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Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Thanks, my brain is now untangled. That Google trick is great!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Arno wrote:
trying not to get excited about the MASSIVE DUMP that seems to be showing up for Tues/Weds next week
too far ahead to tell...
too far ahead to tell...
too far ahead to tell...
Madeye-Smiley


It's coming It's coming Toofy Grin

(Snow-forecast say so Little Angel )

*ducks and runs*

Laughing Laughing Laughing
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
AxsMan wrote:
Arno wrote:
trying not to get excited about the MASSIVE DUMP that seems to be showing up for Tues/Weds next week
too far ahead to tell...
too far ahead to tell...
too far ahead to tell...
Madeye-Smiley

It's coming It's coming Toofy Grin
(Snow-forecast say so Little Angel )
*ducks and runs*
Laughing Laughing Laughing


Or torrential rain.......

*finds space in the cupboard to hide*
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David Murdoch, I have to agree with Alex A, on this one, not as far as his little spat with carled, is going, but in relation to the way this season has gone so far. You and I have both been out here long enough to know that despite what a lot of people may think, this is not a great season. How many powder days have we (I) really had, five to ten maybe? The snow below 1500m is shite for the time of year; the only worse years I can remember are those glorious years of the late eighties/early ninties and last year. Granted the snow above 1500m is fine, but that's all. I can't see them running the Hauts Forts slalom race in July this year!
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zzz, I have boarded about 20 days this year so far and have had 5 huge powder days, but surely the early season massive dumps have set the season up for an extended period, skiing from end of Nov to late in to the season hopefully at altitude due to the good base, which makes it a good season?. Quality and cover is one thing, but length of season is also an indicator as to how good the season is. For me the fact that I was knee deep in powder on 1st Dec and likely to be having decent conditions well in to April at EOSB is more important than snow cover at 1300 or how many powder days I have had.
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February was (in Europe!) by and large unseasonably warm & dry. Yes Agenterre, I know that for the first part of the month it was brass monkeys, especially at night, and this saved a mini-disaster by at least letting the resorts run the snow cannons for extended periods. Had it been as warm throughout Feb as it was at the end, then it would have been pretty glum indeed before the latest snow arrived.

Largely speaking I suppose that it's all utterly subjective... if you go out there and get great snow on any/all trips you have then you had a "great season..." If you're looking at it objectively and in pure statistics of the amount of snow that fell, then it suffers in comparison to many other years... agreed.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
The 12z run is trickling out - up to Monday 10th at the moment and it's pushing the precipitation through a bit sooner and looking like Switzerland/Northern French Alps & Austria will get precipitation a bit earlier than was looking likely. I say "precipitation" as at middling heights (1300-1500m) it may be a bit borderline for snow/sleet.

...

... just hanging on for a few mins here to see where this big lump of precipitation that's wellying the British Isles on Monday (damn strong winds too) is headed and how quickly...

...

Hmmm... Late Monday into Tuesday is starting to look very meteorologically interesting indeed for the Alpine regions... my word... very interesting indeed. Should be a nice set of wigglies for this run when they come out at about 7pm or thereabouts!
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
carled, tease... Twisted Evil
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ooohhhh 7.00pm snowHead
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carled, i take it you're a member on some weather forum... have you introduced them to the term "wigglies"? Very Happy
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Wowsers... loads and loads of precipitation right through Tuesday and into Wednesday. Being caused by the warm/cold fronts pretty much running all along Europe in a line running east/west so it's a ceaseless loop of dumping going on... Would cause some very nice accumulations of snow if it happens. What's the betting it will all slip South over the coming days... ?
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
shoogly wrote:
carled, i take it you're a member on some weather forum... have you introduced them to the term "wigglies"? Very Happy


No... oh hang on, yes, I think I am a member on netweather, but I hardly go on there anymore as I got fed up with all the idiots who take it personally if it snows in Norwich and they get nothing in Derby or something. There are too many people out there thinking the weather is running a personal vendetta against them...

I spend too much time on here as it is already, not enough time left over to play elsewhere!
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
carled, From last Thursday to Monday was the worst here. I haven't written a Gstaad report but the constant drizzle and warmth totally destroyed the slopes - even North-facing ones - another 24 - 48 hours of that and I think the season here apart from the Glacier would have beeen finished , and everything had been 'OK until then.

I'm amazed at how fast things can change .... This (yesterday) had looked like this ....

The photos are of Rellerli .. up to 1800m.

Today I have more snow on the patio than at any time since December .....

Given that this thread was primarily about looking at the weather then the state of the runs/ snow is less relevant .. agreed snowHead
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Agenterre, you even stayed within the lines with your white 'tip-ex' wink , excellent effort Very Happy
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
cathy, carled, dunce's hat duly dusted off Embarassed

Liking the sound of next week tho' Wink Nice and clear for travelling on Fri then a good dump early week would suit v nicely indeed
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Rumour has it all the snow will melt when carled goes skiing.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Timmaah, .. or Hell freezes over.... 'cos he's a Boarder
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Over a meter early next week for the north west facing area around Mont Blanc

http://www.j2ski.com/snow_forecast/France/Notre_Dame_de_Bellecombe_snow.html

http://www.webcam-ski.com/interfaces/les_saisies/interface.php?pk_interface=114&m=images&r=vue&pk_img_vue=1842
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carled, 19.05.......I'm waiting.... wink
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Quote:

carled, 19.05.......I'm waiting....



You're not the only one!....C'mon carled snowHead
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Well Kitzbuhel now has some very nice wigglies for next week - top set are colder and bottom set are nice & jaggedy snowHead snowHead snowHead
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
cathy, always lots of wiggles in the Tirol... Madeye-Smiley
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
All this talk of the big dump coming...well we got one today here in austria, easily 30cms+ inlast 48 hours, mostly today.

http://snowheads.com/ski-forum/viewtopic.php?p=883103#883103
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Sorry chaps & chapesses.... Wednesday night is volleyball training night! Only just got in and now going to relax in hot bath. The wigglies can wait until the morning... at least the weather ones can... Little Angel
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S/F now showing 50cms for Meribel Mon/Tues.
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from my reading of the wigglies, still a good possibility of snow around the 11th thru 13th March, the control run has a warm blip for 2 days starting on the 12th, but not many other runs agree.

After that carled's snowman is either going to melt or be very happy, as there is huge divergence around temperatures...but not much (any) new snow....

cheers,

greg
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
kitenski wrote:
from my reading of the wigglies, still a good possibility of snow around the 11th thru 13th March, the control run has a warm blip for 2 days starting on the 12th, but not many other runs agree.

cheers,

greg


No - well not for Wengen anyway! - the snow will arrive on or around the 9th, not the 11th and stay until the 13th on and off. Then a clear, warm period (without rain, fortunately) then a drop back down in temps and more snow around the 19th/20th = maybe a day or so before if the weather systems kick in a bit quicker. A bit of sunshine/clear skies in between the snow too.

Lots of freshies for MSB crew in Wengen! A slight word of warning though is that the snow is coming from the Southerly edge of the weather system... if that tracks any further North then Switzerland and Austria will start to run the risk of missing out on the snow. It would have to shift a fair way though and the risk only seems there from Tuesday - Sunday/Monday is looking pretty much nailed on for a bit of the lovely white stuff now... famous last word probably... wink

Kranjska Gora is in line for a bit of earlier snow from the looks of things - I can see the end of the lump of precipitation circling around Italy at the moment shoving up and over Slovenia starting tomorrow and maybe into Saturday. It's a decaying system so not huge amounts of snow, but any snow is good snow, right Fruity? Then it should be patchy clear/cloudy for a day or so until the weather system coming in from the West (that hits Switzerland/Austria on Sunday) makes it into Slovenia by Monday and should hang around until Tue/Wed and then clear up for a couple of days before the chance of more snow later in the week.

Confidence-wise, I can't see the Alps missing out on the snow coming through on Sunday/Monday (and, indeed as there is a huge pool of precipitation currently circling a couple of hundred km South of the alps with a few bits breaking off and tracking North, Italy/Austria/Slovenia/Bulgaria may well get a few 'splinter groups' of snow before the main event shows up on Sunday) as that weather system looks too well set in to break up now... we'll see... The outlook beyond Monday/Tuesday is a little less certain as some of the wigglies go for the frontal system moving off North and some have it sticking South enough to help the Alps out. I think it stands a good chance of sticking in the right longitude to continue delivering snow as things stand... bit of sleet/rain down below 1000-ish metres as things push through to next Weds/Thurs maybe, but not too bad in the grand scheme of things.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
carled, Very Happy
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
carled,
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Oohyah. First proposals, now kisses... Embarassed I'll get my impact shorts ready in case I'm in for an arse-kicking if it all goes pear-shaped...

Where are you off to Hurtle? Verbier this Saturday?
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
carled,
Quote:

Verbier this Saturday
Saturday week (15th) Toofy Grin
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
carled, Laughing Laughing Thanks again for your interpretations snowHead
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Hurtle, nice timing... Very Happy
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No worries. Yeah I'll be in Wengen from 15th-22nd, so although it'll be a warm start to our weeks, it should turn colder and end up with some fresh snowfalls to play with... fingers crossed. At least there's fresh snow going to be falling between now and then to keep the pistes topped up and that has to be good news. Very Happy
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carled, keep it up and Hurtle and I promise we'll play nice.
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carled, sounds promising! It's much more interesting reading the bits and bobs going on with the changing forecast than just getting angry with snow-forecast / metcheck / etc when that massive dump of snow turns to rain Mad Not that we're any more in control, at least I've got a rough idea of why it's all happening...

I'll join the others in thanking you...

No kissing from me though wink
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
carled, what are your weather forecasting credentials?
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Fruity wrote:
carled, keep it up and Hurtle and I promise we'll play nice.


woo-hoo! Threesome!



Embarassed
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goaty wrote:
carled, what are your weather forecasting credentials?


None whatsoever. Why? Do I need some? Are you the forecast police and I'm going to be done for unlicensed forecasting now... Oh dear. Time to shut up the market stall and leg it...
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Shocked Next you'll be telling me I didnt meet Santa in Lapland, last ski holiday.....please carled, tell me it's not true.... snowHead that webcam can't lie surely? NehNeh
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