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The Northern Powder House 2018/19. Yad Moss, Raise, Weardale and Allenheads

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Last day for the cheap pass renewals.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-12-13

Weather warning for snow on Saturday night snowHead
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Weardale is planning on opening tomorrow if the forecast snow materialises. However, it's members-only on a weekend.

Update/decision at 08.00 in the morning...
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The job's off Sad - snow turned to rain overnight and only thin, soggy cover to report this a.m....
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
looking more promising from 16th onward! Also good to see the webcams are back on at Yad! After 10 days in South East Asia I want nothing more than to strap the planks on for a slide!
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@mancski, I'm not seeing much in the GFS forecasts for any meaningful snow???
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
spaghetti ensembles look decent from 15th onward, progressively colder with good snow row above 50% for Alston. Cross model agreement of it going colder so hopefully get something out of it at least!
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
I need to get down to Manchester on 19th, and back again on 27th, and won't be up here in the meantime. Sod's Law therefore states..... Confused
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@mancski, I'm not seeing anything "decent" in the ensembles even with my most optimistic hat on! No agreement in the runs, and too far out to be sure of anything..sure it shows temps dropping below average after 17th Jan with some runs but others have it above average and that's all in fantasy land for the moment... But I hope I'm wrong!!

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Yeah I agree nothing is sure! I'm just saying it's looking better than the crap we've been having!
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24cm forecast this week for YM. Weekend a possibility??
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@mancski, where are you getting that much from??!! All I've heard is a few wintry showers on the hills on Wednesday, maybe Friday, and pretty cold. Burnhope Seat Met Office isn't inspiring for more than a dull snowflake Friday and Sunday and sub-zero on the tops. Not seen Alston panicking yet...
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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
snow-forecast.com. 24cm at mid altitude. 27cm at the top.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
no forecast can predict amounts with any certainty.

snow-forecast currently says:

Days 0-3 Yad Moss Weather Summary:
Mild with moderate rain (total 13.0mm) on Wed morning, Becoming colder with a light covering of snow, mostly falling on Wed morning. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 5°C on Mon night, min -4°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon morning, gales from the SW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Yad Moss Weather Summary:
A moderate fall of snow, heaviest on Fri morning. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 1°C on Fri morning, min -4°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Fri night, calm by Sat night).
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
I agree no forecast can predict it but it looks possible, moderate snow sounds good to me! (for the first time this year)
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@mancski, What you need is the GFS ensembles to be in broad agreement (this is what snowforecast uses)

Currently the lines diverge massively for both temp and precipitation so keep an eye on it, it could get better, it could get worse!

BTW I have a page I put together mainly for myself with forecasts, webcams etc all on one page:

https://greghilton.co.uk/snow_forecast/gfsruns.php?select=YadMoss
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Thanks that all looks really useful. I use Lineameteo for the spaghetti charts a lot. just hope something comes of this!
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@kitenski, yes, thanks for that.
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BBC (which is Meteo group I believe) have now changed their mind a bit and got some white stuff moving southwards across the N Pennines Wednesday night into Thursday; cold too. Maybe...?
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We’re watching. Suspect it may turn to snow a little late and we may not get quite enough, even by our standards, but fingers crossed snowHead

By the way the Spine race is currently in progress over on Cross Fell. This is one of the uks toughest races. Basically the pennine way in 5 days, in winter carrying a tent. Jasmin Paris is leading.........by an absolute planet ! This woman is destroying the men. Cool

http://live.thespinerace.com/
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Just googled Jasmin Paris and can see why she is so far out in front.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jasmin_Paris
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Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
It's snowing in Cullercoats! Fingers crossed we'll get some at Yad et al!
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
@Peter S, She is an amazing athlete isn't she. Absolutely nails.
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some weather forums are now getting extremely excited for next week onwards and there are hints at a big old easterly inbound... thoughts from any meteorologist types?
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Met Office outlook is more encouraging

UK Outlook for Tuesday 22 Jan 2019 to Thursday 31 Jan 2019:

Confidence is low for Tuesday, but outbreaks of rain, sleet and hill snow will probably edge southeastwards across the country, perhaps giving the risk of some snow to lower levels on the leading edge. Strong winds and wintry showers will follow, especially around windward coasts and hills and it will be cold, especially so in the wind, which will accentuate how cold it feels. Thereafter, it will remain cold and often changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, perhaps with an increased chance of snow to low levels in the north and northwest, but with the potential elsewhere at times too. Some drier and brighter interludes are possible, bringing overnight frosts, which will be widespread and locally severe in any longer clear spells.

UK Outlook for Friday 1 Feb 2019 to Friday 15 Feb 2019:

Cold and sometimes very cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. It is likely to remain changeable too, especially at first, bringing strong winds and spells of rain which will turn to snow at times. Snow will mainly affect higher ground in the north, but there is a greater risk to lower levels too with the cold air in place. Some drier and brighter periods are possible as well, perhaps becoming focused across the northwest with time. Occasional milder and wetter interludes may intersperse the generally cold conditions, these most likely in the south but also posing a more significant risk of snow and ice.

https://www.metoffice.go.../public/weather/forecast
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yeah I read that. They don't seem to be commenting on the crazy GFS runs yet. Hopefully get something from the forecast snow on 22nd/23rd.

fed up of walking round the house in my ski boots now... Laughing
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@Peter S, there’s a write up here:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-46906365

Wonderwoman!
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So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Heavy snow in Glasgow and m74 down to one lane over the hills driving South, but sadly nice and sunny as I'm approaching Lockerbie. Let's hope the cloudsand snow push South and East
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You know it makes sense.
Raise will be operational tomorrow. snowHead
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
There's a thin covering at Yad Moss - very tantalising, and the same at Allenheads judging by the local webcams. Hopefully they'll have their own webcam up and running soon.
I might still get a few turns in before the BB.
snowHead
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Quote:

Raise will be operational tomorrow.



Weardale as well.

Weardale also seem to have quietly taken first lift served turns of the season crown for English Club Fields. A shakedown running of F1 Tow. Looked very Pennine from the photographs.
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Fantastic day at Raise. Cool

Much better than expected. Quite deep very cold wind packed powder. Well below freezing all day. About 40 skiers and boarders up there today enjoying
Calm weather and good visibility. The Eden valley and Solway Firth were in fog all day. Always a sign of good skiing weather. Run of choice ‘Way out West’. Could ski back down to the top of the zig zags.

The tow will run again tomorrow. A few more showers overnight.

A decision about running Yad Moss tomorrow, will be made by 8am once we see the webcam.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Here's a video from Gordie showing the skiing conditions up on Raise yesterday Cool


Lake District Ski Club opening day 2019 from gordie
https://vimeo.com/313049183?fbclid=IwAR1vyaLjR7nuhm7HozrrltNXNk0S47ZF4KYU6m4yrevzmeb0gLFzf6KCIyg
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Excellent video - & great to see the northern skiing up & running Smile
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@Peter S, it's a cracking video but so many skiers sitting back on their heels, going to mean injuries.... Sad
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Going a lot colder into the foreseeable future but already back to square one in the Pennines. Sad
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Looks like good cover again at Raise and Yad Moss filling in snowHead
https://www.flickr.com/photos/raise_up_dated_pics/
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Yad Moss opening tomorrow. snowHead

The forecast is cold tomorrow so could be fun....in that thin Pennine skiing sort of way Laughing

http://web108.extendcp.co.uk/yadmoss.co.uk/opening-times/

Raise looks as though its picking up quite a bit.
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Yes! hoping the snow later in the week also delivers. Will be driving up on Saturday for sure.

Peter I saw your facebook announcement, checked the webcam and thought that's optimistic. Starting to understand what "pennine skiing" means now haha.
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Allenheads have sent out a cautious email announcement for opening this weekend too.
@mancski, If I wasn't off to the BB I'd have probably gone across too.
Fingers crossed for a bit extra by then. Have fun! snowHead
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