Poster: A snowHead
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gregh, can't disagree with them.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Meteo France Les Arcs forecast reckons heavy precipitation all day Friday and Saturday.
Freeze levels:
1900m Friday 8am
2100m Friday 2pm
1700m Saturday 8am
1700m Saturday 2pm
Then on Sunday morning, O°C down to 1400, overcast, no snow.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Odd, Sunday looks quite warm again to me as the LP moves south and brings warmer air round the top of it. Oh well.
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snow-forecast has reduced the amount of snow by a third, and also increased temps, FL over 2500m on Sunday
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Actually, looking about a bit it depends on which model you look at. GFS still has that Italian LP, but ECMWF has it further north, and both UKMO and FAX charts have it further east and more filled out. All of which would drastically change the temps and snowfall. I've stuck with GFS above as it has been pretty insistent about it being there. We'll see though as I'd expect some convergence between the models tomorrow (they all had it there earlier in the week, so it may be that GFS is behind - but it has had one more run, so its disappearance may be down to the data in the midnight runs).
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PG wrote: |
Meteo France Les Arcs forecast reckons heavy precipitation all day Friday and Saturday.
Freeze levels:
1900m Friday 8am
2100m Friday 2pm
1700m Saturday 8am
1700m Saturday 2pm
Then on Sunday morning, O°C down to 1400, overcast, no snow. |
I think you mean snow levels, the freezing levels are: 2000 2300 1900 1900; snow will fall in air temps up to +2C.
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Sorry, snow levels. Strange about the variance for Sunday, maybe someone typed a 1 by mistake, instead of a 2!
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My bunions are aching - it must be going to snow !
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Paul Mason, bunions ? My entire right foot hurts, I can't stand on it, it's really not looking good at all, I've not been able to ski all week.
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ise, how did you manage that? Too much skiing, perhaps?
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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PG, no, it was a horrific sleeping accident I got up the other morning and it just hurt, I guess it's a trapped nerve or similar. Ironically, Saturday morning I hopped to the car and it wouldn't start so I had to get that fixed as well. At least the car is OK now though ...
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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We had snow in 7-8C in the UK last friday. The snow can fall through warmer air if the dewpoints are low enough - you need pretty dry air for that to happen though (if I recall correctly). When it does though it tends to bring the air temps down towards, or to, the dewpoint temperature. If you think about it, the snow experiences the temp of the wet bulb as that's effectively what it is - though that suggests that it is melting/evaporating so explains how it turns to rain and and also brings the temps down as it does so. Sorry, a little off topic but it is connected.
PG, Meteo France are probably basing theirs on different models - not GFS, which is what I was basing my thoughts on.
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ise, could it be gout ? Many people get their first attack overnight. Go to bed fine - - wake up limping Larry. Get a uric acid level check if you think it might be. It's a form of arthritis and overdoing the red wine etc does not cause it but overindulging combined with dehydration could trigger an attack. Loads of water and some anti-inflamatories is the usual treatment for an acute attack. For some reason I've never understood, you cannot take uric acid lowering drugs during the acute phase.
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You know it makes sense.
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kuwait_ian, I hope not It's subsiding now fortunately, so hopefully it'll be fine by this weekend.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Definitely looking more promising! This morning's Meteo France forecast for 3 days, Les Arcs.
Thursday 8am 0°C@1700m sunny
Thursday 5pm 0°C@2300m sunny
Friday 8am 0°C@1700m light cloud
Friday 5pm 0°C@2400m snow level 1700m light snow
Saturday 8am 0°C@1900m snow level 1700m heavy snow
Saturday 5pm 0°C@1900m snow level 1700m heavy snow
Sunday 8am 0°C@1400m snow level 1400m heavy snow
Sunday 5pm 0°C@1800m snow level 1800m light snow
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Poster: A snowHead
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I hope your right PG...........
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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PG wrote: |
Definitely looking more promising! |
Ah, that's a nice post to wake up to!
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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ise, definitely sounds like gout to me although it usually starts with the joint on the big toe, I have just been diagnosed with it. Its treated with non steroidal anti inflammatory tablets. these reduce the pain and inflammation. If they don't work they put you on tablets to reduce/control uric acid in your blood. Its caused by sudden exercise, stress, alcohol and rich food such as liver.
If it does go or get any better after a day or so get a blood test and see a doctor
Sorry to go off topic
Back on topic forecast looks good to keep snowing and the FL not too bad either need more heavy snow up to the 23rd then I'll be really happy
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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kuwait_ian, I used to be veggie up until 6 months ago and stress is high at the moment due to divorce so I have put it down to a change in diet and stress. got the !st attack the after I came back from Banff so thought it was a ski injury but hard to fathom as boots are rigid around toes so I blamed my new custom footbeds at first.
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Russell, flying and dehydration probably had as much to do with it as anything else. I used to regularly get the 'twinges' after long haul flights and overdoing the free champers. You lose a lot of fluids skiing too. Dry air, much panting, maybe also sweating. Water, water, water .....
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Thanks guys, but it's not gout, gout's a form of arthritis or inflammation of a joint, the pain I'm getting isn't in a joint.
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ise, hope you're right but believe me when it really kicks in the pain comes from every bit of the affected foot, ankle, knee, elbow or whatever. No way is it localised to a joint although as Russell says the classic 1st occurrence is usually a throbbing big toe. If you are in the clear ise perhaps our diversion might help others.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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yeh snow-forecast had high f/l on Monday, but they just changed it, f/l back down to 2000m on Monday, they had it around 2600m previously
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Is there any snow base left around the trees or has it all gone? If it's as cloudy and snowy as it says I'l be wanting to play around the trees in Courchevel for visibility reasons!!!
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Reasonable chance of snow all next week with more showery stuff after the weekend. Looks like it could well cool down a bit second half of the week.
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Meteo France/Chamonix is showing great forecast for the coming few days, low f/l and moderate falls:
CHAMONIX VALLEY AND MONT-BLANC AREA WEATHER FORECAST
ISSUED AT 08:53 FRIDAY 15 2005
VALID FROM : FRIDAY APRIL 15 2005 -- UNTIL : WEDNESDAY APRIL 20 2005
GENERAL SYNOPSIS
Low 1001 hpa, English Channel, drifting southeast and filling slightly. Linked disturbance, very active, slowly crossing over the Alps until Monday. Fœhn wind period ahead.
TODAY - FRIDAY APRIL 15
Mainly cloudy - fœhn wind - showers at night
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud - sunshine) : mostly cloudy - cloudy at times with sunny spell - becoming overcast towards the evening - period of sunshine close to 20%.
PRECIPITATION : none.
WIND - ground level : gusty fœhn wind - locally strong.
- mid mountain : S light to moderate.
- high mountain : S moderate to strong.
TEMPERATURE : min +8°C - max +14°C.
ISOTHERME 0°C : 2400 -> 2200 m.
ISOTHERME -10°C : 3800 m.
OVERNIGHT
Overcast - becoming rainy
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud) : overcast.
PRECIPITATION : showers in the first part of the night - continuous precipitation later - rain-snow limit dropping towards 1000 m - expected snowfall towards 1800 m : 5-10 cm.
WIND - aloft : SW moderate -> NE moderate.
TEMPERATURE : +1°C.
TOMORROW SATURDAY APRIL 16
Gloomy and cold - snow
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud - sunshine) : mostly cloudy or overcast - period of sunshine close to 0%.
PRECIPITATION : continuous and moderate - rain-snow limit towards 1000 m - expected snowfall towards 1800 m : 30-40 cm.
WIND - aloft : E -> N moderate.
TEMPERATURE : min -1°C - max +1°C.
SUNDAY APRIL 17
Gloomy and cold - snow
SKY CONDITIONS (cloud - sunshine) : mostly cloudy or overcast - period of sunshine close to 0%.
PRECIPITATION : continuous and light - moderate at times - rain-snow limit towards 1000 m - expected snowfall towards 1800 m : 20-30 cm.
WIND - aloft : N moderate.
TEMPERATURE : stable.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK UNTIL WEDNESDAY APRIL 20 2005
Monday : changeable - becoming unsettled in the afternoon. Tuesday : rainy. Wednesday : improving. Outlook is uncertain.
Forecast reliability : fairly good until Sunday - poor thereafter.
Reports
Chamonix-ville
45.9 N 6.9 E - Altitude 1042 m
15 April 7 h
Temperature +8.6 °C
Relative humidity 54 %
Wind NNW 8 km/h
Pressure 1005 hpa - falling
Pressure at 1042 m 884 mb
Precipitation last 6h 0.0 mm
Skies partly cloudy
Visibility 35000 m
Aiguille du Midi
Altitude 3845 m
15 April 7 h
Temperature -10 °C
Wind S 40 km/h
Relative humidity - %
Le Lac Blanc
Altitude 2330 m
15 April 7 h
Snow depth -- cm
Wind -- km/h
Gusts -- km/h
Temperature -0.2 °C
Relative humidity -- %
w w w . c h a m o n i x - w e a t h e r . c o m
Chamonix Valley and Mont-Blanc area weather information service
© chamonix-weather.com
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Poster: A snowHead
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Do you have a Friday forecast Skanky, especially for Courcheval? Most places I can check seem to agree on heavy snow, and then lighter snow during next week with colder temps, with a slight blip Sunday night/Monday please tell me you still agree
regards,
greg
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Not sure why you trust me as much or over the professionals, but ever obliging....
Okay, not sure I can place Courcheval on the map (is it north or south of the Italian/Swiss border - extrapolating it westwards), so I'll do a general French Alps summary.
Currently, the Cold Front moving eastwards seems to have slowed down so there seems to be less precipitation so far than predicted by GFS etc. The FAX chart for tomorrow morning shows it affected by a LP that forms in the morth Med. This brings easterlies on its northen side which stall the front and in fact turn it into a westerly moving warm front. GFS shows this LP and stalls the front overnight right over the western Alps. It does predict most snow for tonight, so we'll have to see how that goes. The bulk of it seems to be in the southern regions. Freezing levels should (relative to recently) quite low.
Saturday and Saturday night the front stalls and we get quite temperature gradient build up over the area around the Swiss/French/Italian border so there could well be quite a lot of convective precipitation there. The warmer air is to the east. Sunday should see some more precipitation, but as the LPs fuill and move away, things should warm up a bit again (though nothing major in France) and it will probably all die out overnight.
Monday the models have a complex set of LPs over the UK bringing cold NW air down into the continent. A weak warm front should move through first of all on Monday morning, followed that afternoon by a stronger cold front that will restore cooler temps and bring more precipitation.
Tuesday, as the LP systems over the UK move SE into the continent, it brings cooler air down so things look reasonably cool that day.
Wednesday all three models have central Europe in a slack northerly flow which continues the trend from Tuesday.
Thursday a small LP is shown on ECMWF & GFS (UKMO does not go that far, but shows little indication of it the day before). This would bring warmer air (though again nothing warmer than now) and again a good chance of some localised, heavy precipitation. As it moves away, it will drag colder air back down on it's western side bringing the temps back to similar as Tues/Wed.
I've missed the charts for the last couple of days so don't how high the confidence is in that, but it's looking pretty favourable.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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>> Not sure why you trust me as much or over the professionals, but ever obliging....
cos you were spot on last time!
thanks alot.
Greg
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Just got sent some pics from Tignes - http://www.snowstarholidays.com/ pics on their website don't appear to be working but 2foot+ in Tignes overnight and still coming down, hopefully it's heading towards 3 Vallees!!
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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according to reporters on skipass.com (the ones that trust tartiflette) there is a great deal of snow coming down in the Three Valleys and generally around the Rhone Alps but there is not a lot so far in the Haute Savoie or the Beaufortain. It would be interesting to get a first hand report from Chamonix. MF are still forecasting a lot of snow here over the next few days, but so far a lot less than forecast. However the temperature has dropped several degrees, quite suddenly, in the last couple of hours, which is encouraging.
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pam w, I'm no expert but basically (and you can confirm with skanky, ), the cold front and snow is moving up from S/SE, down here (nr Cannes ) we can see the snow on the A-M. Last night was full of heavy precipitation and it has been followed by cold weather . As long as the front can keep moving ( and it is still cold/windy), I think you can bank on it coming through ...
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Newbie50, thanks for your words of comfort. we sat and watched tennis on French TV this afternoon - coming from Monte Carlo, where spectators were wrapped in scarves and hoodies and looked freezing cold.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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it's been snowing hard in the Beaufortain since about 4 am, temperature at 1500m is minus 3. That probably means that Flaine and Chamonix have also had a lot. What a bonus.
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Another 20 cms last night in La Rosiere and it's been snowing continously today, forecast is for more snow this week. Looking good for the end of season.
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