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The All New Weather Outlook 24/25

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Dry as a bone over here for the foreseeable… ski touring weather
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@BobinCH, wrong chart?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
twoodwar wrote:
@BobinCH, wrong chart?


It’s the current chart but for some reason it includes an old date - perhaps from when I initially saved the link to my favourites?


Last edited by Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see? on Mon 3-02-25 9:52; edited 1 time in total
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@BobinCH, fine, just wondered.
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Europe dry, US dry. Japan is off the scale…
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I know most here follow the Western alps, I go to Austria and so keep a keen eye there , I returned from Austria about ten days ago.

Weather was beautiful but snow was needed lower down, since I’ve been back there was one fall (nothing too big) but the next 14 days look bone dry.

Sad to see

It’s been a very prolonged dry spell
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
US getting pounded (a touch too moist though!)

https://www.snow-forecast.com/whiteroom/huge-storm-hits-north-americas-west-coast/

@sussexmartlet, quite normal for a prolonged dry spell in the Alps
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After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
sussexmartlet wrote:
I know most here follow the Western alps, I go to Austria and so keep a keen eye there , I returned from Austria about ten days ago.

Weather was beautiful but snow was needed lower down, since I’ve been back there was one fall (nothing too big) but the next 14 days look bone dry.

Sad to see

It’s been a very prolonged dry spell


Thanks for the update from the other side!
I've also been in Austria for the past 1,5 weeks. Been to a few lower-ish resorts in the eastern part (Saalbach, Alpbach, Tauplitz, Kitzbühel, Schladming) and conditions there were fine but indeed spring-like, with quite a lot of green on the south-facing sides of the mountains. Last Tuesday it rained all day in Schladming under ~900-1300m.
In Obertauern last Wednesday the conditions were great though, with a bit of fresh snow (but the village sits at 1600m).

I do feel like the intense snowfalls earlier this winter have provided a good base, so nearly all slopes I saw were still open and white, even if with varying degrees of quality.

I was planning to go to Slovenia but changed the planning to Ischgl and Kappl and the conditions here are superb. Still a lot of snow and the quality is great, with just a few icier runs (they do make artificial snow even when not strictly needed, but just to maintain slope quality).

There's no snow in the forecast indeed; bluebird sky and it is a bit warm, though it should get a bit colder towards the end of the week.

Bottom line, the obvious (but now with some empiric evidence): above ~1500m conditions are still amazing; below that everything is still open, but you'll be facing spring conditions (slush and some ice) and some green landscapes.
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Looking dry but have been seeing hints of cold flakes coming on an easterly at the end of this week .
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I've also been seeing flip-flopping signals for something for the south and east over the weekend.
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ECM seems to suggest snow Friday/Saturday mainly south of the main ridge, GFS shows no interest at all. Was in the Arlberg at the weekend and similar but snowier than Ischgl (no sign of hard pack). Even with bright sunshine it felt cold in most places, needed to be wrapped up to sit outside for lunch. Snow should last a while especially as it seemed to be very dry.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
GFS showing something too now, question is always how far in these fronts get, whether it will just be for the south and east facing flanks of the alps.
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BBC weather (dont laugh snowHead ) is suggesting western Italy will benefit most. light SW winds over most of this coming long weekend with low temps and light snow / showers on and off
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
It's going to be mild next week in arosa! I was hoping for cold.
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Certainly the ECM anomalies seem to be slightly colder for the next week in the west and a bit warmer further east under high pressure all over europe with the winds trying to come in from the east. Most of Europe drier than normal too, perhaps some precipitation coming into the alpine areas from the med? Perhaps thats the Italian snow @t44tomo mentioned.

The week after, does the high move further north over Scandi certainly would have the tendency to bring in winds from the east for more northerly Europe with a developing big low out in the Atlantic but this seems to raising the temps higher than normal in Alps but colder than normal in the north. Continues to be dry it seems through to about 16th?

And its a long way off but there seems to be a significant change around 17th with low pressure in Atlantic high pressure retreating towards east Europe and a deep area of low developing coming into Western Europe bringing in much milder temps than normal for the whole of europe.....(Sad) 1-3degs milder than average. this will also bring much more precipitation than normal across all of Europe.....

....but this is just a view from 1 model today and much of it too far out to be certain.

fingers crossed, daughter going to Courcheval at half term....hope wont be a wash out and the temps stay cold enough....... Puzzled
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 Poster: A snowHead
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Ackie68 wrote:
Certainly the ECM anomalies seem to be slightly colder for the next week in the west and a bit warmer further east under high pressure all over europe with the winds trying to come in from the east. Most of Europe drier than normal too, perhaps some precipitation coming into the alpine areas from the med? Perhaps thats the Italian snow @t44tomo mentioned.

The week after, does the high move further north over Scandi certainly would have the tendency to bring in winds from the east for more northerly Europe with a developing big low out in the Atlantic but this seems to raising the temps higher than normal in Alps but colder than normal in the north. Continues to be dry it seems through to about 16th?

And its a long way off but there seems to be a significant change around 17th with low pressure in Atlantic forming and high pressure retreating towards east Europe and a deep area of low developing coming into Western Europe bringing in much milder temps than normal for the whole of europe.....(Sad) 1-3degs milder than average. this will also bring much more precipitation than normal across all of Europe.....

....but this is just a view from 1 model today and much of it too far out to be certain.

fingers crossed, daughter going to Courcheval at half term....hope wont be a wash out and the temps stay cold enough....... Puzzled
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@Joshsnowfiend, not sure where you get that info from. The thought for next week is dry but pretty cold weather maybe a few degrees above freezing during the day. Arosa might just catch some of the possible weekend snow which is likely to be more focused south of the main ridge.

One take on this https://wepowder.com/en/weblog/2025/02/03/sunny-and-dry-possible-snow-in-the-southern-alps-from-friday
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Japan is being Pounded Very Happy Very Happy


http://youtube.com/v/i_cfl9XApo4?


http://youtube.com/v/6L0OWniHWek?


The Tokachi region in Japan experienced record-breaking snowfall, with Obihiro City buried under 1.2 meters (120 cm / 47 inches) of snow in just 12 hours as of the morning of February 4th. This marks the highest snowfall recorded in the country since

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886740762546581968

Obihiro Airport buried

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759214665576452

Obihiro City

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886759072168358138
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Outlook all over the place again, latest brings the Atlantic back in
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Ooft latest run on Meteociel was a surprise! Hope it stays that way !
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@Alpinebear, exactly
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
And as I checked excitedly this morning ….. it’s all disappeared!
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
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And this weekends offering South of the Alpine ridge in Italy, Aosta seems to be lessening also .
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Le Grand Renard wrote:
And this weekends offering South of the Alpine ridge in Italy, Aosta seems to be lessening also .


Yes the wall to wall sunshine certainly looks to be ending come the weekend, its just whether the 4/5 days there after deliver a few flakes or 20cm+.....Wait and see!
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fascinated to hear the predictions for half term as they come in. Last 2 were plus 14, hoping for colder than that at least.
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t44tomo wrote:
BBC weather (dont laugh snowHead ) is suggesting western Italy will benefit most. light SW winds over most of this coming long weekend with low temps and light snow / showers on and off


To be fair to you - they use the ECMWF for their forecasts - its the blue line you often seen when people publish the graphs
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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I think this is ECMWF for "no idea mate, come back next week"

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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
To my very amateur eye, it’s looking dry for the foreseeable in the western alps or am I wrong? Are we allowed to talk about half term yet? Laughing
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Messif Central in France going to get hit today/tomorrow 50cm plus
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Snow Forecast is changing almost hourly between about 12cm - 1cm for Tarantaise resorts over Sunday/Monday. The charts on ECMWF look promising, with the precipitation coming in from the East, hopefully it can push across into those Western areas.
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webcam watch shows a lot of cloud & fog rolling up the Aosta Valley
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Does anyone have a slight idea as to what the weather is up to in Alpe D'huez? @Alpinebear what do you think?
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@Wilip, yesterdays forecast(meteo France on strike today)! has some snow for Sunday night/Monday morning. After that who knows!
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Austria

08 02 2025

Big temperature differences now at Midday. 15° with foehn in Bludenz, 14° in Schwaz in the Inn Valley and 13° in Elsbethen near Salzburg.

On the other hand, it is still around 0° in foggy Weitra in the Waldviertel.

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Is there a glimmer of hope for 20cm top up before half term? Heading to montafon in the voralberg Austria on 14th for half term keeping fingers crossed for a bit of fresh before then. It certainly looks cold for half term week
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10cm or so in Serre Chevalier overnight and today, only WePowder came close to predicting anything like that. It seems like the main models struggle to predict how far in an easterly front will push. Off to check out Italy tomorrow, hopefully they've got a bit more.
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t44tomo wrote:
webcam watch shows a lot of cloud & fog rolling up the Aosta Valley


hows the snow currently? arriving thursday to Pila
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Tjhodgson_145 wrote:
t44tomo wrote:
webcam watch shows a lot of cloud & fog rolling up the Aosta Valley


hows the snow currently? arriving thursday to Pila


https://pila.it/en/real-time/webcams/
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JDgoesskiing wrote:
Is there a glimmer of hope for 20cm top up before half term? Heading to montafon in the voralberg Austria on 14th for half term keeping fingers crossed for a bit of fresh before then. It certainly looks cold for half term week


That’s Hochjoch. Bit warm at the base but looking promising up high… we’re hoping to ski there on the 15th
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Snow in Europe next week

skip to 1min 40secs


http://youtube.com/v/FJo6SlpjA7A?t=100
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