Good old GFS with the sliders and over amplification. Not backed up at all by UKMO 12z, ICON 12z, GEM 12z, FV3 00z nor the ECM 00z. Very little agreement for 7 days out.
I'm really rooting for the GFS this time, as my mates arrive on wednesday for their annual visit. They are one of those groups you read about that seem to hit great conditions every single year.
In any case sun-mon set to deliver the biggest snowfall of the season for the NW at least, 50-60cm on GFS 12z.
NAO seems to be staying positive for a while longer, and mid term pressure anomalies show the euro trough edging a little west.
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@staffsan, it’s not actually that cold as it would drag up some warmer air as it moves west to east, but only briefly before cold returns.
@polo, yep reluctance of NAO (rather than AO) to go negative holding deep cold at bay for now. Still pretty parky.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
I've never seen them diverge to this extent, AO been negative since Dec, NAO positive, and the forecast is for AO to go really negative into early Feb. So we've had blocking over the artic, pushing cold air generally into europe. But it's the vortex lobe over eastern Canada that's been keeping the azores suppressed, as it feeds endless energy across the north atlantic. More likley to get HLB in Feb and March anyway, and along with the slow SSW downwelling finally reaching the troposphere, we're likely to see this NAO pattern change next month. On the other hand, if it ain't broke....
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
@polo,
North west being what areas? Thanks.
After all it is free
After all it is free
@Garioch, the sun always comes out....and if doesn't it will be snowing
@sparkzter, top 50 resorts listed here, les gets/morzine at 7, don't see that very often
https://wepowder.com/en
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
West is best woot woot!
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
nozawaonsen wrote:
This would drop a lot is snow in the western Alps.
nozawaonsen,
What is the key characteristic of this chart that suggests that the western Alps will see a lot of snow - particularly compared to somewhere like the Tirol? So what are we looking at here?
Thanks
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
@BobinCH, omg what site is that forecast from?
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@polo,
Thanks for that. For once I’ve timed it bang on!! Arrive in the 3v this Saturday. Woohoo!!
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
The numbers are unreliable (Cham and Zermatt seem to reliably get massively overestimated) but this indicates a weather pattern from the West, which hits Cham area heaviest (also PdS, Verbier etc). Also this link gives you the 9 day forecast for free whereas Snowforecast only gives you 6 days unless you subscribe.
The numbers are unreliable (Cham and Zermatt seem to reliably get massively overestimated) but this indicates a weather pattern from the West, which hits Cham area heaviest (also PdS, Verbier etc). Also this link gives you the 9 day forecast for free whereas Snowforecast only gives you 6 days unless you subscribe.
Are you sure you are not looking at the SCGB forecast as a member, which I think is the only way to see 9 days?
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@franga, with that deep low pressure sat in the channel a big band of precipitation is going to be driven straight into the western Alps at which point it’s going to drop a lot of snow on the Alps.
Like @BobinCH, says some of the numbers cropping up seem rather unlikely, but it still looks set for quite a snowy spell coming up next week particularly in the western Alps.
The numbers are unreliable (Cham and Zermatt seem to reliably get massively overestimated) but this indicates a weather pattern from the West, which hits Cham area heaviest (also PdS, Verbier etc). Also this link gives you the 9 day forecast for free whereas Snowforecast only gives you 6 days unless you subscribe.
Are you sure you are not looking at the SCGB forecast as a member, which I think is the only way to see 9 days?
I’m not a member of either. The SCGB link gives you a consolidated 9 day figure. For the breakdown you probably need to subscribe. I use that SCGB link for an idea of where is in the eye of the next storm as it gives you the 5 resorts with the highest predicted snowfall. Based on that one perhaps an attempt at a La Grave weekend may be possible in the next few weeks
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Heading out to 3 Valleys on Saturday (La Tania).
Am I right in saying looking at a clear day Saturday with a decent dumping of snow Sunday into Monday? Any decent predictions for further on into next week?
The numbers are unreliable (Cham and Zermatt seem to reliably get massively overestimated) but this indicates a weather pattern from the West, which hits Cham area heaviest (also PdS, Verbier etc). Also this link gives you the 9 day forecast for free whereas Snowforecast only gives you 6 days unless you subscribe.
Are you sure you are not looking at the SCGB forecast as a member, which I think is the only way to see 9 days?
I’m not a member of either. The SCGB link gives you a consolidated 9 day figure. For the breakdown you probably need to subscribe. I use that SCGB link for an idea of where is in the eye of the next storm as it gives you the 5 resorts with the highest predicted snowfall. Based on that one perhaps an attempt at a La Grave weekend may be possible in the next few weeks
Apologies, I now realise that we are talking at cross purposes. I'm referring to a day by day, 9 day forecast (only available to members - of which I am one), in the same vein as the 6 day one from snow forecast.com....and you are referring to the accumulated figure over 9 days.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@Old Fartbag, I'd ignore any forecast over 2-3 days out.
Am I right in saying looking at a clear day Saturday with a decent dumping of snow Sunday into Monday? Any decent predictions for further on into next week?
SCGB Forecast:
Sun 11cm Day; 15cm Night
Mon Moderate Snow all day/night
Tue Sun/Clouds
Wed Light/Moderate snow
Thur Heavy Sonw
Fri Sunny
Weather is quite cold
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Old Fartbag wrote:
Fridge03 wrote:
Heading out to 3 Valleys on Saturday (La Tania).
Am I right in saying looking at a clear day Saturday with a decent dumping of snow Sunday into Monday? Any decent predictions for further on into next week?
SCGB Forecast:
Sun 11cm Day; 15cm Night
Mon Moderate Snow all day/night
Tue Sun/Clouds
Wed Light/Moderate snow
Thur Heavy Sonw
Fri Sunny
Weather is quite cold
Thanks for that. Looking good!
After all it is free
After all it is free
kitenski wrote:
@Old Fartbag, I'd ignore any forecast over 2-3 days out.
I pretty much do......I posted more than 3 days, in case it gave a feel for what might happen. ie. Week looks more snowy, than sunny...and on the cold side.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
@BobinCH, "Wait and See"
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
In terms of more immediate weather impact this Saturday looks like the wind and snow will pick up at the same time as the Hahnenkamm downhill was due to start.
So the downhill race will now start tomorrow Friday at 1130 local time (slalom on Saturday and Super G Sunday).
I’m also heading to 3V this weekend (Sunday’s). Hopefully this will be a nice contrast to the last time I went in January when there was a big warm spell the week before and Brown pistes leading into the main Meribel area.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Always find the fact that the various forecasts can get the wind so wrong even on the day. Currently blowing a right old hooley down the valley whilst yr.no has Light breeze, 3 m/s from northwest, Meteociel 13:00 -8 °C Nord-Nord-Ouest : 330 ° 20kph 25 gust, MeteoFrance 10-15kph, and ironically WePowder which always over eggs the snow has it pretty spot on.
Strong winds in the valley not at all conducive to XC unless you drive up one end and then get blown back down
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Heading to Les 2 Alpes on the 2nd Feb, how long does the general trend of the forecast stay remotely accurate for??
Looking like a fair dumping before I arrive...
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
nozawaonsen wrote:
In terms of more immediate weather impact this Saturday looks like the wind and snow will pick up at the same time as the Hahnenkamm downhill was due to start.
So the downhill race will now start tomorrow Friday at 1130 local time (slalom on Saturday and Super G Sunday).
Thanks noza, that's today's work schedule set for me
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
nozawaonsen
nozawaonsen wrote:
@franga, with that deep low pressure sat in the channel a big band of precipitation is going to be driven straight into the western Alps at which point it’s going to drop a lot of snow on the Alps.
Like @BobinCH, says some of the numbers cropping up seem rather unlikely, but it still looks set for quite a snowy spell coming up next week particularly in the western Alps.
nozawaonsen, thanks as always. I get it.
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Is there anywhere on this, or other, threads that can give a heads-up on forecasts a bit further out? We are looking to go somewhere in three weeks time, and as there seems to be significant differences in conditions between countries, we are happy to chase the snow!
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@t40ora, there is, but they are pure speculation, if you can wait til 5-7 days before you will get a better idea, if you wait til 2-3 days before it will be more accurate
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@freeridechef, OK ta. We always book last minute, anyway, but as I'm starting get excited it's nice (but asking a lot) to start narrowing things down now.....
@t40ora, this season looks like Austria and more eastern resorts have the best at the minute, but who knows in 3 weeks time, I'm hoping the Pyrenees gets the dump expected so I can go there in 3 weeks, but right now in Barcelona airport it's 16°c
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Good weather for skiing is probably more popular at this stage of the season than more snowfall ?
FAQ
Poster: A snowHead
