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The All New 19/20 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@peanuthead, wins new c0wdoo prize......@RonWeltyPT, you will be more than fine
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Avi 4 in the West. Head for trees again tomorrow! Tuesday looks wet. Xmas day bluebird and will be amazing snow conditions above 2000m
https://www.slf.ch/en/avalanche-bulletin-and-snow-situation.html#snowpack
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@BobinCH, Avi 4 as well all down in the Hautes Alpes

http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-montagne/bulletin-avalanches/hautes-alpes/avdept05

That said talking to the OH it's very windy so only tree run lifts open nothing at altitude, and they won't ski tour in the forest as the idiot who breaks trail is in the UK Laughing
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3 day snow map


And % depths versus historical norm

snow report
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Cold 06z GFS

Schladming



Tuesday (tomorrow) could be pretty character forming in the west. High winds and snowline pushing up towards 2000m.
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https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=42.8&lon=140.7



Niseko Now

https://www.snowjapan.com/japan-daily-snow-weather-reports/niseko-now
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Many thanks, snowfalls looks to be improving going into January if I read that correctly?
snow report
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After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
@scoman, more notably cold than notably snowy for now.
snow conditions
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Thanks again. Need to get that precipitation line up!
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A bit blustery yesterday down in Tahoe.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/fierce-100-mile-per-hour-005306887.html
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Quite a dump on those charts for the 25th but judging by today still damp in the valleys.
snow conditions
 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@waynos, temperature expected to fall through the day.
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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Thanks, I'll take that as a chrimbo present, not that snow conditions weren't powdery above mid today but nice to see a white valley.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Terrible flooding in Chatel today.

Between 20cm and 90cm of powder flooding, depending on where you went.

There was a weird smell of vinegar, however.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Heading off to Val D Isere for the week after New Year. Are the other models agreeing with GFS for some warm sunny weather coming up for that area?
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Crazy hot temps on the way in the run up to NY. Let’s hope that spike on the 27th gives us something to play with. After that it looks like go high or go home!

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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
snoozeboy wrote:
Terrible flooding in Chatel today.

Between 20cm and 90cm of powder flooding, depending on where you went.

There was a weird smell of vinegar, however.


That was some serious flooding! White Water rafting anyone?

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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
As @BobinCH, says seems to be a warming trend into the new decade!
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snoozeboy wrote:
Terrible flooding in Chatel today.



certainly pissing down in the village today
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Some milder (potentially warm briefly), calmer and sunnier weather as we head into New Year from Sunday.

The Arlberg



Chamonix



Cairngorm



Sestriere



Zermatt



Eastern Pyrenees

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davidof wrote:
snoozeboy wrote:
Terrible flooding in Chatel today.



certainly pissing down in the village today


Pffft. I'm from Wales. We call that "light drizzle".
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A look ahead based on the what the various models are suggesting in the early part of the new year.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/january-february-outlook-winter-2020-fa/

from the perspective around here the suggestion is generally mild and damp weather but this could mean more snow in the alps (though perhaps a little like the current conditions with rain lower down)
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munich_irish wrote:
A look ahead based on the what the various models are suggesting in the early part of the new year.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/january-february-outlook-winter-2020-fa/

from the perspective around here the suggestion is generally mild and damp weather but this could mean more snow in the alps (though perhaps a little like the current conditions with rain lower down)

Strong positive NAO? How's ENSO looking gurus?
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Rain and snow in Chatel.

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@Whitegold, why did you go up to Plaine Dranse to take photos when you knew the weather would be so grim?
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For those curious about the NAO it’s been strongly positive since the start of November.



This is in line with the majority of the seasonal forecasts as we headed into winter.

Also in line with the type of weather we’ve seen recently, heavy snowfall in the northern Alps, particularly the western end, with a relatively high snowline.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Avalanche warnings rising to 4 in parts of Salzburgerland.




“Avalanche danger rising to HIGH (4) in some places
Intensive snowfall atop an unfavourable base, accompanied by lots of wind = significant rise in danger. Slab avalanches can be easily triggered above 1500 m in nearly all aspects. Danger indications and favourable terrain are barely perceptible due to poor visibility. In zones where snowfall has been heaviest, naturally triggered Size 3 (large) avalanches are likely.”
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
rungsp wrote:
@peanuthead, wins new c0wdoo prize......@RonWeltyPT, you will be more than fine
thanks
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
18z GFS op

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nozawaonsen wrote:
For those curious about the NAO it’s been strongly positive since the start of November.



Thanks. Is it forecast to continue as such into January?
snow report
 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Level 4 avalanche risk in western Tirol.

https://avalanche.report/bulletin/latest

In and around the Arlberg:

“Over a wide area 50 to 70 cm of snow, and even more in some localities, will fall above approximately 800 m. The fresh wind slabs will become increasingly prone to triggering in particular on steep shady slopes above approximately 1800 m.”
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It is indeed snowing very heavily in Obertauern. Happy Xmas weather watchers
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
East is going to be cooler than west over the next few days.

Schladming



Les Gets



Looks like sun cream and shades are the way forward from the weekend... So despite the slightly dry outlook, remember Beer belongs! Happy Christmas!

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Hi Bah Humbug / Grinch here.

Have to say it was feckin shite up the hill today, windy even at 2,100m so loads of lifts shut, which is so unusual for Serre Che.

Then the bastardos decreed no pedestrians on the gondolas and then changed various lower valley lift passes* so much so that altitude restaurants had loads of cancellations Inc us was a bit of a shite day.

*not worth paying €36 for four lifts and then lunch on top

Time again for XC me thinks as apart from all the above snow was shite on piste and off piste even worse!
snow report
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Mountainlife.jp on the (relatively) slow start to the ski season in Japan.

https://www.mountainlife.jp/hakuba-weather-snow-avalanche-and-backcountry-information

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@nozawaonsen, you just trying to rub salt into the already above open wound Laughing

Touch down Sapporo 8th Feb

Crackin conditions on the ski du fond this morning after letting temps rise, and so much safer than the pistes by all accounts
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Crazy warm early next week.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Whitegold wrote:
Crazy warm early next week.


Yes, warm, but not crazy.
Sestriere ensembles, 2019-12-26, on Flickr
Nothing exceptional there, unlike the conditions in Scotland:
Aviemore ensembles 2019-12-26, on Flickr
And the bump of precip on the 3rd is from a low over northern Italy that could move to a more favourable position on the day.
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Weathercam wrote:
Hi Bah Humbug / Grinch here.

Have to say it was feckin shite up the hill today, windy even at 2,100m so loads of lifts shut, which is so unusual for Serre Che.



Really cold today with the wind. It rained to 2500 meters leaving rain channels which are skiable where they are softened by the sun.... Otherwise very rough. Op is rock hard. Now snowing.
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1000m difference in snowline tomorrow between western end of the Alps (eg Chamonix) 1400-1500m and eastern end of the Alps (eg Planai) 400-500m.
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