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The All New 15/16 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
I've updated the map near the top of this page (scratch that- repasted below)for 12z GFS. Delivers in a tight band for parts of Austria (Tirol) and Switzerland (SW), but a bit mean otherwise. It will change.

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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
My Daughter has just text from La Rosiere. Today was "so hot". Confused
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Interesting that all the raw weather data seems to come from German web sites.
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massive op precipitation spike on the 47:10 12Z
http://www.ski-finder.co.uk/grab_gfs.php?lat=47&lon=10
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Mollerski wrote:
My Daughter has just text from La Rosiere. Today was "so hot". Confused


FL was over 3000m, maybe 3500.

Here's looking over to Alpe d'Huez and Les Deux Alpes

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Quote:

massive op precipitation spike

massive rain if that comes true, so good job it probably won't
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
@pam w, 47:10 is the Arlberg/Ischgl area where most of the slopes are 2000m+ so if this forecast comes true it could be a lot of snow for many of the pistes.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
@pam w, depends what altitude you were at.

@jbob, no it doesn't.

@Mollerski, couldn't possibly comment on whether your daughter and her friends are hot.
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Quote:

depends what altitude you were at

well yes. But not good for most of us!
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Biggest El Nino ever recorded...

https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn28595-massive-el-nino-sweeping-globe-is-now-the-biggest-ever-recorded/?cmpid=NLC%7CNSNS%7C2015-1012-GLOBAL&utm_medium=NLC&utm_source=NSNS
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
-2 in Chamonix at lunch time when we arrived...

Out of the sun frost everywhere, still snow in our garden...
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
A look at the snow at Chamrousse


http://youtube.com/v/b2YoBwMXOpo
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
@davidof, great video! Over a month until I get skiing and we're going to Tignes so not directly relevant but I'm enjoying learning from this thread. I don't understand much but it's all interesting.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@pam w, good things *could happen*

well of course they will, but will it coordinate with everyone's Christmas holidays is something else.

Again, the annual Christmas thriller
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Quote:

-2 in Chamonix at lunch time when we arrived...

inversion. There were reports last week that they were running snow cannons in Praz sur Arly when it was balmy up in Les Saisies with freezing level around 2600m.
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@pam w, Could be although the difference in the sun, or not, astonishing. 4C in the sun, -2C in the shade... At least according to the car.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
pam w wrote:
Quote:

depends what altitude you were at

well yes. But not good for most of us!


Depends on what you mean by 'most' of us. There are very many people with holidays booked, or apartments in high altitude locations.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Chamonix met for today said "temperature inversion toward 1400 m early in the morning" and zero isotherm at 2700m. It would probably have been a lot warmer than 4 degrees up the mountain in the sun.
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@pam w, seems reasonable.

But all said, it is remarkably snowy.

We shall see Saturday what the pistes are like.
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@emwmarine, some of those forecasts would see rain falling to over 2000m, I reckon. And everyone will be up your way if that's the case. wink
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Judging by this lil beaut, its time to book Norway!
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
mcspreader wrote:
Judging by this lil beaut, its time to book Norway!


but it are only hills there to ski on... but yeah, thought about that too.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!

There's always one site that is overly optimistic! 😳
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I think I'll add if you're booked for christmas best pack your walking boots.
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The North certainly looks Eisbedeckt, @mcspreader, absolutely perishing up there (and dark). I'll take my chances in France!
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
francium. wrote:
I think I'll add if you're booked for christmas best pack your walking boots.


Great contribution to the thread rolling eyes
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
pam w wrote:
The North certainly looks Eisbedeckt, @mcspreader, absolutely perishing up there (and dark). I'll take my chances in France!


lots of snow, rolling hills to ski on, with 5 hours of daylight at Christmas... hmmm. You'll find me in the sun at 2500 meters in the Alps, dodging my way through the rocks down hill
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Folks: This is going to work out for Christmas with the snow.

I got a feeling. Trust me on this. It will make you feel better.

And if I'm wrong, after you skied over a rock, you can pick it up and throw it at me, as if it were my fault.

Anyway, I wear a helmet when I ski snowHead
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Yes agreed. We ll get some snow next tues and weds..... Possibly more around 24th too... Long way out still......

No need for walking boots!!!!
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
HeidiAmsterdam wrote:
Folks: This is going to work out for Christmas with the snow.

I got a feeling. Trust me on this. It will make you feel better.

And if I'm wrong, after you skied over a rock, you can pick it up and throw it at me, as if it were my fault.

Anyway, I wear a helmet when I ski snowHead


I hope you're right Heidi. (About the helmet) Laughing
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
12 deg C forecast for next Thursday in morzine Shocked Confused
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@duncansarmy, 7 days is a wee bit far out for a reliable forecast.

Ok, so the models today might be showing a spike, but by tomorrow it will probably have gone.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
HeidiAmsterdam wrote:


Anyway, I wear a helmet when I ski snowHead


My kinda Heidi! Madeye-Smiley
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Quote:

the models today might be showing a spike

If only it were a spike. Meteo France sees FL at over 2600m for the 6 days ahead - but mercifully no precipitation. GFS very warm too. Big inversions might help with snowmaking at lower altitudes. Meteo Chamonix also has it very mild though with much uncertainty after Tuesday. Thankfully. I am ready to clutch at straws. wink
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notnats wrote:
massive op precipitation spike on the 47:10 12Z
http://www.ski-finder.co.uk/grab_gfs.php?lat=47&lon=10


he left the party, and now he's back
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
yes, I shuddered when I saw that....let's hope he p1sses off again, unless the temperatures drop dramatically.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Altitude, Pam, Altitude
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@notnats, the vast majority of ski resorts aren't high enough to cope with temperatures of the order being predicted. Top of Tignes might be spectacular (though a trifle crowded, especially if they don't get the funicular going Twisted Evil ). If it stays the way it's looking (which hopefully it won't) the Portes du Soleil, the Grand Massif and much else besides will be looking very sad by Christmas.

I keep hoping someody knowledgeable is going to contradict me. Please? Anyone?
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pam w wrote:
@notnats, the vast majority of ski resorts aren't high enough to cope with temperatures of the order being predicted. Top of Tignes might be spectacular (though a trifle crowded, especially if they don't get the funicular going Twisted Evil ). If it stays the way it's looking (which hopefully it won't) the Portes du Soleil, the Grand Massif and much else besides will be looking very sad by Christmas.

I keep hoping someody knowledgeable is going to contradict me. Please? Anyone?


You know the situation is bad when Pam looses her cool. I've accepted defeat. Found peace. There'll be other years.
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