Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@nozawaonsen I'm just getting into this forecasting. It looks to me like the current weather pattern is due to -AO rather than -NAO. Is my interpretation correct?
Could someone please also point me in the general direction of a reasonable forecast for Flims/Laax Switzerland (arriving 21st)... great advice as always from 99.9% of the forum
@CH1975, we certainly don’t currently have a -NAO. It’s been relatively positive recently which would be in line with the strong jet which delivered the wild and mild weather at the western end of the Alps over New Year. On the other hand AO has been negative which I suspect would be consistent with the cold weather in parts of the US. That said I‘m certainly not an authority on the subject!
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Snow in the northern Alps would continue into and through the weekend falling at low levels (though not currently forecast with the same intensity of either of the recent big falls). So potentially some snowy transfers and snowy Hahnenkamm.
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Hope the Hahnenkamm isn't too snowy and gets cancelled. Course is apparently in its best condition for years and years
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
I don’t imagine that another metre of snow right now will be too welcome in resorts struggling to fully open ?
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
robboj wrote:
Hope the Hahnenkamm isn't too snowy and gets cancelled. Course is apparently in its best condition for years and years
... or the start is lowered again ... we demand a proper race!
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
nozawaonsen wrote:
First snow showers look like arriving on Sunday for the southern end of the French Alps.
This is how GFS 18z would see it by the end of Thursday.
.
is that showing decent snow for the Scottish Western highlands as well?? and maybe the pennines (Starts to try and plan a trip next week....)
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
EC looks good for next Wednesday's event.
It's talking 50-75cm as the General snow accum for the Swiss & French Alps, with a followup event on the next Thursday, Friday and Saturday. That looks good for Austria, particularly on the Saturday, but that's a fair way out.
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@Jellybeans1000, anything in the models for livignio please? Thx
Heading out to Peisey-Vallandry next week - looks like a lot of snowfall (50-75cm over the course of a day) is due mid-week with some high winds. Is that type of forecast likely to be problematic for skiing? This is only my 3rd time so I'm still not that well acquainted with what a forecast translates to on the mountain.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@adamtaylo, potentially high winds can close lifts, and large amounts of snow can close some pistes (due to them having to do avalanche safety work). Really hard to say how much snow is too much and the same with wind speeds. They do try and open and keep open all that they can safely do so. Surface drag lifts can often run in higher winds.
If it's windy and snowy, visibility can be bad so a good tip is to try and ski tree lined pistes.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
THis is how GFS wouldsee snowfall out to next Thursday night.
Some very cold charts cropping up in FI.
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
@nozawaonsen,
I don’t understand all these charts, but do understand asking you what it will be like in Saalbach next Friday 19th when I arrive is too far out, however does your quote ‘this is how GFS would see snowfall out to next Thursday night ‘ mean any new snow in Saalbach ?
Thanks
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@ribblevalleyblue, Its not that its too far out from an availability point of view but is from a reliability point of view. As a poster says on another website says about weather 'anything beyond T120 (120 hrs or 5 days) should be treated as JFF (just for fun)' thats not entirely accurate from a scientific point of view but from a self preservation from disappointment angle its probably wise?
This link is the current GFS 10 day meteogram for Saalbach which shows the data in a more recognisable format. Make sure you have the latest version from the '00 06 12 18' coloured numbers under the word run and most recent by date. What is currently showing is the beginning of todays 18z (6pm) output as it rolls out but it won't show the full 10 days of data until around 11pm tonight. The most recent complete run is todays 12z (noon) output so on that page click on the number 12 (highlighted in blue) and it will show you what the output of the data run at noon today was. Make sure the selected 'city' shows Saalbach.
So to answer your question, as GFS saw it at noon today, yes, there would be snow for a few days, from about mid-day Tuesday with Thursday afternoon and Friday seeing the least.
@ribblevalleyblue, there should be fresh snow for Saalbach later next week. Heaviest snowfalls look like being further west, but still looks like snow across much of the northern Alps. This is GFS out till Friday lunchtime.
Snowfall amounts on the northern side of the Alps is now looking heavy enough to cause problems in exposed parts of the western Alps next week with some potentially very strong winds. Worth keeping an eye on because the combination of heavy snowfall and strong winds would significantly raise the avalanche risk and potentially lead to lift closures. Some very cold temperatures cropping up for the following week.
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
nozawaonsen wrote:
@ribblevalleyblue, there should be fresh snow for Saalbach later next week. Heaviest snowfalls look like being further west, but still looks like snow across much of the northern Alps. This is GFS out till Friday lunchtime.
Snowfall amounts on the northern side of the Alps is now looking heavy enough to cause problems in exposed parts of the western Alps next week with some potentially very strong winds. Worth keeping an eye on because the combination of heavy snowfall and strong winds would significantly raise the avalanche risk and potentially lead to lift closures. Some very cold temperatures cropping up for the following week.
Might make my imminent trip to Tignes interesting.
Looking at the UK side of things, is this suggesting something like 45 cm for areas like Nevis and Glencoe in the next 7 days?
Or am I reading this wrongly
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@nelly0168, you are reading it right!
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@FIRSTOFTHEGIANTS, do you mean 06Z? Yes it's looking very tasty for the north and west. Hope there are a few moments of calm amidst the maelstrom for those involved to enjoy whatever is delivered.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Yes, sorry.
I’m taking a good book! Might get my tax return done too.
I'm off for a long weekend skiing with the boys on the 19th
Could be epic
Think hiring a 4x4 octavia could end up being a brilliant call
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
First post here. Long time listener and always been a big fan of the show
Forecast looking increasingly positive for my once a season trip, this year to La Plagne next weekend.
Any idea what the charts have in store going out into fantasy island past next Sunday? Will the snow stop with the high pressure above Greenland and the Azores meeting up??
After all it is free
After all it is free
Normally the forecast for snow later next week and over the weekend of 20th Jan, with freezing level at low altitude, would fill me with joy as I am planning to be in the mountains - at 1400m in St Martin de Belleville (so Tarentaise) until 21st Jan. However, I HAVE to be home in the UK by 21st Jan, and currently have a flight booked that day. Am concerned that the predicted weather and snowfall, especially the potential quantity, might cause chaos/close the road down the mountain, as well as flight disruptions at GVA. An even in the days before I am due to leave, the potential to ski may be scuppered again by high winds and avalanche risk.
Am I being a big wuss in bringing forward my return date? I know it’s a bit too soon to be certain, but things are definitely looking stormy until Friday as far as I can see.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
Looks like the worm has turned for the West Coast of NA. Or, maybe the worm just rolled over in his sleep...Most PNW ski areas received about 8"-16" past 24 hrs. Mostly heavy, wet snow, and right around the 4,500' level, which is about base level for most ski resorts. Appears that the 7 day forecast is indicating a train of storms starting next week. They have been showing up on both the Euro and US weather longer range models with consistency the past few days. Still a week out, but the storms stacking up off the Pacific, are just waiting for instructions from Mother Nature to start moving in around Wednesday/Thursday. This includes Northern California and the Sierra's which did get brushed with some moisture the past few days, and snow at the higher elevation above 8,000'. CO and UT should see some weak storm activity mid next week, the potential for stronger storms rolling in later in the January 19-21 time frame. We shall see.
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
@wintersoldier17, too early to say at this stage though it does look like there will be some cold temperatures around 20 January.
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Poster: A snowHead
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