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The All New 21/22 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Boom! Here it is!

One suspects this could well be the anthem this season…


http://youtube.com/v/jv9sDn_2XkI

But was it ever not thus? Were you simply kidding yourself if you thought otherwise? Time will tell.

Meanwhile in the Alps. It’s a tad warm.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
The last six months have been remarkably sunny in this part of northern England and a lot drier than normal.
It would be interesting if a warming artic is leading to more blocked winters like the 1970s and 80s. A weak jet can be good news for snow in the UK (and the southern alps) if the block is in the right place.


https://www.carbonbrief.org/jet-stream-is-climate-change-causing-more-blocking-weather-events
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Woo hoo! Time to start counting down the days! 204 days till my first trip, @nozawaonsen if could let me know if it'll be snowing that would be great Laughing
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Based on the number of sunspots multiplied by the number of strawberries and keeping in mind you can’t in any way count on this I’d say you can be pretty bang on confident that you’ll be skiing two foot of powder on a crisp sunny morning or not.
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
@nozawaonsen, perfect! That'll do me for me! Laughing
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nozawaonsen wrote:
Based on the number of sunspots multiplied by the number of strawberries and keeping in mind you can’t in any way count on this I’d say you can be pretty bang on confident that you’ll be skiing two foot of powder on a crisp sunny morning or not.


Laughing Laughing Laughing
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Some pretty intense weather on the Czech Slovak border, tornadoes, hail. Lots of damage to buildings and vehicles.

https://twitter.com/kutka18/status/1408140063196725248?s=21

ESTOFEX

“A level 3 was issued across northern Austria into southern Czech Republic for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 2 was issued across the western and northern Alpine region, SE Germany, Czechia, Slovakia, and southern Poland for large hail, severe wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and tornadoes.”

https://www.estofex.org/
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 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
@nozawaonsen, thanks in advance Cool
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
More stormy weather looking likely in parts of the Alps.

“ A level 2 was issued for Switzerland, S Germany, and parts of Austria and the Czech Republic for excessive convective precipitation, large hail, severe convective wind gusts and tornadoes.”

https://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?text=yes&fcstfile=2021063006_202106281840_2_stormforecast.xml
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 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Mid July looking like some potentially low temperatures for the Alps with the possibility of some summer snow on the cards.



Meanwhile stormy weather incoming…

https://www.estofex.org/
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 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Nearly a metre of snow up on Aiguille du Midi since Monday.

https://www.facebook.com/969505053076246/posts/4802681756425204/?d=n

More to come overnight before temperatures rise at the weekend.
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 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@nozawaonsen, a bit of July powder snowHead
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 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
well, because of the intesive rain during the last couple of days.... 80 people are dead, and 1.000 are still missing... (Germany near Wuppertal)....
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 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@turms2, The scenes are terrible to watch
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 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
@BobinCH, someone certainly was the other day.

https://fb.watch/6M_WbUO7u6/

@turms2, yes, serious impact across a swathe of Europe.
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 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Looks like this event caught out a lot of people on the Germany Belgium border. It was forecast but seems to have caused unusually high fatalities.
The rainfall looks to have been a lot less than say Storm Desmond, but in continental Europe the river systems are just not able to cope with this weight of rainfall.
Another warning perhaps of the vulnerability to parts of the UK from this type of event which can kill people.
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 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Meanwhile the anticyclone is sat right over the UK giving great weather across the whole country.

It’s been a really good last 7 months up here. We’ve had spells of rain but it has been a lot drier and sunnier than average with a great spell of wintery weather back in January/February. Thanks to the persistent northern blocking and Slack jet stream perhaps ?
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 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
More violent weather heading towards the Alps tomorrow.

https://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?text=yes&fcstfile=2021072606_202107241656_3_stormforecast.xml

“A level 3 is issued for far-south Germany into N Austria for large hail and severe convective wind gusts.

A level 1 and level 2 are issued for Switzerland, SE Germany, the Czech Republic, Austria and N Italy for large hail, severe convective wind gusts and excessive convective precipitation.“
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@nozawaonsen, lots of big storms along the northern alpine edge, many reports of damage from Bodensee to Salzburg etc so a pretty accurate forecast. We didnt see a drop of rain in Munich!

The Severe Weather folks are suggesting a second La Nina year is in prospect though if so the effect on Western Europe might be limited https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/enso-la-nina-watch-autumn-winter-2021-2022-usa-europe-fa/
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 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Sparrow's have left Gower a month early this year. Something's definitely brewing. Or maybe there are just more cats around.
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Looks like we might have another La Nina event this winter:

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/enso-la-nina-watch-autumn-winter-2021-2022-usa-europe-fa/

As is said in the article: we did not see the expected development in North America, probably due to the strong SSW.

Low probability for a third SSW in a row this winter, but cannot be ruled out.

An early and speculative sign of wet and mild winter for the UK and the Nordics and dry weather for the Alps?

Or will we see low pressure system to Europe and cold weather as indicated by the limited research for a second year La Nina like 2018?
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 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
@Woosh, great minds think alike Smile
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