 Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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After seeing forecasts about El Nino and La Nina for years I generally now shrug and say whatever as they almost never forecast what happens in Europe accurately.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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The article is a month old...whats the latest?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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I posted in the same spirit as DoTM - what will be will be. Local conditions can be great in an awful year etc etc.
But interesting nontheless, I think.
long range forecasting an interesting science.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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or Never mind the ...
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| Quote: |
long range forecasting an interesting science.
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Definitely interesting and I follow the current year weather thread closely but given the inaccuracies involved shouldn't it be better referred to as long range speculation 
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@valais2, yeah.
Total bollox.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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| Dave of the Marmottes wrote: |
| After seeing forecasts about El Nino and La Nina for years I generally now shrug and say whatever as they almost never forecast what happens in Europe accurately. |
Probably true - interestingly it appears accurate in North America, and have based trips around it, and been very happy 
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Give me a white strip in a green field, long enough and challenging and I am content.
The future is grim and expensive but we will still ski, this year and hopefully a few more.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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I've concluded most long range forecasts are pure click bait...
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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"Oh dear, how sad, never mind" springs to mind.
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| snowheid wrote: |
| Quote: |
long range forecasting an interesting science.
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Definitely interesting and I follow the current year weather thread closely but given the inaccuracies involved shouldn't it be better referred to as long range speculation |
I spend quite a lot of time with big developers and operators of wind farms and hydro plants.
Sometimes it looks like there might be a weather/cimatte trend emerging and this becomes a topic of conversation.
They have been consistent that they find no efficacy in forecasts more than 3 weeks ahead. "You can imagine, we spend a lit of time looking at this and just can't get any value beyond 3 weeks".
Given their incentives I take this as reassurance that there is no point worrying (or getting excited) about these kind of articles.
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