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Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
sorry
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 brian
brian
Guest
afcbtim, good news on the 12z GFS Very Happy

Has lurched a long way towards ECM's midnight run with a big HP ridge into the N Atlantic building on Sunday and consequently the alps getting a northerly feed early next week, High pressure then meandering across Europe bringing more settled conditions for a time.

Which could, coincidentally, be rather nice timing for my trip out to Switzerland a week on Thursday Very Happy

9 sleeps wink
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
I'm more interested in Scotland at the moment - not due in the dolomites for 25 ish days. Todays double digit temps up the mountain have given the snow pack a nasty beating already andmore mild weather is forecast before the weekend.
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 brian
brian
Guest
Dave Horsley, no sign of prolonged cold up north yet, just more of the rollercoaster.
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brian wrote:
afcbtim, good news on the 12z GFS Very Happy

Has lurched a long way towards ECM's midnight run with a big HP ridge into the N Atlantic building on Sunday and consequently the alps getting a northerly feed early next week, High pressure then meandering across Europe bringing more settled conditions for a time.

Which could, coincidentally, be rather nice timing for my trip out to Switzerland a week on Thursday Very Happy

9 sleeps wink


Obviously this sounds like good news for the alps and
I take it this means nothing for those of us desperate for snow in Andorra?
Puzzled Sad
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Looks like the wind will die down a bit at the Kirkham Street Sports and Social Club in Paignton, Devon.

http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_2626493.html?menu=
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 brian
brian
Guest
wrongsideof30, the North side of the Pyrenees should see a decent amount of snow at the weekend, heaviest towards the western end. Starting on Friday afternoon/evening and into Saturday with perhaps some more lighter snow on Sunday into Monday. Snowline up and down a bit but the heaviest bit on Friday night looks like being snow above 1500m or so.

Unfortunately I have no idea of Pyreneean geography, so I can't really tell you if that's much good for Andorra. Embarassed

Maybe metalhead132 or AlTom could chip in here ?
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
DB, Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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Does this help Brian??

http://www.j2ski.com/ski_resorts/Andorra/Andorran_Ski_Resorts_Map.html
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 brian
brian
Guest
kitenski, thanks. Ok, on that basis, I wouldn't be getting my hopes up, looks a bit too far east and to the south of the main ridge.
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brian wrote:
kitenski, thanks. Ok, on that basis, I wouldn't be getting my hopes up, looks a bit too far east and to the south of the main ridge.


C*ck Sad
realised it was a gamble booking flights for the 14th of Dec, still disappointed to lose my shirt so to speak

It seems a general rule of thumb if Austria is getting it Andorra won't is this about right?
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 brian
brian
Guest
Still looking good for a continuation of the alpine dumpage, the north and west again being favoured. Should be snowing by the small hours of Friday morning, initially below maybe 1800m or so then dropping to below 1500m by Saturday morning. Snow easing for a time on Saturday followed by a more intensive dump into Sunday and Monday. This will snow to progressively lower levels, should be down below 1000m by Monday.

Thereafter the trend looks like high pressure will take over and produce a more settled spell. A cold day on Tuesday but then major uncertainty as to where high pressure will position itself, fingers crossed.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
brian,

]
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Brian, have you checked out the 12Z wink
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 brian
brian
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lisach, yeah Laughing starts with "out" and ends with "lier". Classic. TWO showing remarkable restraint so far. wink

In the slightly more reliable range, GFS and MetO both showing a cold but dry setup for the alps by the middle of next week. GFS ensembles still all over the place, however. 06z run had about a 20 degree temperature spread for Saturday 15th rolling eyes Confidence still very low from Tuesday onwards but I'm fairly hopeful it'll be nothing drastic.
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
brian, any thoughts on when/if snow will arrive in the Tarentaise in the next 24 hours? I'm trying to decide where to park the car Smile
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
rob@rar, http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/tenday/FRXX0142?par=OAP&site=COLDH&code=null

Very Happy Very Happy
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
boredsurfin, thanks, but I'm hoping brian will be able to nail it down to the nearest hour so I can decide how best to avoid needing snowchains tomorrow Smile
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still having fun with your meriva then Rob? Is that going to be a topic on one of your lessons? Madeye-Smiley
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BruceW wrote:
still having fun with your meriva then Rob? Is that going to be a topic on one of your lessons? Madeye-Smiley

What an awful car!
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I think I can help brian - it started snowing 5 minutes ago Smile Now if he could tell me how much will fall...
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
rob@rar,

Its probably dumping in La Ros then?
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
johnboy wrote:
rob@rar,

Its probably dumping in La Ros then?

I doubt it.
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 brian
brian
Guest
rob@rar, should be fairly light overnight, then a beefier spell from about 8am or so. You could get 20cm -ish by the middle of the day.
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brian,

Sounds good Very Happy
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brian, excellent, I'll be out of Les Arcs by 7am so hopefully no need for chains if there's only light snow.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Rob,

Are the winter tyres not sufficent on their own ?
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Not in the rubbish hire car I have, especially when there was 30cm of unploughed snow on the uphill stretch of road from my garage. Normally this is cleared in the early hours, but as Les Arcs has not opened yet the road doesn't get cleared until later in the day. I've had to put chains on twice this week and I'm hoping to avoid using them for a third time.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
18Z backs up fantastic 12Z run today, ECM also in line. Whatever its 100% more interesting than a year ago.

Does Whitegold still post on here?
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Quote:
Does Whitegold still post on here?

Is the Pope a Catholic?
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 brian
brian
Guest
lisach, 12z was a bit colder though. I don't think that (18z) would cut it for Scotland and would be a big let down for the English rampers. wink Same thing in January with the extra cold could be epic, mind you.

The alps have been doing fine out of good old fashioned zonality though, thanks to the absence of the Euro high letting low pressures get through to deliver the goods.
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 brian
brian
Guest
pam w, dunno, but I suspect he's a loser. wink
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 brian
brian
Guest
Incidentally, I've been looking ahead a bit trying to figure out what's coming next week, but in the short term it's looking like a *very* snowy weekend in the French and western Swiss alps. Sunday in particular has dump written all over it. Accumulations of up to a metre are distinctly possible in the Savoie, Haute Savoie and wester lower Valais between now and Monday if recent runs come off. Very Happy
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brian, Cool
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Lashing down with rain in St Anton overnight at 1300 meters, hope the freeze level is not to low
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Raining at 1800m in Les Arcs at the moment, at 2 degrees. Guess it's snowing just a little bit up the hill.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
brian, great news

Off to Tignes later today until Monday night so decision time - now do I take my fat skis as well Toofy Grin
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
St Anton, Raining up fo 2200 but snow above! Just clearing up, What next because I have had blizzards, soft snow, blue sky and now rain all in 5 days
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Quote:
Sunday in particular has dump written all over it

Fantastic. Let's hope freezing levels are low enough. For us at home, Sunday has FLOOD written all over it - deep low passing over central England, probably at around high tide Sunday, after some days of strong south westerlies. We rarely get atmospheric pressure on the south coast as low as is currently being forecast in the met office surface pressure charts.
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So ..gong to Tignes on the 17th. Should I take my phat skis, or my rock skis ? Confused
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