Looks a bit warm next weekend but then hopefully temps dropping again and more snow
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
@Whitegold, ok interesting, hope you are right, I’d gladly take 0c at this stage here for next weekend.
@Old Fartbag, Fraser has been around a long time, so he must be doing something right. It’s a good summary for the current weekend.
I like to spend time looking a bit further out, which is both confusing and more prone to error. Think I was talking about a low stalling for the second time recently before it had actually stalled for the first time.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Forecast temps until midweek next week do look on the cool side, though nothing like -10°C at 1500m. Beyond that for a few days, I agree with @polo - more likely in the 0-10°C range at 1500m. And further ahead still, there's too much divergence between models (Verbier screenshot above is just the GFS ensemble).
Valley temperatures may well still drop below freezing overnight if skies are clear.
If the milder spell in the Dolomites is paired with drier air / light wind, manmade snow is unlikely to melt too much anyway.
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
@Old Fartbag, key point, " For the vast majority of resorts, though, it is still far too early for these storms to be of any significance."
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
As I said last Friday 27th below
Strikes me looking ahead over the next two weeks that the high mountain 2200m plus could be building up a decent base as we move into November
I’ll probably lower that to 2000m although I do note haven’t seen many cannons running on the cams , only in VT the other night , so very marginal temperatures or just too early ?
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
I'd say 1700-1800m is going to be deep in the NW.
Seen -3c @850 pop up for wednesday, and even lower at the weekend (but only on ECM). All depends how much of a northerly we get.
Improvement on the 00z from a few models, GFS (last below) in particular has been lagging the others, and much milder (+10c), but it's coming round to its senses now hopefully.
Still wide variation across the Op runs for Fri/Sat....it go east, it could go south.....and it might be a blink and you'll miss it cold snap for the west.
But progress nonetheless, with another transitory omega shaped ridge possible per ECM, UKMO, ICON.
Even the mean anomaly charts are vastly different.....only ECM looks good, GEM too far east, GFS too far NE......massive differences for less than a week out
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@polo, Great work , once again this afternoon much higher rain/snow level French side of the ridge compared to Italy .
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Yesterday in the French Chartreuse
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
@davidof, Presumably the origin of biathlon
After all it is free
After all it is free
@chocksaway, too funny!!
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
davidof wrote:
under a new name wrote:
@davidof, very good for you that sort of thing
what normally happens is that, despite that road being closed, a load of 4x4 nuts will crash the barriers and churn up all the snow.
Huh,
I knew a 4x4 nut who used to do just that across the cotswolds
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
sometimes they get stuck
any sorry this is off topic, just to say that the snow line went down to around 1300 meters on Thursday / Friday and looks to be hovering around the 1600m mark this week.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@davidof, To my uneducated mind, could you explain why it might do so?
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Quote:
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
Well there's another factor to throw into the mix along with El Niño, sun spot activity and some sort of Atlantic oscillation that @polo explained but my small intellect struggles to understand.
In short, the genius that is @polo may have an idea but for me this thread is superb for filling the October/November lull when I am in limbo between summer climbing and skiing starting but I will wait until I arrive in the mountains to start speculating what the snow will be like
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@davidof, huh, I'd have thought that would be a reasonably competent car - snow tyres and diff-lock if it had it and be fine. Obvs driver hadn't read t'manual.
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
davidof wrote:
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
Japan might welcome some help.
It's expecting a low-snow winter (due to being on the wrong side of El Nino).
Tephra-coated slopes could be an issue.
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
davidof wrote:
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
I don’t think the eruption column was high enough or large enough to have any significant impact on global weather patterns.
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Whitegold wrote:
davidof wrote:
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
Japan might welcome some help.
It's expecting a low-snow winter (due to being on the wrong side of El Nino).
Tephra-coated slopes could be an issue.
26c in tokyo this week. 26c!!!
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
davidof wrote:
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
Will the huge volcanic explosion in Russia give us a colder winter?
Japan might welcome some help.
It's expecting a low-snow winter (due to being on the wrong side of El Nino).
Tephra-coated slopes could be an issue.
Tephra-coated slopes -
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@snowheid, thx, I’ve been called worse . The whole NAO/AO phase stuff is a bit hit and miss anyway, but it helps in terms of likely patterns / set ups. I was gonna write something about the Hunga Tunga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano that erupted last January, several actual experts mentioned the impacts in their 23/24 winter forecasts. Because it was underwater it released historical levels of water vapor into the stratosphere. Lots of theories out there but I suspect it’s even more abstract than full moons, as it’s so unprecedented. I’ll check back on what the link is to weather.
Steady improvements towards next weekend, GEM and GFS making big strides back west towards the ECM. If you’re gonna look at just one model, it hard to see past the ECM, consistently less bad than all the others.
I first read this as an invented name for comic effect but Google says it exists , I am sure we all love a ha'ppy volcano
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
La Thuile claiming 30cms at of fresh at resort level , seen some nice pics of Courmayeur also looks the Aosta valley has had a good day today
After all it is free
After all it is free
Dreamy
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
@BobinCH, sweet.
I'm guessing 30cms accumulated here at ~1,900 but I think we had more wind.
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Ski the Net with snowHeads
Be interesting to see if any of this sticks around higher up for a base, we’ve often had very warm spells in the run up to Xmas in recent years (from memory)
FAQ
Poster: A snowHead
. The whole NAO/AO phase stuff is a bit hit and miss anyway, but it helps in terms of likely patterns / set ups. I was gonna write something about the Hunga Tunga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano that erupted last January, several actual experts mentioned the impacts in their 23/24 winter forecasts. Because it was underwater it released historical levels of water vapor into the stratosphere. Lots of theories out there but I suspect it’s even more abstract than full moons, as it’s so unprecedented. I’ll check back on what the link is to weather.
