 Poster: A snowHead
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brian, so:
1) green line - this is what they think might happen - but could go a bit amiss. you'd stick a few quid on it at longer odds.
2) the blue line roughly the same, but at lower resolution and seems to be added in as more of a checking mechanism for the green output.
3) the grey line is the average of all the other runs, which have slightly 'corrupted' input data, just to see what happens if things change a bit - so that might be a good long term "each way" sort of a bet.
would that sound right?
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brian
brian
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rogg, yep, think so. Although the "corruptions" in 3 are within the accuracy of the measurements, I think. So it's sort of: if we got the input data just a little bit wrong what would happen ?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Mattmulkeen, that's what i was kinda thinking, green up close, grey for a longer range punt. if green, grey and blue all on top of each other......... 
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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I bet you guys are nonstop fun at dinner parties 
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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Whitegold,
I used GO gel last time I saw Mrs whitegold - she did indeed last 45% longer!
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brian
brian
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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brian, you're a nice man  More forecasts like that please...
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brian
brian
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Very good bring it on 
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You know it makes sense.
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Since Meteoblue stopped making its rather pretty pictures available to all, I have been looking for a site which provides an animated impression of any upcoming precipitation. For my simple mind these are much easier to understand than any graphs. Found this today and thought it a good substitute - http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukm3
Edited to shorten link
Last edited by You know it makes sense. on Wed 28-11-07 16:05; edited 1 time in total
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brian
brian
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Poster: A snowHead
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brian, thanks for the link to Meteoblue. I can't find out how to get to that page from their home page.
Try this link for westwind - http://www.westwind.ch/?page=ukm3 - then select precip6/12h and then All.
Clearly the end result is similar to Meteoblue but the prediction seems to go further out.
There are more predictive sequences on westwind, but I haven't yet explored them.
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brian
brian
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Derek Jackson, yeah, there's tons of good links in there, including the NMM as posted on meteoblue:
http://www.westwind.ch/?page=nmm4
The one you've posted above is our very own met office's model.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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brian, yes, I did think it might be that. However, it shows Switzerland very nicely, but doesn't show the UK.
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brian, just looked at the NMM link, but it seems to be dated July 2007. Otherwise it would be much better for Switzerland. I can't tell at the moment whether the date is wrong or they are just not running it any longer.
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brian
brian
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Bit of a disappointing downgrade on the snow amounts for the weekend, but still significant snow and also slightly colder. Would rather have a high up mega dump myself, ymmv.
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brian
brian
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brian
brian
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Mattmulkeen, yes, and yes. That chart above is absolutely miles out, so nothing to worry about (yet !).
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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easy, everyone get a hair dryer out and point it towards the south coast on a cool setting and see if we can banish any Highs from settling in LOL.
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Any update on areas covering St Anton in Austria or Arosa in Switzerland ?? from Saturday onwards??
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Decided to look at one/two dayahead only forecasting as I keep getting my hopes up 2 much!!
The load of snow forecast this weekend has all but vanished from predictions!
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sparkzter, welcome to snowHeads. Sadly we all get used to the ups and downs of snow forecasting
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brian
brian
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sparkzter, welcome to s. Probably quite wise .... or go to Austria, they seem to be knicking all the snow ... on which note ...
rayscoops, St Anton looking good for some Mon/Tues action.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Any one care tp predict next 5 days or so as it appears as though it is warming up to me? 
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dk100,
next 5 days look more like average temps and some snow to me - beyond that is guesswork!
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brian
brian
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Mattmulkeen, brave +ve spin 
GFS has gone well and truly tits up for next week, but ECM still looks quite nice, more runs needed !
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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rayscoops, you're sure you're not tempted by Ischgl at all? I keep looking at stanton's fimbabahn photos and then have to go and change my pants.
(I'm only saying this 'cos I can't go 'til Feb, and the thought of all that snow going to waste is driving me potty)
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snojito, maybe but just booked a B&B for Euro 33 a night right in the middle of town - bargain may a day trip though could be on the cards
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dk100, said
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| Any one care to predict next 5 days or so |
Try the GFS Animation Panel - at the top, where it says "bitte wahlen" select the 850 hPa Temperatur and on the right where it says "bitte wahlen" select the niederschlag - let the images load, then run your mouse down the hours on the left to see the animated temperature & precipitation predictions for the next 7 days
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brian
brian
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brian, care to go with one or other of these models?
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FAQ
height rises to the NE and the next big low just stalls out in the atlantic. Bee-yoo-tee-ful 
).
