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The All New 14/15 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
When I got up, half an hour ago, it was still chucking it down, and looked very windy, but the snow seems to have eased off now, thankfully. Not stopped though. No idea how much has fallen - a lot.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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30-40cm is the official estimate in Tignes- but its still doing 60kph sideways - its going to be a long wait for the Millonex drag in the village........
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Thank you @chocksaway, but where is this official figure published.
Certainly looks a lot more to me
And as soon as i posted snowfall down to a trickle, it started to fall again quite heavily.
Visibility changing by the minute from "not bad" to "dire" with frequent strong gusts of wind.
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@zzz, indeed Happy
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@Jonpim, same here, very heavy windblown snow now. I tried to see whether our chairlift was running. It's very close but couldn't see it - visibility is poor - but could hear a piste basher at work, so the lift will not be open yet.

Especially in the high resorts there will be many lifts and pistes closed today.

I couldn't estimate depth here but am going to have to go out and start digging the terrace soon so will have a better idea. It's very uneven, of course.
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@Jonpim, It is published here:
http://www.tignes.net/en/skiing-in-tignes/tignes-weather-215.html
The head of piste services also confirms it on the radio - but his high speed French is generally too quick for me.

The measurement (I believe) takes place at the met station near the DVA training area in Le Lac.

Of course as Pam says its all a bit academic.
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Very heavy snow across the Pyrenees, with snow falling below 600m. Strong winds are closing some lifts, and with falling temperatures access is going to be difficult by road to some resorts.

Up to 40cm fresh on the ground this morning, with heavy snow continuing until the middle of next week.

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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My 50 cm guess for Tignes not too far off mark if add 18+34 cm.

Powder off side of Almes over knee deep. But very heavy. Keep getting stuck in it. And cracking. Wind is still wild.
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Still snowing fit to bust here - as heavy as it's been at any time since the storm began.
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Quote:

Especially in the high resorts there will be many lifts and pistes closed today.


Which is why if we had our 'druthers, while the snow is very welcome, this really isn't the ideal weather we'd ruther want. I am not complaining so far however...

Looking at the Grand Montets webcams looked like fairly typical wind blown accumulations. Pretty deep in places, not so much on the roof of the Bochard lift. And not so very much running - whether due wind or security I don't know.
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Whats the longer term forecast, looking into 2nd week of Feb for La Clusaz?
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
the best days are in raging storms if you head for the comfort of the trees.
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Not much open in Val disere today due to v high wind and piste security. We took funi from La Daille when it opened in the morning but conditions were diabolical at the top, got the wind burn on my face to prove it!
Le Fornet better in the afternoon. Still snowing, hopefully more open tomorrow.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
I don't think val disere tignes has been more than two thirds open so far this season. Yesterday they were showing only 23 out of 164 runs open. They need a spell of settled weather. snowHead
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Peter S wrote:
I don't think val disere tignes has been more than two thirds open so far this season.


The Espace killy web sites will never show 100% of lifts open. The summer glacier lifts do not open in the winter & are therefore always shown as closed wink


Last edited by Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name: on Sat 31-01-15 9:27; edited 1 time in total
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Yesterday in Les Arcs was challenging but I could feel my skiing improve over the day. Also, there's something magical about a quiet run through trees loaded with fresh snow.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Is there any sign of this weather settling. As fantastic as it has been to get a proper dump, if everything is closed then you are better off on worn and thin pistes that are open, obviously I realise for the sake of the season this dump helps but I am due out on Tuesday. What does the next 4-5 days look like?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@mheadbee, looks good - you're timing is excellent.
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mheadbee wrote:
Is there any sign of this weather settling. As fantastic as it has been to get a proper dump, if everything is closed then you are better off on worn and thin pistes that are open, obviously I realise for the sake of the season this dump helps but I am due out on Tuesday. What does the next 4-5 days look like?


You're right if the whole resort is shut but I skied Val D'Isere earlier in the week and some runs were so icy as to be approaching being dangerous. Skiing powder bumps in Les Arcs was much better. At least if you fall over it won't hurt as much and you know you'll stop and not keep sliding down with nothing to stop you.

I'm hoping The Dolomites has sunshine and well groomed pistes waiting for me and the other Snowheads on the Bash

snowHead
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Quote:

Raven
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Posts: 230
You're right if the whole resort is shut but I skied Val D'Isere earlier in the week and some runs were so icy as to be approaching being dangerous. Skiing powder bumps in Les Arcs was much better. At least if you fall over it won't hurt as much and you know you'll stop and not keep sliding down with nothing to stop you.


Of course you are right, the likelihood of it all being shut is low, head for the trees etc. I would take good pistes and great visibility over powder because I struggle to see when it is overcast, I literally go from a very good boarder to utterly useless within seconds if it clouds over. I have tried skiing with my glasses on but as I wear bifocals the "blind spot" is around 4-5 foot away which is probably the worst possible scenario for snowboarding as you tend to see a slight blur/out of focus strip. Close up it looks good and long distance it looks good but the bit you really want to see is a bit messy. When it gets overcast I literally start to catch edges, drop into slight bumps that I can't see and jar my back and I suddenly become a complete novice again..truly frustrating. If it is powder at least you can glide through it and feel it more than see it so it I will take powder and clouds as the second best option.

Can't bloody wait until Tuesday.
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Renry wrote:
Whats the longer term forecast, looking into 2nd week of Feb for La Clusaz?
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Looks like winter has properly arrived.
La Plagne now looking majestic. So much snow in the car park its difficult to differentiate cars from mounds of snow.
Lots of pistes almost same as "off piste". Moguls appearing all over the place.
It was gloriously sunny this morning, and kneee-deep soft fluffy snow everywhere.
Now snowing heavily again - local knowledge suggests another 20cm tonight.
Feel sorry for those leaving today, but for those coming out, they are in for a glorious week - you just might need to find some trees if you don't like skiing blind.
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By 9am this morning we had a metre of fresh here in the Pyrenees. Heavy snow has continued for most of the day and is set to continue overnight and into Monday.

High risk of avalanche (only to be expected) and delays in opening lifts due to so much snow (again only to be expected).

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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@nozawaonsen, Hi, sorry to bother you, but wondering if you could comment....

Off to Corvara tomorrow, just looking at GFS, it shows that whilst Monday and Tuesday will be nice and quiet wrt weather, Wednesday onwards looks like approx 30-40cm of snow for the dolomites Toofy Grin Toofy Grin

Can you please just pass comment on how likely this might be 3-4 days out? The 'wigglies' are not exactly all converging as one line...

Really appreciate your expert thoughts, looking forward to a great 9 days whatever the weather brings, but some fresh would be lurverly lol Madeye-Smiley

Thanks Neil
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Hmmm... now where did I park my car?
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A cold week coming up for the Alps.



Decent snow in the French Alps tomorrow, pshing east later.

WRF Sunday 12z http://www.meteocenter.eu/index.php?id=regions&region=S&section=precip&forecast=Snow&time=30#model

And again Monday overnight and again reaching the eastern Alps later in the day.

WRF Monday 03z http://www.meteocenter.eu/index.php?id=regions&region=S&section=precip&forecast=Snow&time=45#model

And a strong Genoa low. Which should bring heavy snow midweek to the Itlaian Alps and then up into Austria at the back end of the week.

@neilkav, Thursday 05 December looks particularly snowy for the Dolomites.



Les Deux Alpes.

Chamonix.

The Arlberg.

Hintertux.

Bad Gastein.

Sestriere.

Folgaria.

Zermatt.

Cairngorm.

Hemsedal.

Eastern Pyrenees.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Conditions are tricky right now.

A very precarious avalanche situation will be encountered over a wide area
http://www.slf.ch/lawinenbulletin/schneedecke_wetter/index_EN

Sadly four skiers killed in an avalanche at Grisons earlier today.

http://lci.tf1.fr/france/faits-divers/quatre-morts-dans-une-avalanche-dans-les-alpes-suisses-8556817.html

It's been an especially tough week with the Vallon d'arby avalanche and the six tourers killed last weekend in France as well as several other incidents.
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This morning's output pulls snowfall further South around 05 Feb (meaning much lighter snow for the Alps), but a mix amongst the ensembles. So not clear one way or another.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Two more fatalities in Switzerland on Saturday with three on Thursday and Friday. Nine in three days in Switzerland.

http://www.rts.ch/info/suisse/6504556-crainte-de-nouveaux-drames-en-raison-du-danger-d-avalanche-en-montagne.html

As well as two fatalities in the Black Forest and one in Damüls as a result of avalanches in the last two days.
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carnage, jesus
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 Poster: A snowHead
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Sadly one of the women seriously injured in the Grisons avalanche passed away overnight bringing to 10 the number of avalanche fatalities in Switzerland in the last three days.

http://www.ledauphine.com/france-monde/2015/02/01/dix-skieurs-tues-par-des-avalanches-en-trois-jours
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Ski resorts in the Appenines (IT) have difficulties opening up their slopes. But not because snow is scarce. Yesterday in Campo Imperatore.

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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Crazy snow in the Central Pyrenees, after yesterdays 1 metre, we have had another metre and maybe more. Strong winds and too much snow have closed both Superbagneres and Peyragudes, and at Baqueira (reporting 120cm of fresh) they only have a handful of runs open.

Still snowing heavily and more to come.

Hoping for a calm window tomorrow - but avalanche risk is 5/5.

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^ sounds, er, great Puzzled
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Pictures from live updates at french www.skipass.com

La Pierre Saint Martin (Pyrenees), lifts closed due to avalanche risk 5 on scale 5


Piau-Engaly, 200 cms accumulated new snow on sunday 1st, still more to come
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More snow heading for the Apennines during the week...
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Sadly the women in a critical comdition folloiwng the Damüls incident also passed away during the night.

http://vorarlberg.orf.at/news/stories/2692429/

A tough week. Stay safe out there.
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in Eeast Tirol, the report says that 5 British Soldiers hitted by an avalanche but, thank God, all of them are alive....
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Been snowing here in bourg d'oisans all day. The heaviest it's been over the last few days
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Isn't is wonderful when the weather forecasters get it wrong the right way (my father was irish).
Two weeks ago the present "snow-storm" for the Tarentaise was predicted. At first it was nearly 2 metres, but this gradually reduced to 80cm.
Of course, the original prediction is going to be nearer the mark,
It's now been snowing here in La Plagne on-and-off since Thursday - 4 days. its still snowing now.
Today there is knee deep soft fluffy snow everywhere. A bit windy up top, but just bliss down among the trees.
Next time I consider moaning about forecasts overdoing the predicted snow, i will remind myself of this weekend.
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