The All New 18/19 Weather Outlook Thread

A snowHead

About 25cm of fresh snow today in Grindelwald on the First side. Maybe 15cm in town. Great skiing lower down, windy up top with most lifts closed.

A snowHead

Could anyone give me a prediction for Zell am See this weekend please? A glimpse of sun would be nice, for the views. It looks like there'll be some snow before then.

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@HoneyBunny, should be fairly clear and sunny. Plenty of snow on Friday though rain at lake level.

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Saas-Fee was miserable today... five valley lifts were the only ones open until early afternoon and then they shut those down. Wicked wind. Best to sit inside and drink gluhwein. Tomorrow promises to be much better.

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Saas Fee was glorious this morning!!!! Hope tomorrow is reasonable as Thursday will suck for those here but not for those who will eventually get here.

After all it is free

So looking at the Northern alps & the various GFS ensembles in my amateur eyes I'm seeing a drop in temps again mid month, but then what looks like a steady increase in temps (whilst not much alignment on the actual temps they all seem to align in the trending warmer) and perhaps just over seasonal norms by the end of the month? Obviously out in FI but will be interesting to see what the rest of March brings after a bumper start snow wise!

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They're talking about snowmaggedon tomorrow night but we'll see what that brings. Of course, things will get nice by Saturday :/

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http://youtube.com/v/zpEHstiHSiU

Nice little ÖBB video showing Schloss Wiesberg which guards the entrance to the Paznaun valley (and Ischgl beyond).

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Chamonix meteo forecasting 90cm in next 24 hours Shocked

http://m.chamonix-meteo.com/en/index.php

Météo suisse just issued weather warning for Verbier with 40-80 cm starting at 800m and rising to 1600m. High up on Saturday should be glorious!

You know it makes sense.

@BobinCH, yep, some quite tricky conditions too with the amount of snow and wind, but weather this weekend should be lovely.

Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:

SLF’s view.

”Weather forecast through Thursday, 14.03.2019

Skies will be heavily overcast over widespread regions, accompanied by precipitation which is expected to intensify in the western regions during the afternoon. The snowfall level will ascend during the course of the day to approximately 1200 m. Only south of the Main Alpine Ridge is it expected to remain dry and, to some extent, sunny.

Fresh snow

Between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon:

- Jura region, furthermost western part of Lower Valais, Vaud and Fribourg Alps, northern Alpine Ridge: 20 to 30 cm; from place to place as much as 40 cm;

- remaining parts of the northern flank of the Alps, remaining parts of southern Valais, remaining parts of northern Grisons, Lower Engadine: 10 to 20 cm;

- in the other regions of Switzerland, only a few centimetres; in the furthermost southern regions it will remain dry.

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, -5 °C.

Wind

Winds will be blowing at moderate to strong velocity, intensifying to strong-to-storm velocity during the course of the day, from westerly to northwesterly directions.

Outlook through Saturday, 16.03.2019

Friday

Skies will be heavily overcast and intensive precipitation is anticipated in the western and the northern regions, subsequently slackening off incrementally during the afternoon starting in the west. A storm-strength northwesterly wind will be blowing. The snowfall level will ascend, starting in the west, to 1600 to 1900 m. In the inneralpine regions, the snowfall level will presumably ascend only in the afternoon. South of the Main Alpine Ridge it will remain dry for the most part and become rather sunny during the course of the day.
Avalanche danger levels are expected to increase over widespread areas. Presumably, danger level 4 (high) will be reached on Thursday night in the western and the northern regions. In the furthermost southern regions, avalanche danger levels are not expected to change significantly.

Saturday

During the night in northern and in eastern regions, a small amount of precipitation is anticipated. During the daytime it will be predominantly sunny, in the northern regions only following the dispersal of residual clouds. The zero-degree level will ascend to approximately 3000 m.
The danger of dry-snow avalanches is expected to diminish. However, the situation for winter sports in outlying terrain will remain critical. During the course of the day, wet-snow and glide-snow avalanches can be expected to release on steep, sun-drenched slopes.”

A snowHead

A snowHead

@BobinCH, haha, was thinking same thing.

Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?

Not as much as forecast but still going strong for a few hours...

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Extract from SLF.

”Fresh snow

Between Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon in the Valais, in the Gotthard region, in the central and eastern sectors of the northern flank of the Alps, in northern Grisons and in the northern part of Lower Engadine, 40 to 60 cm of fresh snow was registered. In the other regions of Switzerland there was 20 to 40 cm of fresh snow registered over widespread areas; in the southern regions, less.

All in all between the beginning of this period of precipitation on Tuesday evening and Friday afternoon, the following amounts of fresh snow were registered above approximately 2000 m:

- Valais, northern Alpine Ridge, Gotthard region, northern Grisons, northern Lower Engadine: 50 to 80 cm, as much as 100 cm from place to place;

- remaining sectors of the northern flank of the Alps, northern Ticino, central Grisons, northern Upper Engadine: 30 to 50 cm;

- Jura region, central Ticino, upper Moesano, southern Engadine: 15 to 30 cm; in the other regions of Switzerland, less; or else it remained dry.”

https://www.slf.ch/en/avalanche-bulletin-and-snow-situation.html#snowpack

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How can I get a GFS forecast for 43:43 Mestia, Georgia. I believe the closest ski resort is Tetnuldi?

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@BobinCH, just tinker round with the URL

https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=43&lon=43

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Not looking like much snowfall coming in the next couple of weeks

After all it is free

Glorious conditions yesterday

http://youtube.com/v/o3art_MIliw

15-20cm of cold fresh forecast for tonight and then wall to wall sunshine Very Happy

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Damn you! Portes du Soleil has been a (literal) washout the last few days. Rain has destroyed all the off-piste, everywhere.

I am going to get drunk, now.

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Fresh snow arriving along with cold temperatures particularly in the eastern Alps. Warming up from mid week with plenty of spring sun. Nice.

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Can any of the experts tell me how Saalbach is looking weather wise?

From what I can tell, some small top ups of snow over the course of the next couple of days and then some settled sunny weather through into middle of next week?

You know it makes sense.

@Fridge03, It’s been snowing hard in Saalbach this evening. We’ve just come in from some St Patrick’s night revelry, and it was nice to hear the snow crunching under our feet as we walked through the streets. Tomorrow is also forecast to be snowy, with the weather becoming progressively sunnier and warmer as the week wears on. There’s plenty of snow, but this top-up will help to improve the quality and eliminate the stickiness from south-facing pistes. The week ahead looks good.

Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:

A snowHead

So now we have had this period of snow / low pressure - are we returning to another blocking high pattern? Or still lower pressure - just a calm period?

Looking at the "squiglies" - looks very very flat indeed (certainly for NWest Alps).

A snowHead

@Drew Carey, this is this morning.

This is Saturday.

Blue = lower than average pressure.
Red = higher than average pressure.

http://youtube.com/v/0g-Yk9F2mM8

Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?

GFS 18z plays with an east west temperature split in just over a week. It’s been toying with this for a while. Bit far out.

Meanwhile some very fine weather on the way.

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@nozawaonsen, what would this east west split mean for precipitation?

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@axci, not much, it’s pretty dry either way.

Out in far FI you end up with something like this on this morning’s GFS output.

However, at this stage that is simply an illustration of one of the many possible evolutions rather than any form of forecast.

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Alright. Suppose I will just have to bring my shades and shorts for next week in Sölden

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@axci, totally depends on your legs. If you have good legs yes. If not no.

After all it is free

10-15cm of fresh this am

this week looks nice and sunny after the top up.

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GFS 18z has come into line with the last couple of ECM runs and predicting a cold snowy spell from the 26th.

Help!!

The All New 18/19 Weather Outlook Thread

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