 Poster: A snowHead
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The disruption to the polar vortex even got a mention at the end of the BBC1 2230 bulletin last night. It would be nice if all that cold air met some moist air over the alps too!
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Steve Sparks, yes it would, especially around the 14th January!
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Sitting here in Altenmarkt listening to the rain outside, that GFS15 run looks really good even if it is FI! I've only had to scrape frost and snow off my car once in the past 2 weeks! I hope the Dr Who effect comes to pass. The weather forecasts are indicating at least another half metre for us this weekend.
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norris, what's "it"?
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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the break down of the vortex - does it typically bring snow?
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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Well clearly not if you look at the concurrent precipitation ensembles...duh. Although before the potential deep freeze sets in there is a nice precipitation spike on the 10th.
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Well "it" doesn't normally happen to this extent.
And since what follows the disruption of the polar vortex is hard to say with confidence, it's hard to know the outcome in terms of snow.
What is quite likely though is an increase in northern blocking which would send the jet further south, bringing colder air down with it. It would then depend on where and how the jet ended up. In general you might expect this sort of set up to favour the southern Alps.
If we were to end up with more high latitude blocking then you would expect the Atlantic influence to be diminished. So the massive Atalntic storms that bring very wet and often milder weather (but which can produce very heavy snowfall at altitude) would be less likely.
Last edited by Then you can post your own questions or snow reports... on Fri 4-01-13 9:16; edited 2 times in total
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Thanks for the information. Going to be interesting to see how it all pans out...
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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| Quote: |
the break down of the vortex - does it typically bring snow?
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isn't there enough already?
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_________________
I love big dumps
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They usually advertise something for that during Countdown.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Temps looking to drop in Val D around Wednesday. A fot of snow would be just about perfect to go with it to freshen things up a little.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Cold is coming.
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You know it makes sense.
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when for ? and spcifically Tarentaise ??....accompanied by any now ?
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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nozawaonsen, your the equivalent of a dick tease, your a snow tease!
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Poster: A snowHead
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| stefoy4me wrote: |
| when for ? and spcifically Tarentaise ??....accompanied by any now ? |
At a guess getting colder from 9/1 and continuing for quite a while. Some snow possible 11/12 Jan but it's still a way off.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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First up a look at temperatures.
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.html
If you look at the second frame you can really see how the weather starts to cool down in the second week from the North East. It actually starts from around 10 January hitting the eastern Alps first. Currently looks well below average mid month.
Secondly precipitation.
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4.html
Look at the third frame to see how dry it is in the western and southern Alps. Wetter in Austria.
But cold weather on the way...
Classic shot by Alfred Eisenstaedt.
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nozawaonsen, cheers for the update. So it's looking like a cold and dry trip on the cards for me then. Hopefully some snow will fall but it's not looking like much!
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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And in Haute Savoie 2nd February week? I know, no-one knows! But don't stop - keep up the good worK; I hope your recovery is on track.
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Ricklovesthepowder, you're not heading out till mid month are you? Cold I would be fairly confident about, at least for the start of your trip, but could yet see more snow. It's still a long way off.
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nozawaonsen, 15th I fly out to Geneva, so 10 days time. Love reading this thread, keep up the good work!
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Ricklovesthepowder, I am avid weather follower as the next man, but I've come to realise that nobody can accurately forecast mountain weather 100% accurately all the time! I had 2 weeks in Espace Killy where is snowed on forecast sunny days and vice versa!
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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nozawaonsen,
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4.html
Am I reading this right - does this suggest precipitation in the Med week of the 12th? If so, maybe a bit more snow for the Dolomites which have been pretty dry for weeks now?
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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nozawaonsen, it was gfs & the tignes and val disere websites that all got it wrong many times!
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Weatherchannel predicting 40-60% snow chance in Chamonix for 12th and 13th. Not sure where they get models from or how accurate
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You know it makes sense.
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patricksh, I would I imagine GFS as that is pretty much what it is currently showing.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Poster: A snowHead
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Sleet and slush down here in Altenmarkt. The A10 Tauernautobahn is closed in both directions either side of the Tauerntunnels to clear the snow from the road surfaces
The B305 Siegsdorf to Reit in Winkl and on to Lofer, Saalfelden and Zell am See is closed due to flooding as are several other roads in that area. Anyone hoping to avoid the vignette may have lucked out. According to the radio the snow level is at about 800m which explains why here in town the snow plough was out several times during the night. However it is very wet and heavy, more slush than real snow. The amount of fresh snow up at Zauchensee must be amazing!
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Heavy rain in Innsbruck, lets hope it's snowing high up too.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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thats about perfect then for anyone heading out t start skiingnext Sunday!!!!!!!!!!!!
oh that will be me then.......................
well done Noza...loks like you have delivered again!!!!!!!!!!
how much snow we looking at for the Fi/Sat around the Tarentaise ??
Cheers
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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stefoy4me, impossible to say. Hope that helps.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
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How's it looking for English & Welsh skiing in the coming weeks ? The 10 day chart hints at snow ?
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The weather charts are starting to look good again. -12c looks lovely, just need for some fresh snow now!!! 
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So nozawaonsen, why when this current system that is dropping lots of precipitation coming from the north is it so warm? I normally associate northerly systems with cold. Up to half a metre of porridge at top of schladming, spring like in valley. Trees down from wind and heavy snow, the odd mud slide about.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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waynos, it's pulling in air from the north west which is currently rather mild.
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12z GFS op run now suggesting quite a bit of snow in the Northern Alps around 12/13 January to low levels.
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FAQ
