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The all new 10/11 Weather Outlook thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
brian wrote:
pam w,

lightningdan
user
Posts: 318
Location: Reberty <<< already there?


Pam w, I am leaving on Sunday, for a week, once there I will not care!! I do not have anyone coming out ,we are all leaving together, thanks for you concern Very Happy

I would not mind if we get stuck out there either, its what credit cards are for!!!

I have read else where you really do not need the complications!!

Brian, thanks for all the hard work!!
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
lightningdan, Have a great time Very Happy snowHead
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Quote:

I would not mind if we get stuck out there either, its what credit cards are for!!!


Laughing
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Quote:

lightningdan, if you're hoping to get there any time soon, best keep an eye on the UK weather...


Indeed, and on the basis of http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=216&mode=2 I just booked an extra nights hotel in Manchester so that I can try and get down on the saturday rather waiting till sunday. For thirtyoddquid its worth it for the peace of mind (the place has got a pool so its not all a loss!). Hopefully the route down won't still be crippled by next thursdays snow Shocked
Also hopefully we will get to fly on the monday!

Anyone know how reliable that meteociel snow forecast is?
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 brian
brian
Guest
andyrew, at 9 days out? Almost completely unreliable. Laughing

(but given the evolution in the semi-reliable timeframe I think that's not a bad move, tbh)
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This is the "hottest" thread in town these days! snowHead
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
We've done the same, booked Crown Plaza for Sunday 19th to fly Monday 20th and looking at tickets we can book luggage in a day early so can have a lay in till 5.00 am, don't want to risk M62 shutting overnight if it's still well below zero.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
We booked a while ago for an overnighter (for the same night but Stansted), decision for booking based on a lie in for a 7am flight rather than getting up at silly o'clock! But with the weather as it's been and might be that weekend, it's probably not a bad move.

Meteo France have forecast snow every day for the back end of next week at L2A (although I know this far off is unreliable).
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Quote:

We've done the same, booked Crown Plaza for Sunday 19th to fly Monday 20th


No, I've gone one step more paranoid and booked the saturday night too! Madeye-Smiley I was already scheduled to stay the sunday night, however, I do have probably 10X the distance to get there, at around 300 miles. So even if it takes 48 hours to get there (an average journey time on the M8 I hear) I'll still be on that damn plane!

BTW, talking of the M8, I was watching the news on France3 lastnight and it looks like Northern France got hit just like Scotland did, the A13 looked just like a Scottish motorway with cars abandoned everywhere and complete gridlock. It was funny hearing Meteo France being harangued for only predicting 2 or 3 cm! Deja Vu! I felt sorry for our guys who'd had to endure being told it only ever happens in Britain just a few days before.
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Northern France is no better at snow than southern Britain, and less good than northern Britain. Don't go anywhere near Paris if there's a few centimetres of snow.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
So even if it takes 48 hours to get there (an average journey time on the M8 I hear) I'll still be on that damn plane!

We're flying from Gatwick on 20th....it's not so much getting to the airport I'm worried about it's the airport being open.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
brian wrote:
scotia, want to give me your postcode? rolling eyes


Laughing

Just kidding. Thanks for your input generally. Between you, nozawaonsen and moffatross you do a great job of keeping us in the know weather wise.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Quote:

We're flying from Gatwick on 20th....it's not so much getting to the airport I'm worried about it's the airport being open.


Looks like a brief lull for you snowlamb,
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Quote:

Looks like a brief lull for you snowlamb

Hmm. I'm driving down on 22nd, then picking up at Geneva airport on both 23rd and 24th. Stocking up my emergency supplies.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
where is that chart for Andyrew?
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Quote:


Hmm. I'm driving down on 22nd, then picking up at Geneva airport on both 23rd and 24th. Stocking up my emergency supplies.


ahh, pam w, I know you're no beginner at this! You'll have looked at this one:


Interesting times...
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Lat 46 Lon 06 is Geneva.

Lat 51 Lon 00 is London.

Obviously helps if you can flag charts. Very Happy
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Quote:

where is that chart for Andyrew?


Hi skinutter, these are on wetterzentrale:

for Aberdeen: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Aberdeen_ens.png
london: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
geneve: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Genf_ens.png

I found these links here and elsewhere, but I can't see where they (and more interestingly, others) are linked from wetterzentrale itself, can one of the more knowledgables assist?
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ok thanks Very Happy was hoping it was London or somewhere in the UK
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
skinutter wrote:
ok thanks Very Happy was hoping it was London or somewhere in the UK
Ensembles you asked about were for London...
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It's all too far off. Just need to stay flexible, and keep a watch. I did some Geneva trips in pretty awful (ie fantastically wonderfully snowy) weather last year. It's the M 25/autoroute through France bit which bothers me more. I don't have a lot of time flexibility though I've allowed two days to get down there, which it doesn't usually take.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Quote:

ok thanks was hoping it was London or somewhere in the UK


Bad news: It was!! look back at it, that is London!!!
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png


And to answer my own question, to get wigglies for anywhere, goto
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsavnmgeur.html
click on GFS Ens: Europa (Karte)
click on the map.

To get the pretty colour on black for various cities go to the same URL,
click on GFS 1° + GFS Ens: Europa (Städteauswahl)
pick your city and "Ensemble t850 und NDS"
click "Zeigen"
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 brian
brian
Guest
andyrew, good work. I couldn't be arsed typing that. Laughing
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
Quote:

andyrew, good work. I couldn't be arsed typing that.


I'd never remember how to get there again if I didn't write it down somewhere... NehNeh
(a certain amount of "cutting and pasteing" were not harmed in the making of the previous post)
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 brian
brian
Guest
-37 anyone? That's a surface (well +2m) temperature, not atmospheric btw. Skullie

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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
brian, that's a chilly one! Pretty cold in Les Arcs today (-10° at breakfast) and looks like it will get waaayy colder...
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Is there any chance at all of snow in Les Arcs/La Plagne over the next 8 days?

At the moment I'm packing every fleece I can find!
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 brian
brian
Guest
Picadilly, chance of something towards Thu/Fri. Currently looking like a 10-20cm kind of affair.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
scotia wrote:
Thanks for your input generally. Between you, nozawaonsen and moffatross you do a great job of keeping us in the know weather wise.


Ditto from me Very Happy
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Quote:

-37 anyone? That's a surface (well +2m) temperature, not atmospheric btw


And isn't this even more worrying: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn17417.png seeing all those cruel numbers so close to hearth and home, or this: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn16217.png at midday Shocked

mind you, -37 is going to play havoc with their plumbing

We're aaaa doooomed......
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Quote:

Is there any chance at all of snow in Les Arcs/La Plagne over the next 8 days?

At the moment I'm packing every fleece I can find!


France3(Alpes) meteo this evening spoke several times of "generous ensoleillement" Cool So pack your sun glasses, (and borrow your neighbours fleeces too). TV8 Mont blanc meteo just been on and they reckon sunny through Thursday (min -9 max -3) and then le retourne de la neige, as Brian said, in the afternoon.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Avago wrote:
lightningdan, Have a great time Very Happy snowHead


Thanks alot, just looked at the web cams on 360 and all is looking good. Very Happy
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
brian, andyrew, thanks guys!

Wonderful to see the lifts open at last! I'd better finish my packing.. snowHead
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While Picadilly will be looking at a nice sunny week in La Plagne, Cool From what I see on Wetterzentrale, my expectation for those of us heading out christmas week won't be so lucky! (Although we should have the pleasure of skiing in new snow!) snowHead

Thanks to "skifinder" a fixed time shot for Serre Che' shows what they predict now:


(the live one being: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MS_746_ens.png)

So temps still staying on the chilly side but quite some "precipitation" all week. There looks like a bit of uncertainty in the temperature around the 22nd but http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn25217.png still seems to keep us cool enough. The big change looks to be around the 26th with things warming up a bit. Bastardi also says this: "SATURDAY EARLY: EUROPE TO WARM AROUND CHRISTMAS AND THROUGH THE NEW YEAR. " (http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp?partner=accuweather)

I'm just glad I'm going somewhere with lots of tree line skiing and will be making sure I take the hat with the ear muffs and the big peak Toofy Grin
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
andyrew, yay another user of my Grab GFS tool snowHead

Plenty of snow action, and chuffing freezing too! Skullie
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Quote:

andyrew, yay another user of my Grab GFS tool


And very useful it is too, along with all the other useful stuff you've collected on http://www.ski-finder.co.uk/
Very Happy
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
MoodyFFS, I frequently use your GFS Grabber. Obsessively frequently during the coming week, I suspect. Thanks!
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
pam w, andyrew, Toofy Grin

If you have any other ideas for useful tools then give me a shout (latest one is my Ski Flight Map)
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
MoodyFFS wrote:

If you have any other ideas for useful tools then give me a shout

Auto translation of various avalanche bulletins.
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MoodyFFS, very good, thanks.
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