nozawaonsen, I'm not sure if I like that one, I live and work right by the biggest accumulation. Luckily my new work schedule means I can work from home until they clear the roads. If even half of this comes true, we are looking at the same opening as the 2005/2006 winter in my neck of the woods, almost down to the exact same time for the snow to come in large quantities! Currently we are having snow flurries on and off all around the clock. The ground is cold and if it is in shadow the small amounts that have fallen so far are not melting. Temperatures did not get above +2°C around here even though the sun broke through this afternoon (we still had some snow flurries though from an apparently clear sky )
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Jonpim wrote:
A bit harsh, duncansarmy: they are a company, keen for business.
Like we Big up our kids, they are bigging up their resort.
Very sensible.
I don't think so, of course they need to market, I work in marketing so appreciate that. But the conditions right now are far from paradise and snow is not forecast every day.
duncansarmy, you are a brave man to admit working in marketing while criticising another company for possible inaccuracy
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Certain inaccuracy, I would be sued for such claims!
After all it is free
After all it is free
duncansarmy, profuse apologies! Should have put an "alleged" in there somewhere
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
Paradise is such a subjective term though - an alpine resort bereft of snow could be classed as paradise to some, then again I do live in Wolverhampton
With their snow every day forecast claims they've just taken the Snow Forecast site to the next level
@nozawaonsen, how's next week's weather shaping up for those of us going on the PSB to Tignes?
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They don't give a provenance for their forecast - but was, of course, their new chef's girlfriend's mate.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
looks like snow for most of Weds, from late tonight trhough to Thursday, according to Meteox.
a site that was bang on with the forecast last Boxing Day...........much to my and many others pain ...
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
Loving the look of the St Anton forecast. Looking like safely over a metre by he end of the week.
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Blasted Austrians grabbing all the snow again . . .
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
Beware the outlier. Last night's GFS op was way out on it's own.
It's calmed down a bit now. Still looks like reasonable snowfall across the northern Alps pver next seven days.
Last edited by You know it makes sense. on Tue 24-11-15 20:18; edited 1 time in total
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Chamonix
The Arlberg
Cairngorm
Looks like a milder spell at the start of December though unclear how long it will last with 06z suggesting in may be quite brief.
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Excuse my ignorance, the measurements on the right, is that snow or rain? If rain is there a rough conversion to amount of snow? (appreciate there are variables, wind etc)
Cheers
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
It's mm of rain.
I'm sure someone will be able to give a much more scientific response than mine but I think 1mm of rain approximates to just under 1cm of snow as a rule of thumb.
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
@duncansarmy, its precipitation at approximately 1500m above sea level. roughly 10mm of rain = 10cm of snow.....just a guide remember.
Also worth noting that along the bottom is a measurement of time, so just because you get a large sharp spike it may not mean lots of precip as it may last for only a short period - often longer periods of snow are shown in more of a lower more elongated plateau on the ensemble.
Chart above updated for 12z. An upgrade in terms of snowfall particularly for Austria where the siege of Samerberg (admittedly in Germany) looks on.
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
MF are forecasting some rain as high as Avoriaz at the weekend.
After all it is free
After all it is free
@nozawaonsen, now confined to quarters with a flu-like bug, so I'm happy to let it fall let it fall let it fall! Samerberg is 50:50 I look into austria from my balcony!
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pam w wrote:
MF are forecasting some rain as high as Avoriaz at the weekend.
@pam w, really? This weekend? Maybe at the start of next week.
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pam w wrote:
MF are forecasting some rain as high as Avoriaz at the weekend.
I'm guessing that's a bad thing?
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
Pam is always super optimistic.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
VT is opening tomorrow so maybe we should get the skiing in quick before it washes away
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
So if you're just off somewhere snowy come back and post a snow report of your own and we'll all love you very much
Quote:
Maybe at the start of next week
yes, Monday for Avoriaz, actually, but earlier in the weekend for a swathe of lower resorts (e.g. Meribel). LPN bouncing up and down between 900 and 1900m.
@Filthyphil30k, I'm reporting MF forecasts. Neither optimistic or pessimistic. You prefer throwing chicken bones till you get the answer you're looking for?
You know it makes sense.
You know it makes sense.
@pam w, how is a local e.g. Avoriaz MF forecast produced? any human involvement? As that doesn't agree with Chamonix Meteo nor Meteoblue...(which I find quite reliable).
That said, Chamonix have no confidence beyond Wednesday.
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Well the 18z GFS has the snow line around 1200m plus or minus at the weekend for the French Alps. Warms up on Monday, but by that point the snow has moved on.
Poster: A snowHead
Poster: A snowHead
Quote:
how is a local e.g. Avoriaz MF forecast produced?
I don't know. But over several years I have found them no more reliable than snow-forecast. Different, though (sometimes very different) so they presumably don't rely just on GFS.
Hard to believe there are no forecasters involved - I'd be interested to find out. Somebody will know.
GFS is jumping about a fair bit - a lack of confidence seems a reasonable conclusion!
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
@pam w, my understanding of Meteo Suisse forecast is that the regional/national forecasts are produced by living creatures but if you dive in at communal (or post code level) it's straight off the models and there's a disclaimer as to accuracy and stability.
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
No sign of rain in Avoriaz this weekend. But there should be snow.
Yeah I saw the latest gfs run this morning, suggests a rather stubborn high pressure and low precipitation....fingers crossed it changes its mind over the next few days or we could face a big melt!
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Waynea1983 wrote:
Yeah I saw the latest gfs run this morning, suggests a rather stubborn high pressure and low precipitation....fingers crossed it changes its mind over the next few days or we could face a big melt!
I wouldn't draw any conclusion one way or another from the GFS ensembles for Deceber - all over the place.
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Then you can post your own questions or snow reports...
Looks like it' similar to last year. Early season snow that only stayed in the high places.
After all it is free
After all it is free
@emwmarine, rather early to suggest that at this stage.
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hold tight....we ve only just got snow on the ground.....
emwmarine......different to last year in the that fell was far earlier in nov, melted and then nothing until 26/12!!!!!!!
this year is far later in Nov, cold enough to also get the cannons firing..........
i d say we are in much better shape than this time last year......but granted an extended mild spell could erode that....lets see it crop up on more than just GFS before we head to the nearest cliff!! LOL
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stefoy4me wrote:
hold tight....we ve only just got snow on the ground.....
emwmarine......different to last year in the that fell was far earlier in nov, melted and then nothing until 26/12!!!!!!!
this year is far later in Nov, cold enough to also get the cannons firing..........
i d say we are in much better shape than this time last year......but granted an extended mild spell could erode that....lets see it crop up on more than just GFS before we head to the nearest cliff!! LOL
FAQ
Poster: A snowHead
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