 Poster: A snowHead
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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| Mollerski wrote: |
We travel next Friday (13th). The 14th is forecast to hammer it down, then it needs to calm the fk down.  |
Relax! It’s too early to start worrying about travel plans being disrupted etc. Whilst nearly all the major models are showing proper snowfall for the Dolomites next week, the timing and extent is subject to significant uncertainty still. The reliable forecast horizon is probably no more than 4 days whilst the current pattern variability persists. But the cold is there, the air masses are mobile and should be wet! So a time to relax and enjoy watching the forecasts/webcams knowing that the odds are now very much on your side if you’re in the Dolomites from mid December onwards…
We are flying in to INN on Sat 14th, heading for the Posta Zirm in Corvara for 5 nights. The setup looks perfect to me…
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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@luigi, shusshh! Another secret to be kept from the powder hunters. Packed slopes, everything tracked out in seconds, food shite etc
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| Mollerski wrote: |
We travel next Friday (13th). The 14th is forecast to hammer it down, then it needs to calm the fk down.  |
Bergfex now showing a huge dump sat night / Sunday (54cm in Alta Badia !!) but that is this weekend coming so 7th-8th ?
14th is weekend after and that is not on any reliable forecast yet ?
We go to Kronplatz on 15th so looking great !
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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 You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Do you think there will be too much snow to ski on Sunday? I arrive Saturday - was initially worried there wouldn’t be enough snow!
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| REM1 wrote: |
| Do you think there will be too much snow to ski on Sunday? I arrive Saturday - was initially worried there wouldn’t be enough snow! |
Nah. If it's a bit heavy going, join us in the pub!
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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@REM1
The Dolomites are know for the excellence at piste Bashing..
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Foolproof plan!
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 You know it makes sense.
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| REM1 wrote: |
| Foolproof plan! |
Saltos, Kronestrube or if we give in, the Luiskeller. Bearing in mind that we collectively have the breaking strain of a kitkat.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Are you sure you’re discussing the same Sunday..?
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 Poster: A snowHead
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| IanTr wrote: |
| Are you sure you’re discussing the same Sunday..? |
Any Sunday will do
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Thanks Luigi, can’t wait. I’ll post some photos for everyone!
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Bergfex have now downgraded their precipitation forecast for the NW Alps, forecasting that the low will track further south + east. Looks like 30 cms of natural snow falling across the Dolomites this weekend. And it’s staying cold into next week. Lovely.
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Wonderful! Thanks for the update. Can’t wait to get there next week!
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 You'll need to Register first of course.
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Interesting commentary on wePowder about the development of a Genoa low which is why the main GFS and ECM forecast charts (and all the other forecasts based on them) have been showing variable and increased amounts of snowfall...they are not yet nailing their colours to the mast on this...but it is looking very hopeful...
https://wepowder.com/en/weblog/2024/12/05/fluctuating-weather-models-give-us-a-hard-time
Perhaps the most important development: a Genoa low develops on Saturday according to most models, which from Saturday evening will also start to bring a lot of snow in the (southern) eastern Alps. The upper level flow turns south and very moist air is brought in, which is forced to rise over the cold air mass below.
GFS calculates the most snowfall for the (eastern) Dolomites, Ost-Tirol and southern Carinthia, EC also shows more snow further north towards the Tauern and Salzburgerland, which is quite possible with such a setting. Due to the cold air present, the snowline seems to be around 500 to 1000 metres in many places.
Should these amounts of 20 to 50 cm in Austria and even more in the Dolomites be confirmed in the next 24 hours, PA#1 could just be issued for two completely different regions (northwest & southeast). We’ll keep you posted!
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We are all watching the Genoa low @luigi. It could create heavy rainfall throughout the Dolomites and wash away whatever little snow was there to start with
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 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Still lightly snowing in Alta Badia, clear skies over Alpe di Susi, skiing conditions must be great. Let's see if the ~30cm forecast for the weekend materialises.
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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| twiceforluck2 wrote: |
| Still lightly snowing in Alta Badia, clear skies over Alpe di Susi, skiing conditions must be great. Let's see if the ~30cm forecast for the weekend materialises. |
Scratch that, heavier snow and cloudy in both areas now. Will it continue all weekend..?
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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| IanTr wrote: |
We are all watching the Genoa low @luigi. It could create heavy rainfall throughout the Dolomites and wash away whatever little snow was there to start with  |
You almost had me there!
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 You know it makes sense.
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I'm going 12th to 21st.
I think it might be a tad busier than usual, particularly towards the 20th, 21st. I have a mailing list of places in Selva and Santa Cristina to which I send requests for availability but many seem unable to meet my dates. Maybe related to the World Cup or people arriving a few days early for the Christmas week.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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The precipitation lines for the weekend event are still all over the place. Something will come, but still not certain how much. The various forecasts will produce a snowfall figure from the operational run they're based on, but end up being less or more in reality.
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 Poster: A snowHead
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| luigi wrote: |
The precipitation lines for the weekend event are still all over the place. Something will come, but still not certain how much. The various forecasts will produce a snowfall figure from the operational run they're based on, but end up being less or more in reality. |
Does this give you encouragement from the go-to science of ecmwf, Corvara at resort level:
Sat min -8C / max +3C
Sun min -5C / max -2C
Mon min -7C / max -1.5C
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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ARPAV (Veneto Avalanche Service) have now nailed their colours to the mast...remnants of Storm Darragh will be hitting the Dolomites too!
https://www2.arpa.veneto.it/meteo/it/html/meteo_dolomiti.php
Weather warning issued for rain and snow above 600/900m and strong winds Sunday, but more so in the Pre-Alps, plain and coast than the Dolomites.
Snow-wise they are saying 15-40cm above 1200m in the Dolomites, 25-50cm further south in the Pre-Alps, maybe higher totals locally. Still some wiggle room there!
With rain-snow limits so low, the snow falling in the ski areas should be pretty dry, @IanTr is kidding!
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 You need to Login to know who's really who.
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| REM1 wrote: |
| Do you think there will be too much snow to ski on Sunday? I arrive Saturday - was initially worried there wouldn’t be enough snow! |
Hopefully your flight will be OK as Storm Darragh passes through the UK.
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It is not cancelled …. yet. I’m staying hopeful, especially as i’ve just finished packing!
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 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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In terms of progress there are now 160 lifts (out of a total of 206) that are open between the Alta Badia, Arabba, Val di Fassa and Val Gardena.
A few more runs have also opened today. There is currently 278 kms of linked piste skiing across the Sella Ronda out of a total of 476kms.
Kronplatz has just opened more terrain including the fabulous 7km Reid run right down to 835m. It now has 90kms of piste open out of a total of 120kms. 27 out of 31 lifts are running.
https://www.whatsupcams.com/en/webcams/italy/trentino-alto-adige/perca/livecam-ried-percha-perca/
Currently a dry -5c in Canazei, sunny and no wind. https://www.bergfex.com/trentino/wetter/stationen/canazei/
The green button is still pressed (!) so there is more snow to make this month to reach the seasonal targets
Snow is forecast to fall from the actual sky tomorrow then staying cool but a little unsettled with potential for a bit more aesthetic cover from mid month.
Last edited by You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net. on Sat 7-12-24 13:29; edited 1 time in total
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