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Whats the next 10 days have in store

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
After all the excitement of this mega dump over austria, how do the resident weather experts see the weather developing over the next 10 days? Any more snow and what does the freezing level look like itl' reach Cmon this is a chance for you to shine Puzzled Laughing Very Happy
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
harrymac,

Les Arcs looking good for the next 7 snowHead

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/snow_forecast.asp?resortID=28
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
The Eastern Alps look cold and a bit snowy right through until Dec.

Austria may be on course for a monster season.

The Western Alps look less cold and less snowy.
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Having been a 'fan' of Metcheck, at home and in France they got it completely wrong this week so am looking at
http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Flaine.0to3mid.shtml instead now!
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Whitegold,
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Lou wrote:
Having been a 'fan' of Metcheck, at home and in France they got it completely wrong this week so am looking at
http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Flaine.0to3mid.shtml instead now!


They got it right this/last week for Les Arcs amd La Plagne Puzzled
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
gwaelod, I quite like this one for an idea of what's going to happen on the ground, well in the valley anyway!
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/tenday/FRXX0142?par=OAP&site=COLDH&code=null
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
gwaelod, not for Les Gets or Flaine rolling eyes
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boredsurfin wrote:
gwaelod, I quite like this one for an idea of what's going to happen on the ground, well in the valley anyway!
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/tenday/FRXX0142?par=OAP&site=COLDH&code=null


Good one as you know if Bourg is getting snow in the base then everything up hill is getting it better snowHead
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 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
gwaelod wrote:
Good one as you know if Bourg is getting snow in the base then everything up hill is getting it better snowHead

It is very windy higher up. The season before last plenty of snow fell in November but all blew away. It would not help if that happened again.


Last edited by Ski the Net with snowHeads on Mon 12-11-07 10:06; edited 1 time in total
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 brian
brian
Guest
Lou, metcheck and snow-forecast are both based on NOAA's (the US govt's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) GFS model. Any differences are just because they update at different times.

Anyway, looks like staying pretty cold across the alps for the next few days with a front arriving round about Wednesday, although it currently looks like only a small to medium dump.

Potentially briefly warming up towards next weekend and then more snow arriving wink
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
brian, small to medium?? It looks like another 30-50cm just in two days......and yes very cold days, perfect for consolidate a good base....
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Seems to be getting much colder from about the 16th, but not too much snow... This GFS model is for Salzburg region, Austria...

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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Oh, well that makes sense.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Quote:

Having been a 'fan' of Metcheck, at home and in France they got it completely wrong this week so am looking at



Metcheck seem a way off to me also. They are forecasting rain in Alpe D'Huez this week Puzzled Yet its clearly very cold!

Snowforecast does seem more accurate at the moment.

TBH - Brian Forecast @ snowheads is my preferred option snowHead

Cheers

Matt
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
This morning it was said on the Austrian radio that the snow is likely to stay for the forseeable future (i.e. no warm up expected in the next few days).
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
DB, sounds like good news.

On the metcheck subject, I quite often find that they get it wrong but they often over egg what it's going to do. If they say it's going to rain hard then it'll probably just rain.

You also have to look at their snow forecasts carefully. I found last year that they'd report loads of snow which was true but only for the tops because the valleys were too warm (in Bad Gastein at least). I had to make my own interpretation looking at the freezing level which is fine but I thought their forecast was a bit misleading.
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 brian
brian
Guest
Kersh wrote:
You also have to look at their snow forecasts carefully. I found last year that they'd report loads of snow which was true but only for the tops because the valleys were too warm (in Bad Gastein at least). I had to make my own interpretation looking at the freezing level which is fine but I thought their forecast was a bit misleading.


I believe that's because metcheck don't do any correction for the actual altitude of the places they forecast for, you just get a snow/rain forecast based on the altitude of the nearest GFS gridpoint.

So, for instance, the nearest grid point to Bad Gastein is at lat 47N, long 13E and altitude 1713m. I imagine that's a bit above valley height ?
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brian, yep, that's much higher than the town. However they know heights of the town and the top station as it's shown in the freezing level forecast chart. We all love to see those black lines ont he snow/rain forecast chart at the top but I think it can be misleading. I suppose it depends whether your predicting snow at the top or the bottom of the mountain? It does make quite difference.

Cheers
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
are the gfs models not done at a pressure- 850hpa. i'm sure i read on this forum that this equated to approx 1500m, but that could vary according to ambient local conditions. i could be wrong though. Laughing
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rogg, that may explain it?
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