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The All New 13/14 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Looks like tshirts to me.....better go pack some. Very Happy
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Quote:

helpful and accurate weather forecasting and interpretation of the models has absolutely zilch to do with anybody's "requirements"

But, that said, I would like cold/snowy nights and sunny days in Ski Amade mid-month, pretty please. Toofy Grin wink
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
SkiG wrote:
.......I, like many others would be much happier to have cold, heavy snow and low vis


It sounds to me like you should be going skiing in January, not March
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I did! It was warm and sunny!! Shocked
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
With the current forecast for the Alps over the next 10 days, What impact is this going to have on resort level snow where temperatures are due to reach 10+ degrees? Does anyone have any knowledge that shows that the temperatures will drop again anytime soon?
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jimmy38, it's not at all unusual to have temperatures of 10 degrees or more, in Spring. The impact on resort level snow depends a lot on the resort level. wink It's not unusual for low resorts to run out of resort level snow - but as long as you can get a lift up to the snow (and down again) this might not matter too much.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
jimmy38 wrote:
Does anyone have any knowledge that shows that the temperatures will drop again anytime soon?
Oh, jimmy38, if only.
Such trust. Such faith. Especially the words "knowledge" and "will"
But this is weather we are talking about here
Akin to witchcraft and magic run by an erratic committee of giggling school kids.
Temperatures probably will drop eventually. But when. Puzzled
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Of course they will Jonpim, likely to happen in early November as the days get shorter and winter approaches wink
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jimmy38 wrote:
With the current forecast for the Alps over the next 10 days, What impact is this going to have on resort level snow where temperatures are due to reach 10+ degrees? Does anyone have any knowledge that shows that the temperatures will drop again anytime soon?


Can often depend on slope orientation with south facing slopes slowing snow far quicker than north facing slopes.
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Anyone know if there a decent list anywhere of resorts with predominantly North facing slopes ?
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Blastfromthepast, the best resorts will have a mixture. In spring conditions the south facing slopes are skiable earlier, softening in the sun after the overnight freeze.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
If you think about it, many lower level resorts pre snow cannon built their big restaurants and ski school meeting areas and the like at the mid station (eg 1800 - 2000m), in the old days it was not uncommon late in the season to have to get the lift back down to resort level.

With the snow cannon that has now meant that more often than not there will be a run down open to the resort right through to the end of the season.

We've seen the runs to resort gradually get smaller as the snow recedes but there always seems to just be enough snow, the run into Briancon becomes a thin white line of snow by April and is just about skiable.




The pistes back into Villeneuve



Piste back into Chantmerle
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Those photos were not taken today...unless something dramatic has happened in the last 24 hrs.

Don't panic and don't cancel the flights just yet. snowHead
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
The weather is not unusual for the time of year (in France.) Saying that I have also let it worry me just about every year! I have skied every 'Easter Holiday' for the past 11 years - usually for two weeks, only once have the conditions not been very good. It will get warm in March, and it will almost certainly cool down again, and then warm up again. It will almost certainly dump with snow in March and/or April too. I have arrived in Bourg St Maurice with temperatures in the twenties and then I have then been skiing in fresh deep powder in a few days time. I have been enjoying a beer in 21 degrees in St Anton, for it to be a blizzard (in the same place) in 3 days time. The key is to go for high altitude snow-sure resorts with north facing slopes. If you still feel worried then have a look at historical snow-depths on the SCGB website - I had to do this today! I go through this every year, and every year (-1) I have had wonderful off-piste skiing with a combination of corn and powder being usual.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Jaydub - I remember sitting on a café terrace enjoying an ice cream on arrival in Claviere/Montgenevre 2 years ago as it was so hot. This was late March. Friends of ours had come in their snowboots with no other shoes Toofy Grin Laughing Fortunately it snowed quite a few times while we were there snowHead
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 Poster: A snowHead
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Kevin Byrne, yeah the way I've been coming in for stick on here wanting powder every day etc maybe I should have posted that those were taken a few years ago rolling eyes

Great ski tour up to Col du Galibier today with the Jacks





More pics and story here
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Think you need to get a black lab for your next dog. Longer legs and wont get lost in the powder. No stick from me for you wishing for powder every day. Just means great pistes when I get there in 9 days time. I will also live with it if it snows every night and is sunny every day while we are there Cool Wishful thinking.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Weathercam, I bet your dogs sleep well at night Very Happy
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Love that second pic, a cert for next years calendar surely!
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
High pressure, settled, mild and sunny conditions for the Alps look set for at least the first half of March.
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Quote:
at least the first half of March
I note your careful use of words nozawaonsen: a suggestion it could well go on longer.
I'm going out next Friday, and (foolishly) think i can influence the Weather Gods.
They are a contrary bunch.
So I'm packing shorts and t-shirts - bound to make it blizzards for the rest of the month Very Happy
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
nozawaonsen, hints in GFS of a cooler spell from mid March onwards...Is this what ECM is showing coming in from the east?


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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
kitenski, there are some hints of a change to the settled mild pattern beyond mid month which have been cropping up in a number of recent runs in ECM and GFS, albeit at the edge of the output. It would certainly not be unusual for a spell of mild weather in early spring to be followed by something cooler. At this stage though it's unclear what will happen beyond mid month (not a surprise given the range). That ECM chart looks to me to show colder weather being pushed towards the east rather than being drawn in from the east.
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GFS shows a very stable high pressure system over the Alps till about March 20th, then (maybe) some colder air spreading from the North
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nozawaonsen wrote:
High pressure, settled, mild and sunny conditions for the Alps look set for at least the first half of March.


Feels like a long time, until I remind myself that mid-March is actually only about a week away!

Fingers crossed the following week gets a bit snowier, just in time for my trip on the 22nd March Smile
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Spring skiing for me next week then. Reminds me of 2005(?) when we drove from Munich to Grenoble for a wedding in March, so felt it would be rude not to have a week in AdH. Wall-to-wall sunshine all week meant us turning up at the wedding looking like we'd been sunbathing in the Caribbean for a month.

I lurve spring skiing!
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
I am off to tignes on the 16th March, if the warm weather holds until then my wife and kids will be extremely happy. Good pistes and visibility with some sun is all they require.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
There's a kind of "fin de siecle" feel about the recent posts on this thread. Don't forget that there are often very major snowfalls in March - in the northern French Alps some of the biggest dumps of recent years have been in March. It's not over till its over.....
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
work that goggle tan
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Found some superb cold powder today

But we had to earn our turns Cool





More pics here
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
pam w wrote:
There's a kind of "fin de siecle" feel about the recent posts on this thread. Don't forget that there are often very major snowfalls in March - in the northern French Alps some of the biggest dumps of recent years have been in March. It's not over till its over.....


Certainly doesn't look like any of that in the first half of the month, so fingers crossed for early April to deliver as it has every other year Smile
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
This evening's 18z GFS has a switch to colder (and snowier) weatger in the Alps on 18 March. Too far off to trust, but worth watching to see if this shift strengthens or weakens.

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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Off to Samoens on 16th March, hope these temperatures drop off a little!
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No substantial change this morning. High pressure looks firmly in charge for the first half if the month. So mild and sunny spring weather will dominate. Things look more uncertain as we go into the second half if the month. Colder weather currently appears likely to return around 19 March.
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So the 9-16th is tshirts and factor 50 weather! It's a long time since I had that. Yippee, winter sun. Boo, afternoon slush on home run.

Very Happy
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So, arriving on 15th, skiing in the sun for three days, then cold and snow for three days, I'd take that if it materialises!!
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Looks warmer in the central Tirol this week than it has been all winter in the UK Cool
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Peter S, possibly because it's spring now?

06z keeps to the plan, mild up to 19 March then it's going down...


http://youtube.com/v/GZQJrM09jbU&list=TLC0XF0nHqobWZJaS3U2Ao9kL7dLqgxPJs
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Hope we get some more snow before my final trip on the 23rd! Just to freshen things up in VDI.

Won't complain if it's sunny though, I love spring skiing.
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Super ski tour this morning with the dogs and OH, maybe left it a hour or so too late as temps had warmed up far more this morning than the previous couple of mornings, but still classic spring snow.



Ski tour route and profile, plus more images here
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