Poster: A snowHead
|
The Met office 3 month forecast predicts a likely warmer and dryer time for the UK and southern Alps, with no opinion expressed about the western Alps. Lets hope its a wrong prediction!
Last edited by Poster: A snowHead on Thu 21-09-06 10:10; edited 2 times in total
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
Martin Nicholas, Easiski's French link said there would be abundant precipitation.
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
Is there any evaluation of how accurate these long range predictions are?
|
|
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
|
|
|
It must be too early to predict it...PLEASE BE WRONG
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
On no - the snow dances have started already.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Just like the fitness routines....
......not
|
|
|
|
|
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
|
"the situation is now finely balanced with approximately even chance that the winter will be colder or warmer than average"
Most conclusive then....
|
|
|
|
|
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
|
Martin Nicholas, sounds good to me !!
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yep a bit of good news. The MetO experimental long range model got it pretty well right last year - cold and dry. The model for this winter (Dec - Feb) is suggesting a likelihood for a normal winter with the odds then split between warmer or cooler. If I've understood it correctly it means that there is a 70% chance that it will NOT be warmer than normal. If so thats great news.
They are also hinting at colder weather in late winter which for the MetO means February, although winter in the UK these days often doesn't start until March !
Good news also for the Alps with a wetter winter forecast, so hopefully no prolonged drought and more frequent snowfalls, at least high up.
All in all a reasonable forecast and a reason to be optimistic.
It could of course always change, the wrong way naturally, but at the moment its a bit of good news as we go into the Autumn.
|
|
|
|
|
You know it makes sense.
|
Peter S, thanks for the report. Fingers crossed they're not too far off the mark.
|
|
|
|
|
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
|
|
|
|