 Poster: A snowHead
|
| Jonpim wrote: |
| Friend in Tignes, seasonaire, runs a chalet, just told us that Tignes has released a statement that resort will stay open until May 5th, with no plans to close early. |
Flights to Geneva and airbnb booked in Val D for Wednesday 18th - fingers crossed!
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
'Skiers are all quite young a[nd] fit.'
Apart from being untrue, that's not the issue. Neither is building Herd Immunity. The problem is to avoid the China-like peak that would overwhelm the NHS (or equivalent abroad). 3 out of 4 UK Intensive Care beds are occupied in the normal course of events, in part because Austerity has meant that we now have only ¼ of the IC beds, pro rata, to other advanced economies like Germany. And more importantly, corresponding expert IC teams.
People will still have car accidents; fall down the stairs; be hit by cars; fall off their bikes'; fall sick from all the other diseases we're prone to; etc. And a good proportion of those will be 'young and fit'. And find that thanks to the coronavirus, they can't get an IC bed. Or treatment. Or a GP appointment.
So let's not be complacent: we're all in this together, and we can all do something to moderate the epidemic's effects.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
|
Cocorico and Doudoune closed after today..Tignes Val dIsere
|
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
| LaForet wrote: |
'Skiers are all quite young a[nd] fit.'
Apart from being untrue, that's not the issue. Neither is building Herd Immunity. The problem is to avoid the China-like peak that would overwhelm the NHS (or equivalent abroad). 3 out of 4 UK Intensive Care beds are occupied in the normal course of events, in part because Austerity has meant that we now have only ¼ of the IC beds, pro rata, to other advanced economies like Germany. And more importantly, corresponding expert IC teams.
People will still have car accidents; fall down the stairs; be hit by cars; fall off their bikes'; fall sick from all the other diseases we're prone to; etc. And a good proportion of those will be 'young and fit'. And find that thanks to the coronavirus, they can't get an IC bed. Or treatment. Or a GP appointment.
So let's not be complacent: we're all in this together, and we can all do something to moderate the epidemic's effects. |
There is no complacency in my post. There is going to be no avoiding the effects of this virus. We cannot indefinitely sustain draconian measures. We are not China. When they are lifted, the virus will come back in force. Herd immunity is the only way this will be solved, and the UK policy will reduce the long term damage by limiting exposure as much as possible to the vulnerable. The majority of the population will be infected whatever we do. Futher measures will be enacted over time to reduce the impact on the NHS, as and when they are most useful and efficient. Try to separate your dislike of the Tories from the policy enacted. It is clearly not Bojo's policy as it is far far too intelligent. I, for one, am glad that we are following the advice of scientists rather than public opinion (despite the U turn on public gatherings we are seeing today).
I am sorry to be so blunt, but the fact is is that this virus is poo-poo. Whilst China etc. appear to have contained it, they have in fact only hit the pause button.
Last edited by You need to Login to know who's really who. on Sat 14-03-20 18:26; edited 1 time in total
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
The French resorts are staying open, for now.
Corona roulette.
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
| Quote: |
Herd immunity is the only way this will be solved
|
Wrong.
Totally Wrong.
Common Cold?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| under a new name wrote: |
| Quote: |
Herd immunity is the only way this will be solved
|
Wrong.
Totally Wrong.
Common Cold? |
So you are saying that the UK's leading scientists are wrong? Evidence?
I raise you the Flu, Measles etc. vaccination works by achieving herd immunity. Certainly, the virus could mutate. In that case, we are all  , no matter what happens.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
|
I work in a small resort in the Pyrenees and we close tomorrow night after directive de conseil administratif so imagine there will be a lot of stations doing the same now. Just found out as we came down this evening.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herd immunity by vaccination is a lot safer than herd immunity by infection, the route we have taken condemns the weakest to death, it seems a very risky game, if it goes wrong and mutates you could lose the whole herd
|
|
|
|
|
|
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
|
| Quote: |
Herd immunity by vaccination is a lot safer than herd immunity by infection
|
Indeed, and if we had a vaccine, that would be spiffing. NOBODY is saying the weakest can go to the wall. Anybody who is vulnerable and seriously worried has the option to self-isolate. What else would help protect us, other than trying to flatten out the spike to optimise access to health services?
|
|
|
|
|
|
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
|
I seem to be one of the few who think French ski resorts are probably doing the right thing by not panicking. Gondolas and perhaps lift queues are the main contagion risk, so it is best not to spend too high a proportion of your time in them (and don't pull the hood down on chair lifts). But in many places there aren't alternative routes.
The problem is that leaders want to be seen to be doing something, anything, a kind of machismo. In the case of Trump the machismo started with saying that Americans' constitutions would easily stand up to the pesky Chinese virus, and then switched to trying to out-do the Chinese and Italian restrictions.
Both Johnson and Macron seem currently to be taking the advice of their experts, but for how much longer? As hard information emerges it seems to be more and more likely that Covid-19 has about the same severity as normal flu, it is just that the lack of prior immunity (even partial) makes it spread quicker and hit the vulnerable harder. The unknown to me – but presumably known to public health officials from previous contact tracing – is whether children act as significant spreaders of the virus. If not, then given how mildly they are affected it makes sense to keep schools open. They can surely estimate how big a hit to NHS capacity would be caused by forcing working parents to stay at home with kids.
The surprise to me is that there hasn't been stronger advice on protecting those vulnerable through pre-existing health problems. Creating a significant barrier to them getting infected would have a big impact at both a personal and a health service level.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Quote: |
What else would help protect us, other than trying to flatten out the spike to optimise access to health services?
|
Most countries appear to be trying to do this - but not the UK.
|
|
|
|
|
|
You know it makes sense.
|
|
|
|
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
|
| RobinS wrote: |
| Quote: |
What else would help protect us, other than trying to flatten out the spike to optimise access to health services?
|
Most countries appear to be trying to do this - but not the UK. |
I see the UK action as the opposite (in other words MORE effective), mathematically, "seeding" smaller centres of incidence could more effectively deplete the total numbers prior to it reaching exponential growth of any one location.
As opposed to China model with more singular epicentre, as it gets geographically larger then the exponential growth easily outruns care provision.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poster: A snowHead
|
|
@holidayloverxx, Probably because they hold more than a 100 (and are backed by a very wealthy company). But given its Pride Week that will be a big hit. But if we sty open for a couple more weeks it will help prevent some of the local business going under.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
| RobinS wrote: |
| Quote: |
What else would help protect us, other than trying to flatten out the spike to optimise access to health services?
|
Most countries appear to be trying to do this - but not the UK. |
That's exactly what the UK government is trying to do, delay the peak infection rate and flatten the spike, primarily to minimise the pressure on the health service.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
|
We’re all set, up at 4am to travel to La Tania. Going to be a very odd few days, such a strange feeling when normally I’m buzzing. Hoping we get a good few days at least
|
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
France officially in Level 3 tonight, total lockdown
i. bars, restaurants, discos, cinemas to close
ii. mosques and churches to remain open
iii. all shops to shut apart from: petrol stations, food shops and tobacconists
iv. people to stay at home if possible and not to visit other towns
v. public transport only to be used to go to work, people should only go to work if absolutely essential
vi. people should remain at home except for essential food shopping, no activities that risk hospitalization to avoid overloading the health service
vii. tomorrow's elections to go ahead
viii. borders remain open
ix. over 70s to avoid any social contact.
to be applied from midnight tonight
Last edited by You need to Login to know who's really who. on Sat 14-03-20 20:01; edited 3 times in total
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
|
Oh no. I was planning on leaving tonight, on the assumption of ski touring. Looks like that idea is burnt.
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
| rob@rar wrote: |
| RobinS wrote: |
| Quote: |
What else would help protect us, other than trying to flatten out the spike to optimise access to health services?
|
Most countries appear to be trying to do this - but not the UK. |
That's exactly what the UK government is trying to do, delay the peak infection rate and flatten the spike, primarily to minimise the pressure on the health service. |
Many think there has been a huge lack of action early on to achieve this tho, all countries are trying to achieve the same thing and it seems like everyone bar us have been taking more decisive steps, earlier.
The proof in the pudding will be the death rate in a few weeks time compared to our neighbors that have taken a different path.
Last edited by You'll need to Register first of course. on Sat 14-03-20 20:01; edited 1 time in total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Imagine being on a bus on the last leg to a resort - having travelled for 14hours so far....
oh. That’s me!
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
So feckin hot of the press!
All bars restos in France closed from midnight.
Drinks on the house in the bar !
Not so sure about lifts ??
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
|
Should add where we're drinking the owner is also top honcho of Serre Che ESF
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
@davidof, I have no doubts about what you say - but do you have an official source so I can quote it to sceptics?
|
|
|
|
|
|
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
|
|
|
|
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
|
| RobinS wrote: |
| @davidof, I have no doubts about what you say - but do you have an official source so I can quote it to sceptics? |
yes, me. 
I'm sure someone will post links .
Last edited by And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports. on Sat 14-03-20 20:05; edited 1 time in total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| RobinS wrote: |
| @davidof, I have no doubts about what you say - but do you have an official source so I can quote it to sceptics? |
Just look at the website of any French newspaper or turn on the TV.
|
|
|
|
|
|
You know it makes sense.
|
|
|
|
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
|
|
Perhaps dont do as happened in Belgium where a number of bars held "lock in" parties the night the ban was introduced!
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poster: A snowHead
|
Feck this is going to be a night to remember.......
Now all the ESF dudes are coming here to see what's going on as the Chief is here, but lifts have to close as well.
Booze flowing, think I'll leave the van here
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
|
@munich_irish, too late 
|
|
|
|
|
|
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
|
UK Has.had.the biggest increase of all today.
Ex head of public health going ballistic on C4.news calling for.Boris' head.
Expect the uk to close.schools andnnon essential places.withinthe week.
|
|
|
|
|
|
You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
|
|
So the only exemptions are religion and elections.....
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
|
|
|
|
You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
|
| chocksaway wrote: |
| So the only exemptions are religion and elections..... |
more or less, but there won't be a policeman on every street corner
letting the elections (2 rounds) go ahead is a serious error. Macron was against but other political leaders forced his hand. It is after elections that Iran's infections took off I believe. Old people love elections. I'm staying at home and not voting.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
@cameronphillips2000, Surely he would be better calling for the heads of PHE etc? A Prime Minister is only as good as his advice.
Given the trajectories of all other nations have been similar getting overtly political is not going to help.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Let’s hope uk government declare against travel to France, otherwise I’m in the worst case scenario of no holiday but no travel insurance payout
Last edited by After all it is free  on Sat 14-03-20 20:20; edited 2 times in total
|
|
|
|
|
|
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
|
Feck! Just drove over to Menuires from Morillon too, thinking there was no way they could give so little notice 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FAQ
