 3000m
as PG said, substantial snow above 1600m, started 8amish in Flims this morning..
regards,
Greg
|
|
|
|
|
Poster: A snowHead
|
Come folks, for goodness sake, it's practically the start of April! What do we expect? 'Tis a time for cold Ronnie Rose on the balcony and a decent lunch after a morning in mushy bumps.
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
I hope to get some skiing in tomorrow before the really mild weather sets in. Could be 30/40 cms of fresh snow at altitude if the wind wasn't too strong, and it should be quite cold tomorrow
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
So wat will i be like in Les Menuires next week?
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
Too late - already looked! And after a battle to get fit as well.
DM -any top tips for finding good stuff in PDS other than head to the top of Avoriaz?
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
fatbob - you asking about off piste or on piste, or "other" good stuff????
|
|
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
Acccording to my amn on the ground it's been 20 deg.C in Zurich today...9 days until I'm on mud/slush/snow
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
gregh - the only white powder I'm particularly interested in is predominantly H20 based
Off-piste really - remember Lindaret trees being fun but its been a few years since I've been to Morzine so more of a reminder really.
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
eng_ch, I stand corrected...
|
|
|
|
|
|
these 2 bluebird pics were taken on the opposite and hence quieter side of Les Gets, well worth a look up there, you need to cross the road so as you ski down towards les gets from the Morzine link go as right as possible, you'll see the lifts going up the other side.
http://gregh.co.uk/albums/morzine06/
The other 2 pics (ignore sunset one) are in happy/hidden Valley ( I think that's what it's called ) but I can't remember where it is!! Somewhere around Lindarets/Chatel I think!!
cheers,
Greg
|
|
|
|
|
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
|
fatbob, what gregh (great pics by the way) is talking about is Mont Chery. Only 4-5 lifts but serving some great terrain. Chery Nord can be excellent (the other side of the hill to Les Gets).
The big question is whether it'll freeze overnight or not. It didn't at the weekend so we (apparently) didn't miss much on Sunday being very hungover and not starting till midday (at least, that's what I heard). Clear nights required and the forecast until early next week doesn't indicate them.
But then, if the snow level's 1,300 (as forecast for Wednesday) then anything above 1,4-1,500m-ish should be very amusing - yes, Lindarets trees, also Mont Chery, the lower Hauts Forts (Crot, lower Crozats, Combettes) depending on what's open. Even upper Pleney can be mighty fine. Visibility will be key to any decision making but if it's good enough, then Chamossiere might be good.
Be aware that current avalanche risk is 3 (Considerable: Triggering possible, sometimes even with low additional loads. The detailed bulletin may indicate many slopes which are particularly affected. In certain conditions, medium and occasionally large-sized natural avalanches may occur).
Cham Meteo are suggesting a new storm coming through over the weekend perhaps but aren't very sure. There was certainly lots of fine piste coverage around on Sunday, just rather soft. Nice enough on piste but not terribly inviting off to the side of the piste or on underskied snow. Lovely in the bumps!! Two chums skied on Saturday when it was apparently raining up to 2,000m and said it was fine on piste, if wet. I have great difficulty dragging Sophie out in the rain so we had a top lunch up at the Crapahute (up the Vallee de la Manche).
Did anyone notice the massive mud slide onto the paravalanche below Ardent bubble. Freaky (scary)...
|
|
|
|
|
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
|
|
|
|
Crazy weather. Huge flakes falling right now in BsM at 800m. Snowline to rise to 1200m by this afternoon. Tomorrow (and Friday), snowline anywhere between 2000m and 2500m - very heavy precipitation forecast. From Saturday marginal drop in temps, average snowline around 1900m, but occasionally a fair bit higher...
|
|
|
|
|
You know it makes sense.
|
PG, Does this mean the weather will be crazy or that the Meteo don't know precisely what's going to happen?
|
|
|
|
|
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
|
I really, really hope that it's the latter - trouble is, only 24 hours away the forecasts are usually reasonably accurate.....
|
|
|
|
|
Poster: A snowHead
|
looking at snow-forecast, the problem appears to be Thursday night, looking at the Courchevel forecast they have f/l at 2650m with rain
but then dropping over the weekend, down to 1650/1850 by next Monday.
regards,
Greg
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
Just in one day the GFS forecast models have massively climbed down from the warm temps predicted - this is fantastically good news if it continues the trend downwards. Where the 0 degree line was just about making it to mid-france, it now sweeps down into southern france and spain far earlier, keeping the warm mediterranean weather at bay.
If this forecast model sticks then it is very good news indeed for late season holidays as there will be low temps and precipitation of the white fluffy kind instead of the warm and wet kind!
The GFS precipitation charts don't really let up at all between now and next week - there seems to be a constant flow of precipitation on & off all over the French (and other) alps for the foreseeable future... the only problem will be the warm temps at first, so the sooner the cold returns the better, although the upper slopes all over France will continue to get snow pretty much on a daily basis judging by the GFS models of today.
|
|
|
|
|
brian
brian
Guest
|
carled, the GFS is still all over the place from Monday the 3rd onwards. I mentioned above that the ensemble spread was about 25 degrees for next Wednesday. The 00z run you're looking at was one of the coldest members, yesterday the operational was one of the warmest.
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
brian, what's the blue line on the graph?
|
|
|
|
|
brian
brian
Guest
|
.rob@rar.org.uk, The thick blue line is the operational run, ie. the one you are seeing when you look at the charts.
|
|
|
|
|
brian
brian
Guest
|
Actually, although it's still pretty uncertain, there is a bit of clustering towards the cold side, so fingers crossed the trend is moving the right way.
|
|
|
|
|
|
brian wrote: |
.rob@rar.org.uk, The thick blue line is the operational run, ie. the one you are seeing when you look at the charts. |
Thanks.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Whatever the graphs say it's snowing heavily in La Rosiere now.
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
brian, congrats on your "1000"!
Love that ensemble chart... only two members above the 30-year average by next weekend and the vast majority well under it before then. If the trend continues and that precip lump hits between the 5th and 7th in cold temps... joyous snowfalls abounding!
|
|
|
|
|
|
David@traxvax, that's the kind of real-world forecast I can appreciate...
|
|
|
|
|
|