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The All New Weather Outlook 25/26

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@kitenski, one has to wonder why the idiot bothers? Online masochism?
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@under a new name, Histrionic Personality Disorder.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Why do the precipitation spikes always magically vanish on the charts once they get closer than day 7. Is there a magic forcefield or something?

At least it's not stupidly mild this year for a change.
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Quote:
the troll must have finished his homework and been allowed to post again.
I cannot begin to comprehend what he/she/they get out of the absolutely incessant global boiling,' 'we're all doomed' negative posts. There's rarely what the rest of us would regard as a constructive or helpful post FFS! Laughing
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
So what’s the latest weather wise for the weekend team?

Snow-forecast tells me I’m getting 14cm this Saturday at Lech.

I want to believe.
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You'll need to Register first of course.
@rob@rar, certainly some kind of disorder!
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
@Whitegold, dear boy, I think you are being a bit of a rascal. I am sure you well know that it looks like that under the Flegere gondola for much of the season.

Behave.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
White gold

The gift that keeps on giving
Happy New Year to you
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 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
With regards to Whitegold
It’s simple - don’t feed the fire and it burns out -
But his skin is tough so don’t count on it
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Hi weather fans... I spotted that J2Ski are now offering (new for 2026) a range of different weather models plus ensemble if you pay for a subscription (£35/year) - Here is the info page: https://uk.j2ski.com/subscription.html

I wondered if anyone uses this and/or has any views on how the functionality / cost compares to other options. For context I know very little about weather modelling but enjoy keeping an eye on this thread to get the views of people that do have a clue what all the graphs (might) mean...

EDIT - Just spotted an £8 monthy subscription option.
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
phillip33 wrote:
Latest runs - still some hope that there will be some fresh stuff coming in from the North

Just 10cm’s to freshen things up - i am still believing


Some models seem to show a short breakdown from the Atlantic which gets warped into the colder air. That’s the trigger.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
I got the Meteobleu Point+ 3M subscription to cover the season. I think it cost about EUR18-20. They have a large number of models in the mapping section.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
www.wetter3.de showing zero new snow for the French and Italian Alps next 8 days. Anyone here see the same on their detailed models?

Whilst the Low Countries, Germany, Denmark and Poland will be a winter wonderland.

Then interesting for Austria and Switzerland from Friday 9th.
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Snowfall maps on Meteobleu show 8-20 cms across most of Switzerland but it only reaches about 3/4 way south so indeed will leave France and Italy dry. Best hope for fresh snow this weekend. appears to be areas like Bernese Oberland, western Austria.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Interesting week ahead, I’ll be in Verbier. Various forecasts all point to it being very cold especially overnight and sunny. With significant snow from next Thursday.
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Seems like the snow for 10/11 January already being dialled down in amount and looking like back to sunshine after that. Still a long way off, but concerning as there is a risk of snow amount really petering down and next 6 week high pressure may be just around corner
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Latest runs suggest that from Thursday on (8th of January), there will be substantial snow in the North West Alps (Tignes, 3 Valleys, Les Arcs...). It seems that the biggest snowfall will be right on Saturday, which is a change and traffic heavy day.

Snowapocalypse approaching.

One question, though. Do you still need chains even though you have a car equipped with winter tyres to access Val Thorens for example?
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@matejp, Yes. There are times when chains are even mandated for AWD vehicles with 3PMSF tyres. With 2WD and 3PMSF even more so.
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For everyone saying the forecasts are ever changing, that’s what happens. The computer models run ever 6? hours then the forecasts update sometime after that. You can get wild swings in 2 forecasts 6 hours apart, especially when looking at over a week away.
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@chocksaway, uhhh, not in my experience.
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@under a new name, Quite often in Tignes and promulgated on the Radio and Illiwap.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Suffering a little from model fatigue after recent drama, but there is no question the last few runs have only improved the situation next week.
If we don’t get decent snow in the NW by next weekend I will change my username to dimwit.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
A little harsh on yourself @polo, the complexity of forecasting can hardly be dumped on your doorstep!
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
@polo, agree with Rogerdodger. You can only report what you see
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polo wrote:
Suffering a little from model fatigue after recent drama, but there is no question the last few runs have only improved the situation next week.
If we don’t get decent snow in the NW by next weekend I will change my username to dimwit.


Agree, it is frustrating because we have seen a very steady push back of when the snow should arrive over the last week or so, from around 2/3jan now to around the 9th.

The signs are good though.
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Am not being harsh as such….just expressing confidence. Anyway more serious matters ongoing….my kid was celebrating in Crans Montana with a bunch of fellow students from EPFL, thankfully stayed in the chalet last night. But my mate’s daughter’s classmates were not so lucky.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@polo, horrendous to read, every parent's worst nightmare.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
@polo @weathercam yes something I couldn’t imagine Crying or Very sad
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@polo,

The Jetstream is onside for the NW Alps to be hit with the Lows

Thanks as always for your reports .

That WePowder was hilarious- 136cms to 0 in one day !!!!!

Glad your boy is safe

Dreadful news today , put’s it into perspective what i have been worried about

God rest them and their families
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Lake Louise (Canada) just had its snowiest December of all time.

More flakes on the way.


http://youtube.com/v/KnVr6N-nKdU
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
We went to last clusaz around 1993, mud jan all the low slopes were bare, nothing new in poor snow conditions.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
polo wrote:
Am not being harsh as such….just expressing confidence. Anyway more serious matters ongoing….my kid was celebrating in Crans Montana with a bunch of fellow students from EPFL, thankfully stayed in the chalet last night. But my mate’s daughter’s classmates were not so lucky.

So sorry to read this @polo
Thoughts with everyone affected.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
I see there’s another thread so best not to derail this one….i dont know anyone involved personally but it’s shocking how freakishly close that was for my youngest. I didn’t even know he was in C-M, just that he was off to a party somewhere.

I’ll go thru graphs later, potential for snow on and off all week as trough drops south. By next weekend the only risk is the angle of approach as the Atlantic breaks down the block, becoming flatter, so wetter and milder. Thankfully the cold is already entrenched so maybe we go from -10 back up to zero. The Op runs are on the mild side of the mean so something to keep an eye on, but no dramas yet.
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Light dusting of snow in Hertfordshire overnight, should have freshened up the slopes at Mount Hemel Hempstead if anyone is heading there. Very Happy
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Quote:


Light dusting of snow in Hertfordshire overnight, should have freshened up the slopes at Mount Hemel Hempstead if anyone is heading there.

Very Happy
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LydiaMS wrote:
Quote:


Light dusting of snow in Hertfordshire overnight, should have freshened up the slopes at Mount Hemel Hempstead if anyone is heading there.

Very Happy


I remember back in the 80s going to that dry slope when it had snow on it.... MUCH MUCH better!
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Models seem to be converging on 9th/10th for a quite significant system moving in from the Atlantic (likely strong winds). Currently it looks like it will impact the UK and then on to France.

We will have a good idea of where this will impact probably by Mon/Tuesday so some interesting model watching over the weekend.
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Astontech wrote:
Models seem to be converging on 9th/10th for a quite significant system moving in from the Atlantic (likely strong winds). Currently it looks like it will impact the UK and then on to France.

We will have a good idea of where this will impact probably by Mon/Tuesday so some interesting model watching over the weekend.


Bergfex showing reasonable fall (30cm) in Ski Amade mid next week so presumably due to the current northerly flow bringing something down. Bergfex has been promising and disappointing for that area with the current weather pattern for a while now...
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Austria and Switzerland will get something over this weekend possibly up to 20cm from the north. then possibly the far SW early next week from a system wrapping around the u der side of the alps.

Then my attention is firmly on next Fri/Sat for something more significant from the NW.

Currently the low is being modelled as very deep (as low as 970mb). This causes it to take a more northerly track as it easily pushes through the embedded HP. However, I am expecting that to slowly sink south over the coming days as the low is modelled less deep and therefore doesn’t as easily push northwards.

Funnily enough I am due to be driving to 1650m in France Friday/Saturday so that may be interesting… but I am not getting ahead of myself just yet.
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@robs1, I was on a school trip to Les Carroz in Jan 1993. Zero snow. They busses us to Flaine which was skiiable, but they were trucking in snow for the bottom.
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