Poster: A snowHead
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@Jonpim, we have option of leaving Sat afternoon or 4 am Sun morning. Despite OH reservations I have that second sense Saturday could be one of those once in a season days....
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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@peanuthead, I'd definitely go for Sunday. Saturday, though it's not a very busy one, is going to be a fairly difficult transfer day, I'd say.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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About 30cms up Nordkette when the sun came out at 3pm today
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BBC weather now mentioning the large amount of moisture getting picked up and going to get dumped on parts of Europe
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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That's not the dreaded hair drier poking its nasty head around the end of the month is it?
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@RetroBod, Don't think so looking at the ensembles on page 56 of this thread, looks like a slight rise in temp as the front goes through, then back to cold.
Don't forget anything more than 4-5 days away is unreliable in forecasting and just shows trends etc.
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@peanuthead, I think we already had a once in a season on 27th Dec - so I expect we will have another one this weekend
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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@levster777, I'd be interested to know if Chamonix actually got 22cm today (as predicted on your snow-forecast link) - though i've just looked out and is still snowing here in Tignes (has been trickling down gently all day).
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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1999 I think. I was in Wengen at the time, the village was completely overwhelmed and there was no skiing for days.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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1999 it was..... I was in La Plagne .... its snowed 2.5m in 4/5 days .... then a break of a couple of days... then another 1m and then a 2 day break and another 1m ..... was crazy... from that day forth... 26th Jan... longest we went all season was 3 days for new snow
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Err...
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You know it makes sense.
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@snowheads68, that doesn't have any resemblance to the 18z GFS op run that has just come out. I suspect it may be down to some sort of error at the wetterzentrale.de end.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Jonpim wrote: |
@levster777, I'd be interested to know if Chamonix actually got 22cm today (as predicted on your snow-forecast link) - though i've just looked out and is still snowing here in Tignes (has been trickling down gently all day). |
I'm pretty sure the tabletop in the yard was bare this morning and now has least 15cm of snow, and it's still snowing moderately to heavily.
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Poster: A snowHead
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@Jonpim, we're an hour from Cham and have had 20cm at 800m since midday.....
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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nozawaonsen wrote: |
@snowheads68, that doesn't have any resemblance to the 18z GFS op run that has just come out. I suspect it may be down to some sort of error at the wetterzentrale.de end. |
Whatever has happened is flowing through to the likes of bergfex. Yesterday it was forecasting a good dump for next week but now it is showing virtually nothing.
Last edited by Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person on Tue 27-01-15 7:00; edited 1 time in total
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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@Gaza, I doubt it. I don't believe Bergfex uses GFS and has no connection to wetterzentrale.de.
Next week is far enough out for there to be substantial shifts in model output.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Looking at the ensembles (wigglies), it looks like none of the forecasting models can agree past 4 days in the future, that's probably why we are seeing some dry forecasts at the moment, I hope !!
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@2planks, the reason the chart @snowheads68, posted doesn't show much snow is down to a glitch.
The GFS ensembles show heavy snowfall for parts of the Western Alps and Pyrenees going into this weekend. There is strong support for a continuation in fact a deepening of cold weather. There is no sign of cold temperatures easing through the first week of February.
After that it looks like there will be lighter snow on and off in the first half of next week in the northern Alps. 05 February currently looks like further snowfall on the Northern side of the Alps.
The Southern side of the Alps, Italy in particular looks cold, but dry.
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4.html
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Quote: |
The Southern side of the Alps, Italy in particular looks cold, but dry.
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Good. I really don't want to battle with snow on that long drive. 15 - 20 cms in the Beaufortain yesterday and overnight; more than twice the snow-forecast figure.
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This is a serious amount of snow for the next week, especially on the Western Alps, Pyrenees, Western Norway and the Balkans:
I have the impression that the older GFS overestimated precipitation, I wonder how the new one (0p25) is doing.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Flying out to Geneva on Friday morning and then driving to a place just past Megeve for the weekend. Looks like it's going to be an "interesting" journey there and, possibly, more-so on the way back to Geneva on Monday afternoon
We're either going to have an epic weekend weekend of fresh powder skiing or a truly awful weekend either trying to ski in heavy snow & flat light, or digging ourselves out of a snowdrift!
Old GFS always overestimated ppn. GFS-P is so new that it's not really proven yet, so it'll be interesting to see the reality come Monday.
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Quote: |
but Bergfex is still showing insignificant amounts
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Is it? Bergfex is calling for about 80cm in Les Contamines over the next few days?
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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jedster wrote: |
Quote: |
but Bergfex is still showing insignificant amounts
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Is it? Bergfex is calling for about 80cm in Les Contamines over the next few days? |
For La Plagne it is. Note, that I'm referring to next week, not this week.
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@Gaza, I believe that Cota's pic shows the total snow over the next 180 hours (a week in old money)
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You know it makes sense.
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red 27 wrote: |
@Gaza, I believe that Cota's pic shows the total snow over the next 180 hours (a week in old money) |
Ah! I see that now.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Poster: A snowHead
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The cms were wrong again, forecast about 10 got 30 ish in town and more up high. Left Schladming this morning, weather clearing for an epic powder day. More snow in the pipeline too.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Short, sharp shock of wind and rain here this morning while the temperature dropped about 2° in and hour!
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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@nozawaonsen, how good is the WRF model ?
I'm hoping it is very good as it is showing a bit more than than Bergfex and the GFS have forecast for Ischgl
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Quote: |
Many forecasters failed to adequately communicate the uncertainty in what was an extremely complicated forecast
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the forecasters might have hedged their forecasts around with all kinds ofs "ifs and buts" but that's not what the meeja want to put out, is it?
@altis, cold front? wind probably veered too.
Another tricksy transfer day coming up but with snow falling in bouts over several days, and its still being comparatively low season, the main roads probably won't be too bad. Might be lots of lift closures though.As I'm heading to Italy I expect to enter a Frejus tunnel with heaps of snow (possibly having followed a snowplough) and emerge into an arid, brown, landscape.
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This morning MWAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA Deeeeeeeeeepppp
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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@Peter S, what chance of these showers re-opening Yad Moss??
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