Ski Club 2.0 Home
Snow Reports
FAQFAQ

Mail for help.Help!!

Log in to snowHeads to make it MUCH better!
Username:-
 Password:
Remember me:
durr, I forgot...
Or Register
(to be a proper snow-head, all official-like!)

The All New 16/17 Weather Outlook Thread

 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Today Is the peak of the Northern Europe Summer.

Temps start to fall from this point.

Winter is on the way snowHead
snow conditions     
 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Still got our gas fire on here at night. I was rather hoping that summer would start soon !

Only another 6 and a half months until the decent conditions arrive Laughing
ski holidays     
 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
It would be nice if we had a good cold winter.
snow report     
 You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
Just over two weeks of meteorological summer left.

Chances of La Niña continue to weaken (see CFS at top of page 1). At present looks like neutral or perhaps weak La Niña.

ski holidays     
 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Interesting article on CNN.com about al nina. For those of us who struggle with these technical concepts!

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/17/weather/hottest-july-la-nina-weather/index.html
ski holidays     
 You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
Some more unsettled weather heading to the Austrian Alps this Sunday could see the snow line briefly fall to 2200m.
ski holidays     
 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
With Autumn not too far off how are some of the seasonal models viewing things? Here's Meteo Suisse. Favouring temperatures around normal for the season, though weighting milder more strongly than colder.

http://www.meteosuisse.admin.ch/home/climat/le-climat-de-demain/perspective-saisonniere.html?filters=CHN_2016_son
snow conditions     
 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Walking around the forest of bowland I've noticed some of the trees are particularly laden with berries this year, maybe a good sign or old old wives tale?
snow report     
 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
First snows arriving at the peaks in Colorado this week:

http://fox21news.com/2016/08/20/colorado-sees-first-snow/
snow report     
 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
Joel Gratz with some thoughts on long term forecasts (with a US focus).

https://opensnow.com/news/post/how-el-nino-la-nina-and-the-pacific-decadal-oscillation-influence-snowfall-in-the-united-states-unfortunately-it-s-complicated
snow report     
 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
As I remember this guy did a pretty accurate prediction for Winter 2015/2016 last year. Currently he's predicting mild autumn in UK but colder in mainland Europe (Alp region, Central and Eastern Europe).

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/autumn-2016-forecast.php

Starting from september, he will do weekly predictions for winter 2016/2017.
latest report     
 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
@matejp, yep Gav is good, though he would also be quick to caution about the accuracy of long term forecasts (his own included!).
snow report     
 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Heat alert tomorrow for London. Meanwhile the northern half of the UK forecast to only reach 18c Puzzled
latest report     
 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
The Farmer's Almanac has put out a LRF for winter in the US.

http://farmersalmanac.com/weather-outlook/2017-winter-forecast/

I'd take it with a fairly large pinch of salt, but they reckon mild in the west and cold in the east. And slightly oddly have gone for a very specific forecast for 16-19 February.
snow report     
 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
The Great Lakes are very warm right now.

Often, but not always, means a snowy Northeast US Winter. Cold winds hit warmer water:

snow conditions     
 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Interesting look back over last season in Switzerland by SLF (in German or French).

Familiar story of the exceptionally dry and warm start followed by heavy snowfall in the west in particular in January although marred by a couple of warm rainy incursions and finishing with a cold and snowy end to spring.

Persistent weak layer set early in the season subsequently caused problems when the heavy snow arrived.

http://www.slf.ch/schneeinfo/wochenbericht/2015-16/Jahresbericht/index_DE
ski holidays     
 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Good grief 33.9C in Kent yesterday (93F !). That's about 14 degrees warmer than here in North Yorkshire !

Would be nice to repeat that this winter. snowHead
latest report     
 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
http://snowbrains.com/heavy-snow-closes-us-212-beartooth-pass-in-montana/
snow conditions     
 You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
Whitegold wrote:
Today Is the peak of the Northern Europe Summer.

Temps start to fall from this point.

Winter is on the way snowHead


Yes, bloody hot her in CPH. Toofy Grin
latest report     
 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
ZAMG look back on summer in Austria.

- 11th warmest on record.
- Though clearly not as warm as the extremes of last year.
- Also the 15th wettest on record.
- Notable for the very heavy rainfall over short periods of time.

http://www.zamg.ac.at/cms/de/klima/news/sommer-2016-sehr-warm-und-sehr-nass

Meanwhile Sturm and Kürbisse are appearing in the markets, so although it doesn't feel like it, Autumn is not far away!
ski holidays     
 You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
Interesting article from Joel Gratz comparing last year's seasonal forecasts with the way the weather turned out.

https://opensnow.com/news/post/long-range-weather-forecasts-stink-a-look-back-at-the-winter-snow-forecast-for-2015-2016

The key part is:

"It is fun to look at the seasonal forecasts and learn about the logic that is used to create them. But don’t take the forecasts too seriously... "
latest report     
 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Autumn tomorrow.

And for what it's worth Meteo France is suggesting the most likely scenario is for warmer than average (remain though that these are probabilities).

http://www.meteofrance.com/accueil/previsions-saisonnieres
latest report     
 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
I have a lot of time for Brian Gaze at ' the weather outlook ' site , very steady .

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/latest.aspx?type=buzz&id=3398&title=Autumn+and+winter

Some early thoughts .
ski holidays     
 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
Not hugely encouraging Sad
snow report     
 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
@Peter S,

no not really , but considering that nearly every month seems to bring above average temps I'm not surprised .

However I'd take last winter again , pretty good where I go in France from mid Jan onwards
snow conditions     
 snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
@Peter S, Chin up, chest out, stiff upper lip and all that! Nobody is nailing their colours to any masts yet. Winter is miles out and as @Noza says over and over... don't put your faith in anything further than seven days out!
snow report     
 And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
I know that long range forecasts are not accurate at all but...

Gavs Sneak Peak to winter 2016/2017:

http://youtube.com/v/mQDoxYZO55c
snow report     
 So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Brief cold spell coming to the eastern Alps over the next two days bringing the current balmy spell to an end. Temperatures in Austria look like dipping by 10C and that could bring snow down to 2500m in Hintertux (10-20cm) along with some strong winds.
snow conditions     
 You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Australia has had a below-average ski season this year.

New Zealand has been mixed but average:

http://www.mountainwatch.com/snow-news/30737173/Snow-Season-Outlook-2016--#8211;-August-Update--#8211;-New-Zealand--#8211;-Back-in-Business

snow report     
 Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Heading into the second half of the month some suggestions that a cold spell might be on the way.

Here's GFS.



And ECM.

latest report     
 Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Nooooooooooooooo!!
A mistake, surely.
We're off to Portugal the end of the month for some sun and warmth.
latest report     
 Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
the heatwave continues in France, glaciers are taking pounding at the moment

snow report     
 Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@Jonpim, I wasn't referring to the end of the month.

Here's this morning's GFS for Chamonix showing a dip beneath average as we go into the second half of the month in contrast to the current warm temperatures.

ski holidays     
 You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
davidof wrote:
the heatwave continues in France, glaciers are taking pounding at the moment




Swung through Madrid yesterday. Almost 100f at 5pm in the evening.

The French and Italians have started shipping 10k-yearold Alpine glacier ice to Antarctica to preserve its history for future generations.

Some latest predictions call for every European glacier below 3500m to be gone by 2050:

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-06/frozen-archives-of-earth's-history-to-be-stored-in-antarctica/7819468
snow report     
 Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
South Africa and Lesotho closed their ski resorts for the season last week. Conditions were good up to end-August:

snow conditions     
 You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
Looking at the chart a couple of posts above it does look like at least a few days of below average temperatures in parts of the Alps as we go into the second half of September with the snowline dropping beneath 2000m for a bit before warming up again.
snow report     
 Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
ZAMG reporting on the unusually warm September weather. 3.5-4C above the long term average for the first half of the month in Austria which would be on course for the warmest September since records began.

http://www.zamg.ac.at/cms/de/klima/news/bisher-ungewoehnlich-warmer-september

In fact there is some cooler weather on the way over the next week with the snowline around 2500m so fresh snow for glaciers.
ski holidays     
 After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
After all it is free Go on u know u want to!
Before the proper forecasting starts in earnest, are there any 'Old Man of the Mountain' anecdotal forecasts? You know the ones "I saw a marmot circle the tallest genepy flower three times clockwise at midnight, so it's going to be a bumper year for snow". I quite like those, especially if they're optimistic. snowHead
snow conditions     
 You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
@rogg, Absolutely! enough of this scientific scheisse! Lets have some farmers almanac type stuff that we want to believe wink
latest report     
 Ski the Net with snowHeads
Ski the Net with snowHeads
$H*TLOAD of berries on the rowans this year and the heather is late..........

cold snowy winter on the way just like 2010/11
snow report     



Terms and conditions  Privacy Policy