 Poster: A snowHead
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Jonpim, What days does it show the snow coming?
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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forecasting exact cm of snow for Sat 22, take it with a MASSIVE pinch of salt!!
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exactly, they are clearly underestimating amount, and it is coming a few days earlier than they predict! 
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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cheers pam w, that actually makes me feel much better, and that I should stop worrying too much. 8 days to go until I get to VT!!
I notice a few weather sites are mirroring nozawaonsen's earlier forecast of warm weather over Sunday/Monday/Tuesday before starting to get a little colder on Tuesday night (18th). A few say a dusting over snow on Wednesday but I'll take that with a huge dollop of salt!
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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SkiG, Saturday 22nd. 
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A win for us at Orient and you'll be in heaven!
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Well, Brentford got the final approval from Judge Pickles for the new ground this morning, if we beat orient tomorrow lunch time to go back second with 2 games in hand and then off to tignes on sunday...could be a perfect weekend.
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It won't be this warm, will it???
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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^mhead bee- hope so re tomorrow.
Re the weather. GFS 12z has significantly reduced the precipitation for the next couple of weeks for my Switzerland trip 
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Ricklovesthepowder, It's going to be very warm for a few days (with a temperature inversion so valleys colder than hills overnight - there seemed to be several layers of inversion when I drove up last evening). There's still a lot of snow round though, and all but the lowest pistes should be OK - just don't go sacrificing any maidens in the hope of precipitation as much of it would be rain, to quite high altitude. Your wife, down in Samoens, will most definitely not be wanting any precipitation! Note that Chamonix Meteo says the outlook is "very uncertain" after Sunday. That's good, really, given the temperatures shown in some of the forecasts but underlines the point that poring over next week's forecasts is probably pointless at this stage.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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| pam w wrote: |
| There's still a lot of snow round though, and all but the lowest pistes should be OK - just don't go sacrificing any maidens in the hope of precipitation as much of it would be rain, to quite high altitude. |
Fantastic turn of phrase, beautifully put!!
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Well, the Weather Gods like playing tricks.
Just now it was snowing here in Plagne 1800!
Been sun and clouds all day: warm in the sun, quite cool when clouds shut it out
Then this afternoon it got quite chilly - I put a layer back on.
And just now I looked out, and it was snowing - not rain, not even sleet: but proper snow
Only lasted 20 minutes or so. Now overcast.
Wonder what tomorrow will bring.
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| Ricklovesthepowder wrote: |
It won't be this warm, will it???
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It's spring.
It gets warm.
There will be corn and slushy bumps.
The snow won't all suddenly melt.
If you can ski well, you will love it.
If you can't, get lessons or drink nice cold beer on the terrace in the afternoons instead.
Spring skiing rules!
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You know it makes sense.
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clarky999,
Couldn't have put it better.
Slushy bumps 
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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clarky999, brilliant!
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Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Weathercam, at least you got a breeze - would be useful here (Plagne 1800).
We got thick cloud - can only see 3 houses away.
So much for wall-to-wall sunshine.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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clarky999, indeed.
Slushy bumps, wahoo!!
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Jonpim, thick cloud is good, preserves the snow 
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Jonpim, get above the inversion?
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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I see that GFS is showing potential for a big dump on/around the 23rd across most of the Alps. Is ECMWF thinking the same?
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Looking good for Chamonix next weekend with cooler temps and some snow.
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25C in Aosta this afternoon as we drove through... 
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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18c in Samoens this afternoon. Sat out having lunch, with a bottle of wine wearing only a t-shirt. People milling around in shorts etc. very odd experience, never been this warm when I've been out here before. Spoke to some people who have just got back from a days skiing, they said that above Flaine is still good, but lower down its muddy in places. The runs into Morrillon are closed, and cascades down into Sixt is also now shut. The next few days are forecast to be similar to today if not warmer, I think the main issue is that nigh time temps are only dropping down to 5c so it isn't freezing.
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Well, all of La Plagne is OK.
Cloud did soon disperse and blue sky all day.
Didn't meet any slush - just lovely granular sugar with some bumps
Even managed a bit of off-piste spring snow.
Seems lots of sites suggesting a change in the weather Friday, with snow over the weekend.
Fingers crossed
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Ricklovesthepowder, you won't be getting a refreeze at Samoens (800m asl) overnight. Higher up you should be over the next few days.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MS_070460_g05.png
That said there's been a shift away from colder weather in the second half of the week and it now looks pretty mild throughout the coming week with overnight freezing levels rising through the week.
Some suggestions of snowier weather next weekend, but the tendency has been for the current high pressure to remain very resilient.
Last edited by snowHeads are a friendly bunch. on Sun 16-03-14 19:22; edited 1 time in total
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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nozawaonsen, I have to say the charts were similar a week ago predicting cooler and snowy for this weekend so I'm trying not to get too excited. Went for a nice walk today.
I think this winter will wag its tail again at least once.
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Country file forecast has the cooler air arriving in Scotland from Thursday bringing snow showers over the tops. Until then the thaw will continue.
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You know it makes sense.
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Bottieres in Savoie (1300m) closed today - bussing people to the rest of La Toussuire. (From Le Dauphine)
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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chocksaway, where 
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Poster: A snowHead
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Ricklovesthepowder, 18C at 800m is not that unusual. I don't hang out in the GM so very often but Cascades is quite usually closed at this time of year I think.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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I love the calm measured posts by nozawaonsen, and how patient he is with the rest of us hysterical posters who grab every indication of cold and snow with joy and dream of winter's return, and then pour out doom and gloom when the forecast changes to sun and warmth. I am as guilty as any.
Snowforecast predicting 50cm and temperatures of -9 this coming weekend. Perfick. I watch and wait, and try to be like Guru Noza.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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I love the calm measured posts by nozawaonsen, and how patient he is with the rest of us hysterical posters
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+1
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50cm and temperatures of -9 this coming weekend
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Hmmm....
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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hmm am patiently waiting to see what the start of April brings in the way of weather....heatwave or flakes
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Continues to look like quite a change for the Alps coming this weekend, with cold and snowy weather arriving on Sunday. The next couple of days will show whether confidence in that outcome is waxing or waning.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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nozawaonsen, Can you remind me when the GFS ensembles change from high to low resolution, and what does that actually mean??
Thanks!
Greg
Last edited by You'll need to Register first of course. on Mon 17-03-14 10:32; edited 1 time in total
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After al this worry about snow melt (although probably unnecessarily looking at the La Plagne thread), I've now got this change to worry about - flying Birmingham to Chambery on Sunday morning.
To be honest though the will-it-won't-it, too much snow, too little snow etc etc worry for me is part of the holiday, and just adds to the build up. Not that any trip I've been on has been adversely affected by snow or lack of.
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I guarantee you it will change soon and then the flood gates will open. Very common for late march / early april to go back to snow. Plus I'm going to Chamonix on the 30th and I have good luck with snow
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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kitenski, the switch happens at +192 (8 days). You can see it particularly clearly if you look at charts on something like Meteociel. There's a very clear shift in the resolution between +192 and +204. What that means is that the trend will be more evident, but the detail (especially spatial resolution) will be less reliable (low resolution can also lead to apparent "exaggeration" of output). That doesn't mean that anything under +192 is definite (it isn't). If something passes through low res to high res and still looks in pretty good shape you can start to take it more seriously (eg the snowfall on 23 March), but you still need to see how it plays out.
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nozawaonsen, thanks, but not quite sure what changes between high and low? Do they run with more data in the high resolution or what?
Just trying to further my knowledge 
regards,
Greg
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