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The All New 21/22 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
This might be of interest here, how increased levels of precipitation in the Julian alps have reduced the amount of glacial loss in that area (not that it has much glaciation) https://www.severe-weather.eu/cryosphere/glaciers-melting-faster-longer-few-alps-challenge-global-warming-positive-mass-balance-rrc/
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Woosh wrote:
Looks like we might have another La Nina event this winter:

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/enso-la-nina-watch-autumn-winter-2021-2022-usa-europe-fa/

As is said in the article: we did not see the expected development in North America, probably due to the strong SSW.

Low probability for a third SSW in a row this winter, but cannot be ruled out.

An early and speculative sign of wet and mild winter for the UK and the Nordics and dry weather for the Alps?

Or will we see low pressure system to Europe and cold weather as indicated by the limited research for a second year La Nina like 2018?


Brrrrr, hope not! Whilst the snow we had here was plentiful, we also had a 2-3 week spell of -12 to -20C in January that particular Winter. A very warm March, too….not the best Spring skiing, for sure.
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
What an amazing summer, indeed what an amazing year in the west Cool wall to wall sunshine, warm and very dry will very little flooding last winter and loads of snow. No doubt it will change back at some time but enjoy it while it lasts this week. Lots of days like this morning at Glencoe. It’s been a good summer to build the new base cafe.
http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/glencoe/
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Cloudy and a bit nippy here!
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
September strikes again as it often (indeed always unless I am much mistaken) does at the start of autumn.

Normally see the first ripples of winter at some point this month with snowfall briefly descending before rapidly retreating.
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The data is in and it has been the 9th hottest summer on record with drier and sunnier weather than average across the uk except the far south east which has been wetter than average.
Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales and the north west of England have been particularly dry. The central highlands have been particularly sunny. It’s been a great year in the hills so far.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2021/one-of-the-hottest-summers-on-record-for-scotland-and-northern-ireland
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
conveniently the records in the images only go back as far as 1981
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
@Mr.Egg, I have to say it should show records over at least 100 years. I suspect this would only add to the validity of global warming, but it opens up accusations of utilising only data that suit a specific point.
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Certainly no sign of winter weather at present. Indeed Austria like many parts of the Alps has been enjoying some very fine and stable late summer weather. Perfect for hiking this morning with the Dachstein glacier looking snowy above.

After hot weather in June and July August in Austria was colder, cloudier and wetter than average.

https://www.zamg.ac.at/cms/de/klima/news/august-2021-kuehl-trueb-nass

That said overall the summer as a whole was warmer than average and even August was above the 1961-1990 mean.

https://www.zamg.ac.at/cms/de/klima/news/sommer-2021-sehr-warm-und-teils-nass-teils-trocken
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Ski the Net with snowHeads
Hottest September day in Scotland for 115 years. 26c in the Cowal peninsular today. Just fabulous Cool
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Up to St Andrews for a few days golf on Monday. Very glad it’s cooling down myself
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
I guess the marmots will be studying this with interest https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-returns-usa-europe-winter-2021-2022-fa/ perhaps time to get in extra supplies whilst the sun is shinning.
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Some properly chilly weather for the time of year starting to crop up on GFS in the last week of September. Too far out to take seriously, but ECM also toying with cooler conditions so potentially a sign of things to come.

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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Atmospheric River on tap for the PNW this weekend. Some cool air coming down from the Gulf of AK will hook up with some moist and warm air from the South. Will be much needed precipitation that will hopefully knock down the fires burning in WA, OR and ID. Possibly some moisture for Northern CA as well.

Cascades and BC interior should see some snow above 1,800 meters on Saturday/Sunday. Same for Central ID and parts of MT.
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Spot the difference



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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
@polo, it’s going to get a lot colder then! The electronic forecasting gods speak as one.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@twoodwar, yes they do, and exactly one year apart, to the hour
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
NW might get an early start on the new season, Cham Meteo calling 20-30cm at 2500m Sat-Sun



East looks better placed as things stand for the following weekend (25-26)



I'll post some thoughts on the season outlook later, it's near that time where my focus here will switch to weather prognostics rather than offering epidemiology expertise.
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It’s started above 2000m…
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@polo, ahhhh! Missed the year!
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Same system should drop roughly the same on top of Hintertux. Snow-line down to about 2100m tomorrow.
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Both ECM and GFS have been backing away from a colder shot in last week of September mind you.
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