 Poster: A snowHead
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12z UKMO my goodness, setting the bar high. Snowy.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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@polo, where?!
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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-19c for les arcs next wednesday when I arrive. Thermals will be needed!
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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thats going to hurt my gas bill if that happens.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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Just to compare UKMET and ECMWF.
The difference in the amount of upper cold air is pretty big, 5-6 day range, will be interesting to see which model gets the right solution, or is there a scenario in the middle.
As for what gets the most snowfall, it will be hard to tell, because the tracks of the surface low of this nature are hard to predict. While GFS shows it going over Italy for a day, and then moving north to Poland, spreading the snowfall across both sides, EC shows the low moving south only.
You can also see the trend in LR models, and even on EC short term, towards lows and systems that lean towards snowfall in the Southern Alps, which I noted and demonstrated using the climate Drivers in my blog (page before this)
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Latest on snow pattern from ECM
Latest from GFS
Increasing consensus and broadly what you would expect as the NAO heads negative next week.
Some slightly milder notes creeping into the far end of ECM, but that’s a long way out.
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@nozawaonsen, doesn't look like that quite stretches to Serre Che? Although they seem to sit in their own meteorlogical system...
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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So looks like different options for week off the 26th in les gets, either going to be really cold and dry or potentially mixed with chance of snow.
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@nozawaonsen, so what is the synopsis for Saalbach this week, I don’t understand all this chart stuff!!
Thanks
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Go Kriechmayr!
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Note to self. Pack more layers 
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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@nozawaonsen, Whitegold definitely works for the daily express. What’s the outlook for the espace Killy, would like it to snow lots for the next two weeks and then a week of sun from the 3rd please.
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Poster: A snowHead
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This evening’s GFS would see most snow in the Alps (by a little) for Austria, but looking at today’s output so far there is still a lot of slipping and sliding, overall the strongest signal in the next week or so is for cold rather than snow. Maybe ECM will clarify things later...
Pyrenees would not do too badly out of that.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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@nozawaonsen, do you think that models and forecasters are still finding it hard to agree on a particular scenario given the uncertainty introduced by the SSW event or have we got past that stage now?
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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@franga, in the middle of it...
Very chilly tonight in the hills round Schladming. -10c. Wolf moon nearing.
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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@nozawaonsen, thanks.
Last edited by You need to Login to know who's really who. on Sat 19-01-19 20:50; edited 2 times in total
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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-20.5C minimum in Radstadt today!
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@nozawaonsen, 
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I’m looking at the gfs ensembles for Niseko - have they got stuck? They all seem dated 17th of Jan. I’m looking at the wetterzentralle website and using ‘niseko town’. I’m on a phone so I dont know if it empties cache when I refresh.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Ten minutes fiddling to find “remove all website data” has cured the blockage.
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Cold this morning!
Meanwhile snowfall wise there looks like being a little in the western Alps midweek, but it’s parts of the Pyrenees that look like picking up the most.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Snowforecast totals seems all over the place and changing significantly every run. Will be interesting to see how it actually pans out. The cold temps seem pretty consistent at least.
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@Raven, within 24 hours Paradiski has gone from <10cm>40cm, now back down to <5cm. Let’s see what happens. I fly out on Tuesday Liverpool to Geneva, some weather models are now picking up snow for the north west England Tuesday morning. I hope not!
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You know it makes sense.
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| Ricklovesthepowder wrote: |
| @Raven, within 24 hours Paradiski has gone from <10cm>40cm, now back down to <5cm. Let’s see what happens. I fly out on Tuesday Liverpool to Geneva, some weather models are now picking up snow for the north west England Tuesday morning. I hope not! |
Piste conditions are just about perfect in Les Arcs right now, and with forecast temperatures and relatively few people in resort that is not going to change before you arrive. Fresh snow is always nice, but for piste skiers it would be gilding the Lilly 
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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| nozawaonsen wrote: |
| ... but it’s parts of the Pyrenees that look like picking up the most. |
Looks very tasty. Next destination, Baqueria...
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Poster: A snowHead
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Whilst the French Alps are in the deep freeze don’t expect anything other than light snow .
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Scotland due a puke Mon and Tues.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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| rob@rar wrote: |
| Ricklovesthepowder wrote: |
| @Raven, within 24 hours Paradiski has gone from <10cm>40cm, now back down to <5cm. Let’s see what happens. I fly out on Tuesday Liverpool to Geneva, some weather models are now picking up snow for the north west England Tuesday morning. I hope not! |
Piste conditions are just about perfect in Les Arcs right now, and with forecast temperatures and relatively few people in resort that is not going to change before you arrive. Fresh snow is always nice, but for piste skiers it would be gilding the Lilly |
That’s good to hear Rob. Forecasts have changed again showing a few cm again. Is everything open now?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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never snows in Liverpool Ricklovesthepowder
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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@leggyblonde, croatia and pyrenees as it turns out this time as the low sinks into the med wed/thurs, south and west alps to get some too.....but looks like a return to more NW-SE flow next weekend, so should be more widespread
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| Ricklovesthepowder wrote: |
| That’s good to hear Rob. Forecasts have changed again showing a few cm again. Is everything open now? |
I think so. I returned to the UK yesterday, but from what I could see everything was open after they had secured the domain after the heavy snow which fell at the start of the week.
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Perfect. @rob@rar,
Some decent snowfall Tuesday/Wednesday too by the looks of things!
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Piste conditions are just about perfect in Les Arcs right now, and with forecast temperatures and relatively few people in resort that is not going to change before you arrive. Fresh snow is always nice, but for piste skiers it would be gilding the Lilly [/quote]
Mmmmm .. a month's skiing in Switzerland with just about enough snow - but skis only needing edges polished.
2 runs in Vallandry and stones at lower end of Myrtilles caused considerable damage - not impressed. Was better higher, but you do have to return to base. Ok to say be careful, but these were not just a few!
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Heading out to the 3 valleys this Saturday, not sure how to get the charts.
Anyone got a quick few words on what might be happening with the weather in that part of the alps?
Ps - appreciate all the posts on this thread from the weather experts!
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@kapt, I'm a bit confused by this post, are you saying conditions in Paradiski are poor?
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