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Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
red 27 wrote:
Agenterre, apologies - must have been me on the ale... the original post makes perfect sense in the cold light of day Sad


No problem ... my writing would fail the 'Breathalyser Test' after 2 glasses of Diet Coke wink

Still can't see how the damn systems will push in from the North though .... Experts ????
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Something seems to be stirring around the 25th - too far out to get really excited about but at least something to keep an eye on instead of the flat line we've had for a while.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
there's a big low building up over nova scotia way and the jet stream is about to change... does this mean we'll get a system coming in to push into the high pressure cold air and make it snow?

me, i know nothing Very Happy
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25th would be good. we'll be on our planks riding the white lines by then Very Happy
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
looks like after the 20th, its going to get annoyingly warm again for a longer spell, hopefully it will change quickly, although the gfs run has been pretty steady since monday so...........
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booo
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
i know lol, although now the gfs runs are showing some precipitation around the 25th/26th/27th of february, and if happens would mean snow to medium/high altitude. There also may be a little sprinkle around the 21st but that just may fizzle out. The runs also show a cool down from the 29th to below average temps, hopefully getting rid of this high pressure that is 'stuck' over the alps and carrying on into early march but it is way too far off to tell. The snow is holding up well though, with excellent skiing still being reported from a number of resorts Very Happy half term will start of cool from the 16th with below average temperatures to the 19th, then a rise up to average temps until about the 21st. It should then warm up and stay above average until the 29th, when the predicted cool down may happen. Fingers crossed for more snow to come! Very Happy
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
if what you say is true, then it's going to be warmer for our whole week away... mind you, warmer than -18ºC at night can't be bad.

and... it's weather, anything can happen!
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abar1990, Do you do 'Crystal-Ball' as well?
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Well on the basis of the high pressure hanging around for another week or so I've agreed to do some ski instruction for a week starting sunday.All quite nerve racking, will be my first proper instruction, I do have a canadian qualification, but never formally used it in anger. Anyhow sods law says it will snow next week and I'll be stuck do snow ploughs on blue runs.
Snow is holding up well around here, a day walking and playing onnursery slope with my son at Ramsau, 1200m, sunny, plenty of snow, got a little soft in afternoon, but freezing well overnight. Some good depth of surface hoar forming in shaded areas, quite nice to ski before it gets too deep and sugary.
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Am going to La Thuile in 36 hours!

Snow-forecast.com is predicting snow showers Saturday night and Sunday. Given what everyone is saying is that likely to happen???? Should I be worried? Thanks
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
waynos, where and who will you be teaching for? Good luck with it Smile
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
wazza - should you be worried about what? It's gonna be sunny, cold at night, and maybe a flurry over the weekend, warming up by next weekend - sounds good to me!
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
I know it's a while off, but how much is the temperature going to go up?

metcheck have the freezing levels going WAY up next friday!!!
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
something i've noticed this season is that the GFS seems to always be showing it warming up towards the end of it's forecast period. as time progresses it seems to push back this warming period a bit, so if you're worried about the forecast that's based on the gfs thingie as a lot seem to be, don't despair yet. (this is only something i've noticed, and is not based on anything meteorologically based, just a trend i've seen in the wiggly lines - i'm also quite an optimist at heart Laughing )
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
GFS always seems to have a nice dump on it's outliers as well that doesnt often show up!!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
well, snowAngels newmoon theory will be getting tested out soon. i think i trust her way of thinking more than any other! Very Happy
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
shoogly, uncanny. Long way out, but looking like snow towards the end of next week.
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indeed, the 6z GFS run for Engelberg has lost the heatwave and is starting to look hopeful....(but still far out in fantasty island at the moment)

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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
I think we should start a Snowangel appreciation society...

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/snow_forecast.asp?resortID=37

only one week to go until we fly out and it looks like (though i won't start believing it until the middle of next week) we may just have some fresh white stuff to go out and play in.

Who needs GFS when we've got the moon Puzzled
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Ditto, shoogly, suddenly the models are showing something VERY different for the end of next week. There's even a couple of millimetres of snow forecast for Les Gets Very Happy
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
As long as there's a big dump of fresh before we get out there on the 2nd March Very Happy
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
12z doesnt make great viewing Sad all that precipitation for next weeked seems to be rapidly disapearing

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still looking like "something" may happen 21st Feb onwards....according to GFS, hopefully it means the high pressure is sodding off!!

Any experts care to comment if other models agree?
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shoogly wrote:
I think we should start a Snowangel appreciation society...

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/snow_forecast.asp?resortID=37

only one week to go until we fly out and it looks like (though i won't start believing it until the middle of next week) we may just have some fresh white stuff to go out and play in.

Who needs GFS when we've got the moon Puzzled

i was talking to a freind here about the moon and aparently if its sunny on a new moon (which it was the last one) it will stay sunny all month!
lets hope we get a bit next week, we could use it. But i dont think there will be a lot and i think the next big one will come just before the next new moon.
Very much wishfull thinking, fingers and everything else crossable crossed
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Sorry guys, definitely no dumps and a bit warmer in the Alps up till the end of the month (more optimistic for the Pyrenees). I'm hoping for something better beyond my horizon.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
P10DW, all the models are unsure past wednesday (i hope)
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
norris, Sorry should have highlighted - definitely -
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
if you look at the gfs above you'll see most of the runs (lines) are close together out to the 26th - a sign that the forecast is 'relatively firm' over that period. even beyond that they're not too wildly disparate.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
That high can stay right where it is, I'm enjoying the sunshine and the alternative doesn't bare thinking about looking at the 12z GFS!!
snow conditions
 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Winterhighland, too right. At least there is still good cover at all but the lowest altitudes, and cold nights to blow snow. And sunshine. Given that this is half term, these are much nicer conditions for families than blizzards and much nicer for everyone than rain!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
The latest GFS run for the PDS shows the temp is dropping all the time from what the models were predicting earlier last week. Looks like we might land a week early to get any fresh snow, but the lines are getting a LOT closer together come March...

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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
pam w wrote:
Winterhighland, too right. At least there is still good cover at all but the lowest altitudes, and cold nights to blow snow. And sunshine. Given that this is half term, these are much nicer conditions for families than blizzards and much nicer for everyone than rain!


I have to agree. Just back from La Clusaz and it was fantastic. Perfect blue sky every day and fantastic conditions with very cold nights to maintain great cover. Granted the snow two weeks ago made a difference but its just perfect out there now, 99% happy customers, just a few moans from those without children!
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GFS is showing a little snowfall for 21/22 Feb or am i mis-reading it?
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anybody like to opine on the possibilities for new snow in Verbier? I'm not worrying about it (yet) just wondering. Thank you.
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Temp now PLUMMETING as February becomes March....dammit, that's as we land back home Sad
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Yeah, but by the looks of it, you'll have fresh snow to ski during the majority of next week Very Happy
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
shoogly wrote:
Yeah, but by the looks of it, you'll have fresh snow to ski during the majority of next week Very Happy


Hang on a second, does this mean that new snow in the week starting Sat 23 Feb is getting more likely?
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horizon wrote:
shoogly wrote:
Yeah, but by the looks of it, you'll have fresh snow to ski during the majority of next week Very Happy


Hang on a second, does this mean that new snow in the week starting Sat 23 Feb is getting more likely?


Depends on where your asking for!! Looking like "something" may happen for the GFS I've looked at for Engelberg 25th onwards, however

1. the runs don't agree
2. temperatures look all over the shop
3. It's a long way off
4. I'm no expert - hopefully one of the experts will be along shortly....
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We'll be based in Bourg St Maurice, skiing Les Arcs for the first couple of days but then heading anywhere in the area that the snow is good (within 1 hr drive, though). It's an offpiste ski holiday so good piste conditions aren't what we're after.

I won't grumble TOO much if we end up doing spring skiing on corn, but we could use some powder...
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