 Poster: A snowHead
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Going to get a little cheaper.
Finally Macron seems to have realised he was taking the wee wee. Expect about a 15% rise in the pound by Christmas....
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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@cameronphillips2000, any link to that?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Just google brexit deal latest.
And buy the.pound against the dollar on any high leverage trading app
They will have agrreed this a while back. Just had to do the last mi mnute posturing smstuff so didbt lose face.
Franxe will buy british fishing rights. Birth east france happy, Macron happy, Boris happy.
Pound soars.....
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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This was all factored in long ago by the markets. The latest thing is just the usual posturing and headline fodder for the press. Currency rates are around where they'll stay, deal, no-deal, no-deal-by-another-name, a-deal-but-it's-rubbish etc. etc. No 'soaring' involved. I don't see that holidays will get cheaper.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Perhaps the French could subsidise Beer and Ski Passes, that'd make my holiday cheaper 
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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@cameronphillips2000, ‘weewee’, ‘soars’....Oh dear.
Luckily we are not so emotional on this side of the Channel
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@cameronphillips2000, don't know what your source is, top google hits are all about industry screaming to say Brexit will be disastrous.
But as I commented somewhere else, Johnson's failure to suppress a laugh when a journalist at the last Covid briefing asked about Brexit does suggest a high degree of posturing. On fishing, it is in both Johnson's and Macron's interests to go through the motions of acting tough in order to justify the compromise which is there for the taking. On state aid, it isn't clear why that should be necessary since the EU has said the UK has already pretty much met requirements in their Japan trade deal. Level playing field is perhaps a tricky one in that it is clearly in the UK's interest but wouldn't satisfy the "destroy Britain" wing of the Conservative Party; there is a solution on the table to the unnecessary issue about the ECJ.
Johnson just has to understand that negotiation means actually engaging in finding a solution, not posturing and hoping a stronger opponent will concede.
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Googled Brexit Deal Latest, nothing new out there. Any links?
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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| Gilberts Fridge wrote: |
| Googled Brexit Deal Latest, nothing new out there. Any links? |
Likewise.
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GBPEUR up 45bp at 1.1074, so the billions of pounds traded already today in the currency markets aren't showing much Brexit euphoria!
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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@cameronphillips2000,
I have a budget.
holiday costs more = less spending money.
holiday costs less = more spending money.
I still spend the same. My budget!
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| Just google brexit deal latest.. |
" top google hits are all about industry screaming to say Brexit will be disastrous. "
Watch the Social Dilemma, your google results will be directly linked to what you personally have previously been looking for.
Might explain the above discrepancy.
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And it very likely might be fake news promoted by Russian trolls...
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You know it makes sense.
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| Orange200 wrote: |
Watch the Social Dilemma, your google results will be directly linked to what you personally have previously been looking for.
Might explain the above discrepancy. |
Indeed. If you want to avoid this, use https://duckduckgo.com/ instead of searching with Google.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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I did tell you... Pound rising today, expect 1.45 to 1.50 to the dollar in the near future....
As for the comment about Macron taking the wee wee, that was not emotional - It was how it was viewed across Europe, particularly by the Germans and Italians who were all over him at the weekend for putting his own vote winning in front the greater good of his country and Europe. Such was the outrage in Italy that people were suggesting Italy leave the EU and form a trade partnership with the UK if France were going to use their Vote vote in their own self-interests. I can see that Europe won't want UK firms to have an unfair advantage if the state intervenes and makes things not a level playing field but allowing free access to another country's resources is taking the wee wee. The rest of Europe was quite happy with this and it seems only Macron was demanding something that was well beyond any trade agreement between other countries.
Interestingly, I often meet diplomats working in Europe and they say that all the blow and bluster is just political stuff for votes back home, and the deals are usually agreed well beforehand but the politicians can't be shown to have folded to early.
My guess is that the French will pay for fish tariffs in UK waters and Boris will have to back down on government intervention to give Uk firms unfair advantages in the European market and a deal will go through...
Expect cheaper ski holidays as the pound goes back to pre 2016 levels - as it did a couple of years ago, before Boris, Rees Mogg and co lynched Theresa May...
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Poster: A snowHead
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@cameronphillips2000, the thing is a free trade deal doesn't solve many problems. The UK will still be outside of the single market and the customs union. Meaning a customs border between Great Britain and Northern Ireland, or between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, plus customs borders for all UK ports of entry. If you have ever seen the border between Sweden and Norway, then you will understand what this means. I think any change in the value of the pound is likely to reflect that business between the UK and just about anywhere will be much harder than it is now.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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I've traded in Switzerland and driven in with a lorry load of stuff. I know exactly what you mean.
There will be issues, but nothing like a no-trade deal which, coupled with Covid, would have had a devasting effect to both the UK and the EU.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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@cameronphillips2000, agreed.
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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@cameronphillips2000, I don't see any dramatic shift in the £/Euro rate which is what matters.
Clearly Macron has to create the appearance of supporting French fishermen, just as Johnson has to appear to support British fishermen. That is meaningless noise nothing to do with serious negotiations, except in that each needs a minor victory to proclaim. The issue is serious negotiation (i.e. quid pro quo) which Johnson keeps avoiding. I suspect that strategy will end up giving him less room to manoevre on the things that really matter, but give him his small victory over fish. The key is trade - which if not agreed will lead to catastrophic problems for lots of British business including the fishing industry - and it seems to me that Johnson has painted himself into a corner where he has to accept a deal in exchange for some meaningless concession over fishing.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| j b wrote: |
@cameronphillips2000, I don't see any dramatic shift in the £/Euro rate which is what matters.
Clearly Macron has to create the appearance of supporting French fishermen, just as Johnson has to appear to support British fishermen. That is meaningless noise nothing to do with serious negotiations, except in that each needs a minor victory to proclaim. The issue is serious negotiation (i.e. quid pro quo) which Johnson keeps avoiding. I suspect that strategy will end up giving him less room to manoevre on the things that really matter, but give him his small victory over fish. The key is trade - which if not agreed will lead to catastrophic problems for lots of British business including the fishing industry - and it seems to me that Johnson has painted himself into a corner where he has to accept a deal in exchange for some meaningless concession over fishing. |
I always thought Boris was making a big hoo-hah over the fish, so he could later compromise on that and gain real concessions on the trade deal (watered down level playing field regulation, no ECJ jurisdiction) which is definitely the most important issue in economic terms and where the EU was looking to tie up the UK indefinitely. They are desperate to make sure Brexit isn't seen as a success, as Euro-sceptic populist movements in other countries are stirring to leave.
We don't even have the boats or processing capacity to exploit the fishery fully ourselves, so a compromise deal to allow a gradual tapering of EU fishing rights makes sense short term anyway.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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@cameronphillips2000, I'll bookmark this thread, and in the unlikely you are proved right I'll offer you my humble apology. Obviously I expect the reverse if your prediction doesn't come to pass.
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| eblunt wrote: |
| @cameronphillips2000, I'll bookmark this thread, and in the unlikely you are proved right I'll offer you my humble apology. Obviously I expect the reverse if your prediction doesn't come to pass. |
I'll just grab myself a bag of popcorn!! 
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Just checked out of curiosity. £ was up against the Euro today, but only back to where it was on Monday morning, and coincidentally the same as this time last week.
A few traders may have made a bit, but no real change. Nothing to bother buying a stamp to write home about
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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It’s interesting that brexit supporting skiers can barely acknowledge the existence of skiing in europe priced in euros..........
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Give it time. I still reckon it's about to get interesting....
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| Give it time. I still reckon it's about to get interesting.... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of quids into euro I do hope you’re right...
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| As for the comment about Macron taking the wee wee, that was not emotional - It was how it was viewed across Europe, particularly by the Germans and Italians who were all over him at the weekend for putting his own vote winning in front the greater good of his country and Europe. Such was the outrage in Italy that people were suggesting Italy leave the EU and form a trade partnership with the UK if France were going to use their Vote vote in their own self-interests.. |
Sheer nonsense, and a typical case of British overestimation. Hilarious actually, if not sad in Corona-2020
‘the people’ on the continent are fed up with the Britons and their Brexit, and really are not interested about Macron’s words about Brexit.
“Please leave already, so we can move ahead without you fools.” Sorry, but that’s the real mood in European streets, high and low.
Last edited by And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports. on Fri 23-10-20 22:04; edited 1 time in total
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| andy from embsay wrote: |
| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| Give it time. I still reckon it's about to get interesting.... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of quids into euro I do hope you’re right... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of euro into quids I do hope you’re wrong...
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You know it makes sense.
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| DJL wrote: |
| andy from embsay wrote: |
| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| Give it time. I still reckon it's about to get interesting.... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of quids into euro I do hope you’re right... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of euro into quids I do hope you’re wrong... |
I wonder if there’s an arbitrage here somewhere! 
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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| andy from embsay wrote: |
| DJL wrote: |
| andy from embsay wrote: |
| cameronphillips2000 wrote: |
| Give it time. I still reckon it's about to get interesting.... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of quids into euro I do hope you’re right... |
As I’m about to change a reasonable quantity of euro into quids I do hope you’re wrong... |
I wonder if there’s an arbitrage here somewhere! |
Peer to peer exchange maybe!
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Poster: A snowHead
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| DJL wrote: |
| Peer to peer exchange maybe! |
Absolutely! Both parties should be able to agree an exchange rate that is better for each of them than they can get through commercial currency exchange outlets. 
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FAQ
