 Poster: A snowHead
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it is snowing now!
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Snoozie, When you say snowing, is it snowing in Geneva ?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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endlessride,
The Mossettes cam will be really good when the cloud lifts. Now if we could just get someone to wipe the lens clear on the St Jean cam... 
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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BergenBergen
No it is still raining and warm here, if it were snowing I would be busy cartwheeling round the lake. But the Avoriaz webcam was showing heavenly views of the white stuff this morning.
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Snoozie,  Snow in Geneva is enough to get everyone here excited
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There is snow on the top of Pleney and Nyon is all white! It is raining in resort but the signs for the road up to Avoriaz are flashing that you need chains.....
All good signs!
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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hi guys just been on snow forecast, here is the link--http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Avoriaz/9day/top, this is for the top of the mountain, but look at the bottom, heavy snow forecast on 30th aswell. this is the dump we have all been waiting for guys, BRING IT ON!!!
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Ricklovesthepowder, do a forum search for snow forecast - there's been loads of discussion about it on snowheads over the years, mostly because people fail to understand the nature of computer-generated forecasts (ie with no intelligent thinking brain interpreting what the models are producing). then they say "but they forecast 13 cms of snow and we only got 4cms, they're rubbish".
Snow-forecast uses the GFS data. That means that one very precise outcome is being predicted, on the basis of information (those "wigglies" being discussed elsewhere) which provides for a huge range of possible outcomes from the chaotic systems that create our weather. The outcomes are always uncertain out at that distance, and only looking at the actual models can give you a feel for how likely they are (that's explained in the thread you were referred to the other day). I, for one, hope that snow-forecast are wrong about the last couple of days of the forecast you've linked to as it shows the freezing levels going straight back up again to a very unwelcome 2500m - which would soon see that "big dump" - if it arrives - being eroded away, and it could all be gone again before Christmas. Those forecasts need to be treated with a lot of caution. when they change every run they are particularly likely to be wrong - they've pinned the tail on another bit of the donkey.
There are a couple of very good amateur meteorologists on Snowheads - carled and brian - who have taught us a lot about this over the years. Their own predictions, always much more cautious and less precise (17 cms of snow indeed!) are very well worth reading.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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| pam w wrote: |
| they've pinned the tail on another bit of the donkey. |
Elegantly put. 
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Just finished a two day BASP course in the village - lots of lying around in the rain and the mud, but the mountains are starting to fill up nicely with the white stuff. We're also still looking good for the 1st/2nd December for decent temps and high precip...
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You know it makes sense.
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Snowmonkey, bring on the 1st/2nd then!!! good amount has fallen today in avoriaz
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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hows it looking up there today folks??? loads of snow forecast at weekend by the looks of things!!!
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Poster: A snowHead
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| Quote: |
loads of snow forecast at weekend
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certainly looks like precipitation. As to whether it will be snow, sleet or rain below the tops ......keep dancing, folks.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Think positive pam_w looks to me like snow up top and with falling temps we should also see the snow line drop down too
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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there will be snow down in morzine on sunday/monday. looks like the temp will be staying below freezing whick should help it aswell.
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looks like there will be a really heavy dump sunday/monday!!!
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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There ahs been a noticeable temperature drop this morning and even the locals are saying snow on Monday - how much ??????? The snow is at the moment about 1600m. Off for a ski at Saas Fee tomorrow!!!
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snowandtrek, when are Morzine and Les Gets due for their season start?
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snowandtrek, now that is good news Enjoy Saas Fee.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Snowmonkey, any snow =
ski-finder, Les Gets 19/12
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Quite a bit heavier now since last post
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Yay for the snow! We just need a nice low temperature now and, of course, lots and lots more snowflakes.
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ski-finder,
Five of us are in Morzine from 14th Jan, staying near the Nyon cable. I'm getting jittery now. I don't know the area very well, so I guess that if there's no snow in Morzine, we head up to Avoriaz?
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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just checked the latest forecast, thursday at 9pm the top of avoriaz had 71cm forecas in the next week, now when ive just checked there is 32cm forecast 
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Poster: A snowHead
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Ricklovesthepowder, that's becausse it's impossible to guess how many cms may or may not fall, each set of data tells a different story and forecasts, well, change like the weather.
Just be glad there's snow coming! 
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Ricklovesthepowder, just forget about the actual number of centimetres in those forecasts - for reasons explored and explained in detail on the thread about weather forecasting, they're a pretty fair waste of time, just one of a myriad outcomes possible from the data in the models. They give a reasonable indication of the kind of level of precipitation forecast - no more. As we know from our own experience in the mountains, precipitation often varies a good deal just from one side of the hill to another anyway. Also, as explained in that thread, the different "runs" use a different approach anyway, so some variation is to be expected.
Those who know about weather tell us that the quantity of precipitation is one of the most difficult aspects to forecast accurately - how often do you here a weather forecast say there will be "2mm of rain in Southampton and 3mm of rain in Portsmouth".
If you get hung up on the number of centimetres you'll drive yourself mad. You're not going for a while anyway, are you?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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| pam w wrote: |
Ricklovesthepowder, just forget about the actual number of centimetres in those forecasts - for reasons explored and explained in detail on the thread about weather forecasting, they're a pretty fair waste of time, just one of a myriad outcomes possible from the data in the models. They give a reasonable indication of the kind of level of precipitation forecast - no more. As we know from our own experience in the mountains, precipitation often varies a good deal just from one side of the hill to another anyway. Also, as explained in that thread, the different "runs" use a different approach anyway, so some variation is to be expected.
Those who know about weather tell us that the quantity of precipitation is one of the most difficult aspects to forecast accurately - how often do you here a weather forecast say there will be "2mm of rain in Southampton and 3mm of rain in Portsmouth".
If you get hung up on the number of centimetres you'll drive yourself mad. You're not going for a while anyway, are you? |
erm............no, 26th jan, there is plenty of time yet but i just like it when there is lots of snow and people skiing on the webcam!!! im sure that i will be fine when i go, its just under 2 months away but like i said, i just want to see lots of snow!!! when are you heading out there pam???
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| Quote: |
hen are you heading out there pam???
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Thursday week. Just been watching the skiing from the "snow-starved hills of Colorado" on Eurosport. 
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Saas Fee was good - got those ski legs going! Left there this morning in a howling wind and light snow. Avoriaz has more snow at the same height than Saas Fee and Chamonix looks barren (stopped off there for lunch on the way home today).
Temperatures are 5/8 degrees at 1000m so needs to get a bit colder.
Looks like the southern Alps (Italy) are getting some snow today but nothing here yet.
Will keep you all posted!
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| snowandtrek wrote: |
Saas Fee was good - got those ski legs going! Left there this morning in a howling wind and light snow. Avoriaz has more snow at the same height than Saas Fee and Chamonix looks barren (stopped off there for lunch on the way home today).
Temperatures are 5/8 degrees at 1000m so needs to get a bit colder.
Looks like the southern Alps (Italy) are getting some snow today but nothing here yet.
Will keep you all posted! |
cheers snowtrek, keep us updated mate, thanks
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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snowandtrek, awesome news, be great to see the Morzine cams white rather than the usual grey!
Keep the updates coming, looking forward to the pics too!
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