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The All New 15/16 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@Coco, your question is answered near the top of this page, I believe. A few different posts address it and I think the answer was freezing rain but go have a look and see what the knowledgeable ones had to say.

Edit: page 33, not this page (obviously wink )
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Lauka wrote:
@Coco, your question is answered near the top of this page, I believe. A few different posts address it and I think the answer was freezing rain but go have a look and see what the knowledgeable ones had to say.

Edit: page 33, not this page (obviously wink )


Of course if you get serious unsettled weather then that will tend to mean low pressure which will tend to mean no inversion.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
2006/7 ... was an el nino year i think

does seem similar ... don't remember the uk being so brutally wet.

pretty sure most resorts had less snow at this stage though.
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@nozawaonsen, perfect sense, thanks for explaining
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Take what you want from this 9 day accumulated snowfall forecast. Alot can change.
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nozawaonsen wrote:
@Whitegold, not quite sure what you mean by the calculator line?

I've put up some supporting evidence from a perfectly reputable source, but it could be wrong and as ever there are lots of ways you can count these things.

Have you got anything that says otherwise? As I said if you do then why not share it?

Regardless of what the total was it was how it fell that caused the problem. All early in the season and then very mild. And the closed very early.

But yes Mount Baker normally gets lots of snow. Happens to be a bit awkward for me to get there mind you.


Personally don't give a flying pig for how much snow they have in Mt Baker
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About 5cm of snow overnight across the Northern French Alps... above 1900-2300 meters (N to S). Doesn't seem to have done too much harm to the snow lower down where there is any. This is the bottom of the 7 laux ski area this morning. the Belledonne range got rain to a high altitude.

- webcam link.


2010/2011 was another shocker of a season.
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Ooooh! Very Happy snowHead

http://www.bergfex.com/obergurgl-hochgurgl/webcams/c9206/
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I just received this in an email this morning:
Quote:
Big Snows Arrive
The Alps have been deluged by snow, giving the season a hugely-better start than last year. France in particular has had huge dumps. We’ll be updating weekly throughout the winter so keep logging on.

That's interesting, I thought, I didn't see anything on the forecast thread about that.

Lies and filth.

Is a slight dusting "hugely better" that the "none at all" conditions last year? Not sure where the aforementioned deluge is?! rolling eyes
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@Scarlet, Who was that from please?
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It is certainly better than last year right now though it could be a lot worse by the end of the year. Surely nobody believes that sort of rubbish? Laughing
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
red 27 wrote:
@Scarlet, Who was that from please?


NAME AND SHAME
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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Toenail deep powder in Val D'I today. Not sure that quite qualifies as a "huge dump".
Remember 20 years ago this year. Only the Tignes glacier was open in the EK at this time. This is not unprecedented by any means.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
How much has snowmaking capability changed in that time though?

Just playing devil's advocate as from what i recall there is a lot at Tignes below the glacier which doesn't have cannons (and that they are little help when it's too warm)
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
I smell a change in the air
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@Rob Mackley, Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
nozawaonsen wrote:
Whitegold wrote:
^ Using the same source. Just add up the Nov 2014 to May 2015 season.


Fair enough, but like I say the problem wasn't the overall snowfall, but the distribution during the season (all at one point) and the warm weather in the second half.

Either way fair to say Mount Baker normally gets a lot of snow. But still isn't any closer to where I live.


It's just up the road from me, but sadly never skied there! All of the PNW, BC Canada, Utah, Colorado are set to get nuked by that jet stream up and into Christmas. I guess Santa felt bad about not giving us any snow last year, and made a deal with the Heat Miser to stay away.



http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=sew&textField1=48.80&textField2=-121.63&zone=1#.VnGlukorIdU
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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When is it going to snow in the alps?

(Is there an echo?). Very Happy
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Well, a little colder and the chance of some snow for Xmas week on the 12z op, at least for the Arlberg.

Maybe.

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Spoooon. It will be fine. Chill our .
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Out
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Soon
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After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
iPhones !!!
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That green line does not look great.
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Wondering how Phil's posting will work out later tonight.

Him and that grumpy sod on the other thread should be good entertainment Very Happy
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Miloser?
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I have forgotten the (/)() sequence, so spell checker will stop the abide. But he dies seem a total cock.
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And he is on lonkkened in. Hag aha. Lattes . Xx
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Filthyphil30k wrote:
Lattes . Xx


Yes - I'd suggest about dozen of them followed by a lie down Smile


Last edited by You know it makes sense. on Wed 16-12-15 20:51; edited 2 times in total
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Linked in. Obviously.
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
LOL

That reminds me, must avoid the booze at this Fridays works do!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Quote:

Is a slight dusting "hugely better" that the "none at all" conditions last year?


"Big dumps" is clearly utter pish, but anyone heading to the Tarentaise at least should be in no doubt that conditions are, at least, "hugely better" than last year. Make no mistake about that. It's not great right now by any means, but "not great" is "hugely better" than "catastrophic".


Last edited by Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person on Wed 16-12-15 22:46; edited 1 time in total
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Evertime I log in ... I'm hoping to see the wonderful wizard of Noz saying ECM is showing something ... or lets see if GFS holds that for a couple of runs ....


... but nothing ... meh!

Come on the 17th December ... you did it last year
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Piemonster wrote:
LOL

That reminds me, must avoid the booze at this Fridays works do!


Quite. Feel better now.

Milliom still seems annoying.
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@Filthyphil30k, milliom !! Yup !!!
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@Filthyphil30k, milliom !! Yup !!!
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There were a few dustings last December too, not "nothing at all". They just didn't make any lasting and significant difference, just like now, and there was less base because November snow came earlier than this year and mostly was gone by December. If we go without significant snow for 7 weeks again, then the next snow fall will be not before New Year by which time more base will be gone. It's just too warm and it doesn't look like this is going to change at least for the next 10 days.
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Unfortunately 1st half of January skiers will be starting to sweat soon. This current situation with jet stream stuck around British Isles seems v stable or stuck. Seems different to previous periods of prolonged early Winter high pressure over Alps when weather was v settled here also. Let's hope it breaks soon
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I am going on the 4th Feb, not in the least worried yet. The first half of Jan is still 3-4 weeks out, nearly a full month. Plenty of time for it to change. really can't see the stream being stuck for a whole month.
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i went skiing on 29 December and the conditions at this point were far worse. I was saved by the huge dump on 27 December. I'm going on 2 January this year so I've got an extra 4 days cushion. Fingers crossed. snowHead
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